Auburn @ Duke picks
Cameron Indoor Stadium
AUB vs DUKE Covers Picks
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Cooper Flagg u19.5 points (-105)
Flagg is averaging 15.9 ppg and is coming off a quiet nine-point performance against Seattle. Granted that was on just seven field-goal attempts in a blowout win but he also finished with just 13 points in 38 minutes in his previous game against Kansas. It's worth nothing that Flagg had just two points in the first half and did most of his damage in the second half after Jayhawks center Hunter Dickinson was ejected. Flagg is in the bottom 15th percentile when it comes to creating his own shot and midrange efficiency. He also seldom takes threes with the majority of his buckets comings when he attacks the basket. He'll have a tough time getting good looks at the rim against an Auburn squad that has been playing the six-foot-10 Broome and 6-foot-11 Dylan Cardwell on the floor at the same time.
Duke First Half ML (-135)
The Auburn Tigers have the top-rated offense in the country but Duke has the top-rated defense and has the length and athleticism to keep them in check. The Tigers have also been reliant on threes and rank just 335th in the country at attacking the rim frequency per ShotQualityBets. That sort of spacing is great until you find yourself in hostile territory and those outside shots aren't falling. This will be Auburn's first true road game this season and it will be at Cameron Indoor which is one of the toughest venues in college hoops. The Tigers are 7-0 but found themselves trailing at halftime against Houston in a game at the Toyota Center and they were down 49-33 at half against Iowa State in the Maui Invitational last week. Meanwhile, the Blue Devils are 5-1 ATS on the first half spread in their last six games which includes a 9-point halftime lead versus Kentucky and a 7-point halftime lead against Arizona on the road.