Saints vs Packers MNF Prop Bets: Miller's Time

With Alvin Kamara out again, someone will have to pick up the slack in the Saints offense. Cue Kendre Miller, who should see an expanded role and feature close to the goal line. More on our Saints vs Packers props below.

Shawn Wronka - Contributor at Covers.com
Shawn Wronka ? Betting Analyst
Dec 22, 2024 ? 22:56 ET ? 4 min read
Kendre Miller New Orleans Saints NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images.

The New Orleans Saints' season may be over but they have plenty of fresh faces starting at key positions, including rookie quarterback Spencer Rattler and second-year running back Kendre Miller. They travel to Lambeau Field on Monday night to take on Jordan Love and the Green Bay Packers, who are fighting for playoff positioning.

Who will show out on Monday Night Football from the Frozen Tundra?

Continue reading for free NFL player props and NFL picks for the Saints vs Packers on Monday, December 23rd.

Saints vs Packers MNF props

Read full analysis of each pick.

Saints vs Packers MNF props

Prop bet #1: Kendre Miller anytime touchdown

+150 at FanDuel

Kendre Miller may not be a household name, but many would argue that that has been outside of his control. After tearing his ACL late in the 2023 college football season, Miller spent much of his last year rehabbing from injury.

Miller struggled once again with hamstring injuries this year and seemingly got on the now-fired Dennis Allen's wrong side, whose superfluous and vengeful placement of Miller on the injured reserve was coincidentally one of the final straws that led to his dismissal.

He's flashed his skills since returning, scoring a touchdown in his return and then racking up a 5.1 YPC last week while taking over the backfield following an injury to Alvin Kamara.

Kamara is out this week (and possibly the rest of the season) and Miller will start in his place against a Green Bay Packers defense that has allowed a touchdown to a running back in five of their last six games.

In Week 18 last year, Miller racked up 14 touches for 73 yards and a touchdown in a spot start with Kamara sitting out, a performance he can easily repeat this week.

Prop bet #2: Spencer Rattler longest pass Under 30.5 yards

-114 at FanDuel

Rookie quarterback Spencer Rattler has been thrust into a starting role once again after previously-named starter Jake Haener was benched at halftime in last week's game.

Rattler did give the offense a jump start and propelled the Saints to a 19-20 scoreline before failing to convert on a game-winning two-point conversion. 

He has given the Saints' offense a spark with the occasional long pass and has gone over Monday's prop total of 30.5 for his longest pass completion in each of his four appearances.

But this week, he draws a matchup against arguably the best safety duo in the league in Xavier McKinney and Evan Williams, who should be able to contain former Packer Marquez Valdes-Scantling.

Alvin Kamara and Bub Means caught his two 30+ yard passes in his previous appearance, and both players are out for this contest.

Prop bet #3: Jordan Love Under 6.5 rushing yards

-113 at FanDuel

Jordan Love has proven to be mobile and elusive in the pocket, but he hasn't exactly translated that into rushing production this year.

His 6.5 rushing yard total for Monday night might seem low at first glance, but he has failed to hit that mark in all but four of his 12 starts this year, and three of those instances came in his first four starts.

That is particularly significant given that Love has hobbled around as he has played through lower leg injuries throughout the year, and the only two times he went over the 6.5 mark since the bye was in a razor-thin win against the Bears in Week 11 and loss to the Lions in Week 14.

The Packers are not projected to be in a close game with the Saints, so relying on his legs likely won't be necessary. Plus, there is the entirely realistic possibility that end-of-game kneel-downs could shave off 3-5 yards even if he narrowly goes over it at first.

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Shawn Wronka - Covers
Betting Analyst

Shawn Wronka is an analytics-based sports bettor who was drawn to analytics at an early age via the stats on the back of sports cards. He began sports betting in 2016, and took an immediate interest in UFC before finding his way towards other major sports.

After years of casual betting, he took an interest in the numbers-based approach and specialized in learning and applying those techniques to niche markets such as player props, the NFL and NBA drafts, and F1. Shawn finds writing a good way to balance the time he spends on numbers, giving him an outlet to paint quantitative edges into qualitative narratives.

A graduate of the University of Wisconsin-Madison, his work has been seen in dozens of publications including the National Post, Financial Post, Calgary Herald, Vancouver Sun, and The Province.

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