Aaron Rodgers Picks, Predictions, and Best Bets for Jets vs Vikings

Considering the dominance that the Minnesota Vikings have showcased through the first four weeks of the season, Aaron Rodgers and the New York Jets could be in for a pass-heavy game script on Sunday.

Kenny Ducey - Betting Analyst at Covers
Kenny Ducey ? Betting Analyst
Oct 5, 2024 ? 19:34 ET ? 4 min read
Aaron Rodgers New York Jets NFL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

With the Minnesota Vikings starting fast out of the gate, the New York Jets could find themselves trailing early on when these two teams meet in London. 

I break down how this affects Aaron Rodgers' odds when the Jets quarterback takes the field on Sunday morning. Make sure to also check out our favorite Jets vs. Vikings predictions and Jets vs. Vikings prop picks before placing your wagers!

Aaron Rodgers player prop picks

Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

Aaron Rodgers prop pick

My best bet
Over 224.5 passing yards (-115 at BetMGM)

My analysis

Despite a strong DVOA against the pass, teams have had to look nowhere else but the secondary against the Minnesota Vikings as they play from behind and try to avoid an equally imposing line.

As a result, we’ve seen the last three quarterbacks who have faced Minnesota pass for 294+ yards, and I expect Aaron Rodgers to fall in line behind them.

The Vikings have shown a reliance on their top corner Stephon Gilmore, but have struggled in defending tight ends and receivers lower on the depth chart. This should work out well for Rodgers and the New York Jets as they look to hit their stride offensively. 

Rodgers has eclipsed this number in half of his starts and also grades out as the league’s fifth-best quarterback according to Pro Football Focus, so I’m into where the Jets are expected to trail and should throw often.

Aaron Rodgers same-game parlay

Aaron Rodgers Over 224.5 passing yards

Over 40.5

Mike Williams Over 27.5 receiving yards

While Rodgers should have success through the air, Minnesota should continue to feast offensively against a brutal Jets front seven that's missing C.J. Mosley. 

Against the WR2 position, the Vikings rank last in the league with 8.3 targets and 94.3 yards allowed per game — yielding 78 yards on five grabs to Dontayvion Wicks a week ago and 94 yards on 10 catches against Stefon Diggs before that.

That should open the door for Mike Williams, who’s been growing into the Jets offense. The former first-round pick played 58% of the snaps last week, and he owns an average depth of target of 12 yards entering Week 5.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Kenny Ducey - Covers
Betting Analyst

Kenny Ducey has worked in sports media for more than 10 years and began his journey as a credentialed reporter with Fordham University's WFUV Sports before moving on to Sports Illustrated. There, he wrote about baseball, basketball, and tennis - twice covering the NBA Finals.

He's been in the betting space for seven years, and has established himself as a top expert in MLB and tennis handicapping with brands like Tennis Channel, NBC Sports, and DraftKings. He's also been a frequent guest on betting shows such as MLB's Bettor's Eye and Tennis Bets Live.

Kenny has a knack for identifying underappreciated pitchers and tennis players as moneyline underdogs and credits his unique data analysis and hours of watching sports as the biggest reasons for success through the years. His best advice to bettors? Watch the games, trust your eye, and always question the public narrative.

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