LIVE 03:56 4th Dec 22
NE 14 14.0 o47.5
BUF 24 -14.0 u47.5
LIVE 07:42 4th Dec 22
JAC 14 2.5 o41.5
LV 19 -2.5 u41.5
LIVE 04:49 4th Dec 22
SF 17 -2.0 o44.0
MIA 19 2.0 u44.0
TB -4.0 o48.0
DAL 4.0 u48.0
NO 14.0 o43.0
GB -14.0 u43.0
Final Dec 19
DEN 27
LAC 34
Final Dec 21
HOU 19 3.5 o42.5
KC 27 -3.5 u42.5
Final Dec 21
PIT 17 7.5 o44.0
BAL 34 -7.5 u44.0
Final Dec 22
PHI 33 -4.0 o47.0
WAS 36 4.0 u47.0
Final Dec 22
LA 19 -3.0 o47.0
NYJ 9 3.0 u47.0
Final Dec 22
CLE 6 10.0 o45.5
CIN 24 -10.0 u45.5
Final Dec 22
NYG 7 10.0 o43.0
ATL 34 -10.0 u43.0
Final OT Dec 22
ARI 30 -5.5 o47.0
CAR 36 5.5 u47.0
Final Dec 22
DET 34 -6.5 o47.5
CHI 17 6.5 u47.5
Final Dec 22
TEN 30 4.0 o43.5
IND 38 -4.0 u43.5
Final Dec 22
MIN 27 -2.5 o43.0
SEA 24 2.5 u43.0
Baltimore 2nd AFC North10-5
Tampa Bay 1st NFC South8-6
ESPN

Baltimore @ Tampa Bay props

Raymond James Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Cade Otton Receptions Made Props ? Tampa Bay

C. Otton
tight end TE ? Tampa Bay
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.4
Best Odds
Under
+135

The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to call the 10th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 54.8 plays per game. Cade Otton's 64.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this season illustrates a material diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last season's 69.8% rate. The Baltimore Ravens linebackers grade out as the 10th-best unit in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

Cade Otton

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.4
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.4

The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to call the 10th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 54.8 plays per game. Cade Otton's 64.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this season illustrates a material diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last season's 69.8% rate. The Baltimore Ravens linebackers grade out as the 10th-best unit in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

Isaiah Likely Receptions Made Props ? Baltimore

I. Likely
tight end TE ? Baltimore
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.8
Best Odds
Over
+130

Opposing teams have averaged 42.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL. In this game, Isaiah Likely is expected by the projection model to find himself in the 76th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.1 targets. Isaiah Likely's 35.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 16.0. The Baltimore offensive line profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board. Isaiah Likely ranks as one of the best tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging an impressive 3.0 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 75th percentile.

Isaiah Likely

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.8
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.8

Opposing teams have averaged 42.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL. In this game, Isaiah Likely is expected by the projection model to find himself in the 76th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.1 targets. Isaiah Likely's 35.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 16.0. The Baltimore offensive line profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board. Isaiah Likely ranks as one of the best tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging an impressive 3.0 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 75th percentile.

Chris Godwin Receptions Made Props ? Tampa Bay

C. Godwin
wide receiver WR ? Tampa Bay
Prop
6.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.1
Best Odds
Under
-105

The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to call the 10th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 54.8 plays per game. The Baltimore Ravens linebackers grade out as the 10th-best unit in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

Chris Godwin

Prop: 6.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.1
Prop:
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.1

The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to call the 10th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 54.8 plays per game. The Baltimore Ravens linebackers grade out as the 10th-best unit in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

Zay Flowers Receptions Made Props ? Baltimore

Z. Flowers
wide receiver WR ? Baltimore
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.1
Best Odds
Under
-115

With a 4-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on running than their normal game plan. Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 51.2% of their chances: the lowest clip on the slate this week. At the moment, the most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Ravens. As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Tampa Bay's CB corps has been phenomenal this year, profiling as the best in the league.

Zay Flowers

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.1
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.1

With a 4-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on running than their normal game plan. Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 51.2% of their chances: the lowest clip on the slate this week. At the moment, the most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Ravens. As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Tampa Bay's CB corps has been phenomenal this year, profiling as the best in the league.

Rachaad White Receptions Made Props ? Tampa Bay

R. White
running back RB ? Tampa Bay
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
1.9
Best Odds
Under
-170
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
1.9
Best Odds
Under
-170
Projection Rating

The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to call the 10th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 54.8 plays per game. This year, the imposing Baltimore Ravens defense has given up a mere 74.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 2nd-lowest rate in the NFL. The Baltimore Ravens linebackers grade out as the 10th-best unit in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

Rachaad White

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 1.9
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
1.9

The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to call the 10th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 54.8 plays per game. This year, the imposing Baltimore Ravens defense has given up a mere 74.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 2nd-lowest rate in the NFL. The Baltimore Ravens linebackers grade out as the 10th-best unit in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

Derrick Henry Receptions Made Props ? Baltimore

D. Henry
running back RB ? Baltimore
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-200

With a 4-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on running than their normal game plan. Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 51.2% of their chances: the lowest clip on the slate this week. At the moment, the most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Ravens. Derrick Henry's 54.3% snap rate this year shows a noteable progression in his offensive usage over last year's 43.5% mark. Derrick Henry's 87.7% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a remarkable reduction in his receiving prowess over last season's 90.7% figure.

Derrick Henry

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
1.1

With a 4-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on running than their normal game plan. Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 51.2% of their chances: the lowest clip on the slate this week. At the moment, the most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Ravens. Derrick Henry's 54.3% snap rate this year shows a noteable progression in his offensive usage over last year's 43.5% mark. Derrick Henry's 87.7% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a remarkable reduction in his receiving prowess over last season's 90.7% figure.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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