Lions vs Packers Prop Bets: Double Up on Detroit RBs

Prop bet #1: David Montgomery anytime TD

-140 at BetMGM

David Montgomery proved to be a valuable addition to the Detroit Lions offense last season and it’s been no different in 2024. Alongside Jahmyr Gibbs, he’s a big reason Detroit has the sixth-best rushing offense in the NFL. 

The former Chicago Bear is averaging 4.5 yards per carry for a total of 415 yards, essentially splitting the backfield load with Gibbs. The statistic that really stands out, however, is his touchdowns. Montgomery has seven rushing TDs in as many games.

In fact, the 27-year-old has registered a touchdown in all but one appearance this season, and that was on October 20 against the Minnesota Vikings. The Lions rely heavily on their run game and that will be the case again on Sunday.

Yes, the odds are a little bit steep at -140, but that’s because it almost feels like a foregone conclusion Montgomery finds the end zone. Need more evidence? In two contests against the Green Bay Packers in 2023, Montgomery had four touchdowns. 

I won’t guarantee he’ll rush for 100+ yards, but the Lions star will help his team score six points. 

Prop bet #2: Amon-Ra St. Brown Under 71.5 receiving yards

-118 at BetMGM

The Lions are slightly thin at wide receiver after Jameson Williams’ suspension. In fact, both Montgomery and Gibbs tend to feature in the pass offense more often than running backs usually would. 

Amon-Ra St. Brown is the clear WR1 in Motown, reeling in 41 grabs for 408 yards and five touchdowns. However, last week Detroit had a mere 61 passing yards in a 52-14 win over the Titans. St. Brown had a touchdown, but he also caught just two passes for seven yards. The run game dominated here for the Lions.

While St. Brown is averaging 10 yards per catch, he’s only hit the Over 71.5 yards in three games this season and just once in his last four. I’m not saying the 25-year-old won’t be involved, because he certainly will be. I just don’t think he’ll surpass that number.

It wouldn’t surprise me to see Detroit focus on their run game again and look for a lot of short passes, which isn’t going to help St. Brown rack up the receiving yards in Week 10.

Prop bet #3: Jahmyr Gibbs Over 66.5 rushing yards

-115 at BetMGM

Drafting Gibbs was a great decision by the Lions. The former Alabama standout has been fantastic since stepping into the league, averaging 5.2 yards per carry in his rookie year. He’s been even better so far in 2024. 

Gibbs has rushed for 6.4 yards per carry and six touchdowns, forming a lethal duo with Montgomery. This specific bet feels like an absolute no-brainer given the numbers.

The sophomore back has hit the Over in every single game but Week 1. Last weekend, Gibbs ran for 127 yards. Week 8? Another 116 yards. Those were his first two 100+ rushing games of the season. Gibbs seems to be getting better as the campaign rolls on.

While the Packers’ run defense is 10th in the league, Gibbs averaged 4.9 yards per carry in the two matchups last season. The 22-year-old has confidence and momentum right now. He’ll cook on Sunday.