Final Dec 22
HOU 114 -9.0 o222.5
TOR 110 9.0 u222.5
Final Dec 22
IND 122 3.0 o234.5
SAC 95 -3.0 u234.5
Final OT Dec 22
DEN 132 -8.5 o231.0
NO 129 8.5 u231.0
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE22-5
Golden State 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE15-12

Oklahoma City @ Golden State props

Chase Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jonathan Kuminga Points Scored Props ? Golden State

J. Kuminga
power forward PF ? Golden State
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Jonathan Kuminga lands in the 20th percentile for three-point performance with a weak 25.5% rate this year. Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have posted 11.0 points per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, labeling this as a challenging matchup for offensive performance. Jonathan Kuminga has successfully made a measly 59.6% of his free throw attempts this year, a sizeable decrease from his 73.0 rate last year. With respect to getting to the foul line, the Warriors's poor 19.3 free throw attempts per game as the home team comes in as the 4th-worst in the NBA this year.

Jonathan Kuminga

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

Out of all players in the league, Jonathan Kuminga lands in the 20th percentile for three-point performance with a weak 25.5% rate this year. Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have posted 11.0 points per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, labeling this as a challenging matchup for offensive performance. Jonathan Kuminga has successfully made a measly 59.6% of his free throw attempts this year, a sizeable decrease from his 73.0 rate last year. With respect to getting to the foul line, the Warriors's poor 19.3 free throw attempts per game as the home team comes in as the 4th-worst in the NBA this year.

Buddy Hield Points Scored Props ? Golden State

B. Hield
shooting guard SG ? Golden State
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

With respect to getting to the foul line, the Warriors's poor 19.3 free throw attempts per game as the home team comes in as the 4th-worst in the NBA this year.

Buddy Hield

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

With respect to getting to the foul line, the Warriors's poor 19.3 free throw attempts per game as the home team comes in as the 4th-worst in the NBA this year.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props ? Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG ? Oklahoma City
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.4
Best Odds
Under
+102
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.4
Best Odds
Under
+102
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams slots into the 88th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.9 fouls per game while playing on the road this year. The Thunder check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 free throws per game (9th-fewest in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line. Jalen Williams will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

Jalen Williams

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.4
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.4

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams slots into the 88th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.9 fouls per game while playing on the road this year. The Thunder check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 free throws per game (9th-fewest in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line. Jalen Williams will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

Draymond Green Points Scored Props ? Golden State

D. Green
power forward PF ? Golden State
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Draymond Green registers in the 87th percentile for 3-point proficiency with a great 42.7% rate this year. The Warriors have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 4.9 foul shots per game this year when the Oklahoma City Thunder are away from home (7th-most in the league).

Draymond Green

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Out of all players in the NBA, Draymond Green registers in the 87th percentile for 3-point proficiency with a great 42.7% rate this year. The Warriors have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 4.9 foul shots per game this year when the Oklahoma City Thunder are away from home (7th-most in the league).

Trayce Jackson-Davis Points Scored Props ? Golden State

T. Jackson-Davis
center C ? Golden State
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Trayce Jackson-Davis has attempted 8.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. The showdown with Isaiah Hartenstein ranks in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs making a whopping 0.9 threes per game since the start of last season. The Warriors have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Trayce Jackson-Davis

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

Trayce Jackson-Davis has attempted 8.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. The showdown with Isaiah Hartenstein ranks in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs making a whopping 0.9 threes per game since the start of last season. The Warriors have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Wiggins Points Scored Props ? Oklahoma City

A. Wiggins
shooting guard SG ? Oklahoma City
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Wiggins ranks in the 80th percentile for three-point efficiency away from his home court with a stellar 43.3% rate this year. In terms of scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's stellar 119.6 points per game as the away team rates 5th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have shot 47.0% on threes (best in the league) against the Warriors, marking this as a favorable matchup. The Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Thunder.

Aaron Wiggins

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.8

Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Wiggins ranks in the 80th percentile for three-point efficiency away from his home court with a stellar 43.3% rate this year. In terms of scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's stellar 119.6 points per game as the away team rates 5th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have shot 47.0% on threes (best in the league) against the Warriors, marking this as a favorable matchup. The Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Thunder.

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props ? Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG ? Oklahoma City
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Over
-121
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Over
-121
Projection Rating

Luguentz Dort has tallied 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. In terms of scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's stellar 119.6 points per game as the away team rates 5th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Thunder. Luguentz Dort has converted 95.0% of his free throw attempts away from his home court this year, putting him in the 87th percentile among all players in the league.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.3

Luguentz Dort has tallied 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. In terms of scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's stellar 119.6 points per game as the away team rates 5th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Thunder. Luguentz Dort has converted 95.0% of his free throw attempts away from his home court this year, putting him in the 87th percentile among all players in the league.

Isaiah Joe Points Scored Props ? Oklahoma City

I. Joe
shooting guard SG ? Oklahoma City
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a hard one for scoring; the opposing team's starting SGs have put up the 2nd-lowest FG% in the league this year (38.4%). The Thunder check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Isaiah Joe figures to see a decline in performance in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this game.

Isaiah Joe

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.9

The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a hard one for scoring; the opposing team's starting SGs have put up the 2nd-lowest FG% in the league this year (38.4%). The Thunder check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Isaiah Joe figures to see a decline in performance in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this game.

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props ? Golden State

A. Wiggins
small forward SF ? Golden State
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.1
Best Odds
Under
-128
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.1
Best Odds
Under
-128
Projection Rating

This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 25.5% on 3-pointers (2nd-weakest in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, marking this as a challenging matchup. With respect to getting to the foul line, the Warriors's poor 19.3 free throw attempts per game as the home team comes in as the 4th-worst in the NBA this year. Over the last 10 games when they are at home, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.1
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.1

This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 25.5% on 3-pointers (2nd-weakest in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, marking this as a challenging matchup. With respect to getting to the foul line, the Warriors's poor 19.3 free throw attempts per game as the home team comes in as the 4th-worst in the NBA this year. Over the last 10 games when they are at home, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props ? Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG ? Golden State
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.3
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.3
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Stephen Curry has compiled 22.4 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 91st percentile. Out of all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry slots into the 24th percentile for personal fouls, posting a lowly 1.3 fouls per game this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 7.7 3-point attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, branding this as a positive matchup. The Warriors have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Golden State Warriors.

Stephen Curry

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.3
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.3

Stephen Curry has compiled 22.4 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 91st percentile. Out of all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry slots into the 24th percentile for personal fouls, posting a lowly 1.3 fouls per game this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 7.7 3-point attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, branding this as a positive matchup. The Warriors have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Golden State Warriors.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props ? Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
shooting guard SG ? Oklahoma City
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.2
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
29.5 Points Scored
Projection
30.2
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander slots into the 99th percentile, putting up a monstrous 29.2 points per game this year. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has sunk 49.6% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 14.1% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has played 34.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 88th percentile. In terms of scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's stellar 119.6 points per game as the away team rates 5th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 38.4% on 3-pointers (6th-best in the NBA) against the Warriors, identifying this as a positive matchup.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.2
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.2

Out of all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander slots into the 99th percentile, putting up a monstrous 29.2 points per game this year. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has sunk 49.6% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 14.1% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has played 34.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 88th percentile. In terms of scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's stellar 119.6 points per game as the away team rates 5th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 38.4% on 3-pointers (6th-best in the NBA) against the Warriors, identifying this as a positive matchup.

Isaiah Hartenstein Points Scored Props ? Oklahoma City

I. Hartenstein
center C ? Oklahoma City
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Isaiah Hartenstein has converted 63.6% of his shot attempts from the field since the start of last season, putting him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Isaiah Hartenstein ranks in the 99th percentile for 3-point proficiency with a great 50.0% rate since the start of last season. In terms of scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's stellar 119.6 points per game as the away team rates 5th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Thunder.

Isaiah Hartenstein

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Isaiah Hartenstein has converted 63.6% of his shot attempts from the field since the start of last season, putting him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Isaiah Hartenstein ranks in the 99th percentile for 3-point proficiency with a great 50.0% rate since the start of last season. In terms of scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's stellar 119.6 points per game as the away team rates 5th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Thunder.

Brandin Podziemski Points Scored Props ? Golden State

B. Podziemski
shooting guard SG ? Golden State
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

Brandin Podziemski has converted 57.4% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 11.0% higher than he's made overall this year when playing at home. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 7.7 3-point attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, branding this as a positive matchup. The Warriors have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Brandin Podziemski

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Brandin Podziemski has converted 57.4% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 11.0% higher than he's made overall this year when playing at home. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 7.7 3-point attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, branding this as a positive matchup. The Warriors have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Lindy Waters Points Scored Props ? Golden State

L. Waters
shooting guard SG ? Golden State
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Lindy Waters III has attempted 5.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted overall this year. The Warriors have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). Lindy Waters III has sunk 100.0% of his free throws this year, placing him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Lindy Waters

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.9

Lindy Waters III has attempted 5.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted overall this year. The Warriors have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). Lindy Waters III has sunk 100.0% of his free throws this year, placing him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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