TB -4.0 o46.5
DAL 4.0 u46.5
NO 14.0 o43.0
GB -14.0 u43.0
Final Dec 19
DEN 27
LAC 34
Final Dec 21
HOU 19 3.5 o42.5
KC 27 -3.5 u42.5
Final Dec 21
PIT 17 7.5 o44.0
BAL 34 -7.5 u44.0
Final Dec 22
CLE 6 10.0 o45.5
CIN 24 -10.0 u45.5
Final Dec 22
PHI 33 -4.0 o47.0
WAS 36 4.0 u47.0
Final Dec 22
LA 19 -3.0 o47.0
NYJ 9 3.0 u47.0
Final Dec 22
NYG 7 10.0 o43.0
ATL 34 -10.0 u43.0
Final Dec 22
DET 34 -6.5 o47.5
CHI 17 6.5 u47.5
Final OT Dec 22
ARI 30 -5.5 o47.0
CAR 36 5.5 u47.0
Final Dec 22
TEN 30 4.0 o43.5
IND 38 -4.0 u43.5
Final Dec 22
MIN 27 -2.5 o43.0
SEA 24 2.5 u43.0
Final Dec 22
NE 21 14.0 o47.5
BUF 24 -14.0 u47.5
Final Dec 22
JAC 14 2.5 o41.5
LV 19 -2.5 u41.5
Final Dec 22
SF 17 -2.0 o44.0
MIA 29 2.0 u44.0
Tampa Bay 1st NFC South8-6
Carolina 4th NFC South4-11
FOX

Tampa Bay @ Carolina props

Bank of America Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Tommy Tremble Receptions Made Props ? Carolina

T. Tremble
tight end TE ? Carolina
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.6
Best Odds
Over
+135

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Panthers, who are -6.5-point underdogs. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (38.7 per game) this year. While Tommy Tremble has garnered 7.1% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Carolina's offense in this game at 12.5%. This year, the weak Buccaneers pass defense has been torched for a whopping 83.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the biggest rate in the NFL. The Buccaneers linebackers rank as the 4th-worst LB corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Tommy Tremble

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.6
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.6

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Panthers, who are -6.5-point underdogs. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (38.7 per game) this year. While Tommy Tremble has garnered 7.1% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Carolina's offense in this game at 12.5%. This year, the weak Buccaneers pass defense has been torched for a whopping 83.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the biggest rate in the NFL. The Buccaneers linebackers rank as the 4th-worst LB corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Chuba Hubbard Receptions Made Props ? Carolina

C. Hubbard
running back RB ? Carolina
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3
Best Odds
Under
-143
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3
Best Odds
Under
-143
Projection Rating

The model projects the Panthers to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 57.0% pass rate. Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Carolina Panthers are anticipated by the projection model to call only 63.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-fewest on the slate this week. The 2nd-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Carolina Panthers this year (a measly 53.4 per game on average). Chuba Hubbard's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 89.0% to 81.1%.

Chuba Hubbard

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3

The model projects the Panthers to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 57.0% pass rate. Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Carolina Panthers are anticipated by the projection model to call only 63.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-fewest on the slate this week. The 2nd-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Carolina Panthers this year (a measly 53.4 per game on average). Chuba Hubbard's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 89.0% to 81.1%.

Xavier Legette Receptions Made Props ? Carolina

X. Legette
wide receiver WR ? Carolina
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.9
Best Odds
Over
-115

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Panthers, who are -6.5-point underdogs. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (38.7 per game) this year.

Xavier Legette

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.9
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.9

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Panthers, who are -6.5-point underdogs. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (38.7 per game) this year.

Cade Otton Receptions Made Props ? Tampa Bay

C. Otton
tight end TE ? Tampa Bay
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.3
Best Odds
Under
-148

The Buccaneers are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script. Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to pass on 55.8% of their opportunities: the 11th-lowest frequency on the slate this week. The predictive model expects the Buccaneers to run the 7th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics. With a bad 72.0% Adjusted Completion% (22nd percentile) this year, Cade Otton has been as one of the least sure-handed receivers in football among TEs.

Cade Otton

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.3
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.3

The Buccaneers are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script. Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to pass on 55.8% of their opportunities: the 11th-lowest frequency on the slate this week. The predictive model expects the Buccaneers to run the 7th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics. With a bad 72.0% Adjusted Completion% (22nd percentile) this year, Cade Otton has been as one of the least sure-handed receivers in football among TEs.

Bucky Irving Receptions Made Props ? Tampa Bay

B. Irving
running back RB ? Tampa Bay
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.7
Best Odds
Over
-140

The Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board. The Carolina Panthers safeties grade out as the 6th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.

Bucky Irving

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.7
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.7

The Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board. The Carolina Panthers safeties grade out as the 6th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.

Mike Evans Receptions Made Props ? Tampa Bay

M. Evans
wide receiver WR ? Tampa Bay
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.5
Best Odds
Over
-130

In this game, Mike Evans is forecasted by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers with 7.7 targets. While Mike Evans has accounted for 19.0% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Tampa Bay's passing offense this week at 24.0%. The Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board. Mike Evans's ball-catching skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 61.1% to 64.2%. The Panthers pass defense has been gouged for the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (68.7%) vs. wideouts this year (68.7%).

Mike Evans

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.5
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.5

In this game, Mike Evans is forecasted by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers with 7.7 targets. While Mike Evans has accounted for 19.0% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Tampa Bay's passing offense this week at 24.0%. The Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board. Mike Evans's ball-catching skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 61.1% to 64.2%. The Panthers pass defense has been gouged for the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (68.7%) vs. wideouts this year (68.7%).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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