Jacksonville @ Chicago props

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 60.5% of their downs: the 5th-highest clip among all teams this week. The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.45 seconds per play. Our trusted projections expect Travis Etienne to accumulate 4.8 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 99th percentile among RBs. Travis Etienne's 22.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 16.4. The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 60.5% of their downs: the 5th-highest clip among all teams this week. The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.45 seconds per play. With an impressive 86.8% Route Participation Rate (99th percentile) since the start of last season, Evan Engram has been as one of the TEs with the biggest workloads in the league. In this game, Evan Engram is expected by our trusted projection set to finish in the 96th percentile among TEs with 6.8 targets. Evan Engram grades out as one of the leading tight ends in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 6.4 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 100th percentile.

D.J. Moore's 59.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 76.9. D.J. Moore's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 73.2% to 67.3%.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 60.5% of their downs: the 6th-highest clip among all teams this week. The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.45 seconds per play. Our trusted projections expect Christian Kirk to total 7.8 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile when it comes to wideouts. Christian Kirk has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 21.0% this year, which ranks in the 75th percentile when it comes to WRs. The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

The predictive model expects the Bears offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.22 seconds per snap. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the league. D'Andre Swift's 56.4% Route Participation Rate this season conveys a remarkable progression in his passing offense volume over last season's 46.2% figure. In this contest, D'Andre Swift is anticipated by our trusted projection set to rank in the 86th percentile among running backs with 4.0 targets. With a remarkable 2.9 adjusted receptions per game (78th percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift places among the top pass-catching RBs in the NFL.

The Bears pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (61.5%) to WRs this year (61.5%). The Chicago Bears safeties grade out as the 3rd-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

Cole Kmet's 33.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 41.2. This year, the daunting Jacksonville Jaguars defense has yielded a puny 64.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 5th-best rate in football.