The 2024 NFL regular season is coming to a close but regular season win totals remain a hot topic when it comes to NFL odds. The Kansas City Chiefs are no longer undefeated and now have a projected NFL win total of 14.5. Lowly teams like the Carolina Panthers and New England Patriots have season long over unders of 3.5 or 4.5 wins.
NFL Win Totals
View NFL win totals odds for all 32 teams below.
Team | Win total | Over | Under |
---|---|---|---|
Arizona Cardinals | 8.5 | -130 | +100 |
Atlanta Falcons | 8.5 | -230 | +185 |
Baltimore Ravens | 11.5 | +155 | -190 |
Buffalo Bills | 13.5 | -185 | +150 |
Carolina Panthers | 4.5 | -105 | -120 |
Chicago Bears | 5.5 | +185 | -225 |
Cincinnati Bengals | 7.5 | -185 | +150 |
Cleveland Browns | 4.5 | +180 | -225 |
Dallas Cowboys | 6.5 | +125 | -150 |
Denver Broncos | 10.5 | +155 | -190 |
Detroit Lions | 14.5 | +185 | -225 |
Green Bay Packers | 12.5 | +160 | -200 |
Houston Texans | 10.5 | -130 | +100 |
Indianapolis Colts | 8.5 | +130 | -160 |
Jacksonville Jaguars | 4.5 | -145 | +120 |
Kansas City Chiefs | 14.5 | -110 | -110 |
LA Chargers | 10.5 | +160 | -200 |
LA Rams | 9.5 | -190 | +155 |
Las Vegas Raiders | 3.5 | +108 | -130 |
Miami Dolphins | 7.5 | -190 | +155 |
Minnesota Vikings | 13.5 | -125 | +105 |
New England Patriots | 3.5 | -190 | +150 |
New Orleans Saints | 6.5 | +115 | -140 |
New York Giants | 3.5 | +160 | -200 |
New York Jets | 5.5 | -125 | +100 |
Philadelphia Eagles | 14.5 | -105 | -115 |
Pittsburgh Steelers | 11.5 | +120 | -145 |
San Francisco 49ers | 7.5 | -225 | +180 |
Seattle Seahawks | 9.5 | +100 | -130 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 10.5 | +145 | -175 |
Tennessee Titans | 4.5 | -125 | +100 |
Washington Commanders | 10.5 | -180 | +145 |
Opening NFL Win Totals
Here is a look at opening NFL Win Totals.
- Arizona Cardinals (Over/Under 6.5 wins)
- Atlanta Falcons (Over/Under 9.5 wins)
- Baltimore Ravens (Over/Under 11.5 wins)
- Buffalo Bills (Over/Under 10.5 wins)
- Carolina Panthers (Over/Under 5.5 wins)
- Chicago Bears (Over/Under 8.5 wins)
- Cincinnati Bengals (Over/Under 10.5 wins)
- Cleveland Browns (Over/Under 8.5 wins)
- Dallas Cowboys (Over/Under 10.5 wins)
- Denver Broncos (Over/Under 5.5 wins)
- Detroit Lions (Over/Under 10.5 wins)
- Green Bay Packers (Over/Under 9.5 wins)
- Houston Texans (Over/Under 9.5 wins)
- Indianapolis Colts (Over/Under 8.5 wins)
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Over/Under 8.5 wins)
- Kansas City Chiefs (Over/Under 11.5 wins)
- Las Vegas Raiders (Over/Under 6.5 wins)
- LA Chargers (Over/Under 8.5 wins)
- LA Rams (Over/Under 8.5 wins)
- Miami Dolphins (Over/Under 9.5 wins)
- Minnesota Vikings (Over/Under 6.5 wins)
- New England Patriots (Over/Under 5.5 wins)
- New Orleans Saints (Over/Under 7.5 wins)
- New York Giants (Over/Under 6.5 wins)
- New York Jets (Over/Under 9.5 wins)
- Philadelphia Eagles (Over/Under 10.5 wins)
- Pittsburgh Steelers (Over/Under 7.5 wins)
- San Francisco 49ers (Over/Under 11.5 wins)
- Seattle Seahawks (Over/Under 7.5 wins)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Over/Under 7.5 wins)
- Tennessee Titans (Over/Under 6.5 wins)
- Washington Commanders (Over/Under 6.5 wins)
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Which NFL team is expected to have the most wins in 2024?
The Kansas City Chiefs have a win total of 14.5. The Chiefs opened at 11.5, but their near-perfect start has boosted this total by three whole wins. The Detroit Lions also have a 14.5 season long over under. Those are the two highest team over unders in the NFL right now.
Which NFL team is expected to have the least wins in 2024?
Bottom-of-the-barrel honors go to the New England Patriots, New York Giants, and Carolina Panthers. Last year saw the Pats finish 4-13, while the Panthers went 2-15.
When does Vegas release NFL win totals?
Traditionally, sportsbooks opened NFL regular season win totals odds soon after the free agency period and the NFL Draft. However, many sportsbooks have started offering this wager even earlier, releasing NFL props as soon as the week following the Super Bowl.
Popular NFL futures markets
How to bet NFL season win totals
Season win totals are somewhat self-explanatory: betting on how many wins a team will have that regular season.
Oddsmakers set a projected number of wins for each team — based on past success, returning personnel and strength of schedule — and offer Over/Under betting options, allowing you to wager on if a team will exceed that win total (Over) or fall short of it (Under). This total does not include postseason games.
On top of the season win total itself, oddsmakers set an assigned cost to the Over and Under bets — also known as vig or juice — depending on the implied probability of the team winning more or less than that total.
For example, oddsmakers calculate TEAM A to win nine games this upcoming season but do feel like there’s a better chance of them winning 10 games rather than 8. Therefore, they set TEAM A with a win total of 9 but increase the vig on the OVER to -130 (bet $1.30 to win $1) and decrease the vig on the UNDER to +110 (win $1.10 for every $1 bet).
OVER 9 WINS (-130)
UNDER 9 WINS (+110)
Season win totals are considered futures betting odds and sportsbooks will take action on season win totals from the time they post the odds until the start of the season. Futures bets are then graded at the end of the season, when all results are final.
NFL win totals trends
- There have been four teams in NFL history who have had an undefeated regular season, and the 2007 New England Patriots were the latest team to accomplish the feat.
- Five teams have gone winless in NFL history, with the 2017 Cleveland Browns being the last to do so.
- The Kansas City Chiefs have the most regular season wins in the last 10 years (117).
Win total history
Here's a quick look at recent NFL win total leaders.
Season | Best record | Team(s) |
---|---|---|
2023-24 | 13-4 | Baltimore Ravens |
2022-23 | 14-3 | Philadelphia Eagles |
2021-22 | 13-4 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers Green Bay Packers |
2020-21 | 14-2 | Kansas City Chiefs |
2019-20 | 14-2 | Baltimore Ravens |
2018-19 | 13-3 | New Orleans Saints Los Angeles Rams |
2017-18 | 13-3 | Four separate teams shared the honor |
2016-17 | 14-2 | New England Patriots |
2015-16 | 15-1 | Carolina Panthers |
2014-15 | 12-4 | Five separate teams shared the honor |
2013-14 | 13-3 | Denver Broncos Seattle Seahawks |
2012-13 | 13-3 | Denver Broncos Atlanta Falcons |
2011-12 | 15-1 | Green Bay Packers |
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