College Football National Championship Odds 2025: Oregon Rises to No. 1, Ohio State Stumbles

Rivalry Week made its mark on the College Football National Championship odds, sending betting favorite Ohio State down the board following a fourth straight loss to Michigan.

That's paving the way for Oregon — which has been AP No. 1 for nearly two months — to become the new top betting choice in the latest CFP odds. 

College Football National Championship odds

College Football National Championship betting favorites

Oregon Ducks (+350)

The Oregon Ducks have made a steady rise up the odds board after a sluggish start that saw them barely hold off the likes of Idaho and Boise State.

However, taking down No. 2 Ohio State was the statement victory Dan Lanning's squad needed, and the Ducks followed that up with six straight wins over Big Ten squads. 

The slow start is very much in the rearview, putting now 12-0 Oregon on the shortlist of true national title contenders after continuing to be ranked No. 1 by the CFP committee.

Texas Longhorns (+425)

It hasn't always been pretty but the Texas Longhorns have done what they've needed to do since losing to Georgia in Week 8.

They ran the table, booked their spot in the SEC title game, and are just one last win away from snagging a first-round bye in the College Football Playoff. 

Georgia Bulldogs (+450)

This odds board hasn't quite been able to shake the Georgia Bulldogs. 

Kirby Smart's squad has two losses and looked to be on the outside looking in, but some recent chaos in the SEC has given the Bulldogs another chance at an SEC title and, in turn, improved chances in the national title picture.

Georgia's ridiculous overtime win vs. Georgia Tech gave the Bulldogs a clear shot to the CFP, as they just need to win the SEC title game to make it. Hell, they might even make it if they lose!

College Football National Championship odds over time

College Football National Championship predictions

Oddsmakers are telling us that if the season ended today, Ohio State (+275 at BetMGM) would win the national championship over Georgia (+350 at BetMGM). Ohio State's +275 odds convert to a 26.7% implied probability, while Georgia's +350 odds convert to an implied probability of 22.2%.

Douglas Farmer's College Football National Championship prediction: Ohio State

This was my bet in January at +650. This was my bet in August at +400. This remains my bet now at +275. Ohio State has the best defense in the country, one so good its multiple NFL-caliber defensive linemen are somehow not the headliners. But coordinator Jim Knowles turned them loose to ruin Indiana’s unbeaten season, and that newfound aggression only raises the Buckeyes’ ceiling.

As their offense improves, despite worrying offensive line injuries, there is no weakness on this team. That cannot be said of anyone else in the country.

College Football National Championship betting splits

• Ohio State remains the people's choice through 12 weeks of action, gathering 13.7% of all tickets (first) and 16.5% of betting handle (first) to win the national title, per BetMGM. That makes the Buckeyes the second-biggest liability for sportsbooks in 2024.
  
  
• Georgia is third and second in those categories with respective marks of 10.6% and 15.5%. Still, the Bulldogs are outside of the Top 3 in liability at BetMGM behind teams like Colorado (2.8% tickets, 2.6% handle at +5,000) and Tennessee (7.5%, 5.5% at +4,000).
  
  
• Texas is second in total tickets (11.4%) and third in betting handle (11.6%) after three straight SEC victories.

College Football Playoff odds

NCAA College Football Playoff odds are determined by professional oddsmakers at sportsbooks or betting sites. This year, the College Football Playoff bracket has expanded to 12 teams. The odds reflect the probability of a particular outcome and are set to attract balanced betting action on both sides of a wager. Here are some of the factors oddsmakers consider before releasing lines to the public:

Team performance: Oddsmakers assess the performance of the teams throughout the season, including their win-loss records and strength of schedule

Injuries: The status of key players, especially quarterbacks and other impact positions, can have a major impact on the odds.

Head-to-head matchups: The historical performance of teams against each other, as well as their most recent matchups, can influence the odds.

Public perception: Oddsmakers take into account public sentiment and betting patterns. If a popular team like Notre Dame or Ohio State is playing, odds may be adjusted to limit the sportsbook's risk.

Venue: The location of the game (neutral site or home-field advantage) can affect the odds.

Coaching: The reputation and experience of the coaches can play a big role in setting odds.

Once these factors are considered, oddsmakers set an initial line, known as the opening line. This line is adjusted based on betting activity to ensure the sportsbook has a balanced amount of money on both sides of the wager. If too much money is coming in on one side, the odds may be adjusted to encourage betting on the other side.

College Football National Championship history

Season	Team	Record	Rank
2023	Michigan Wolverines	15-0	1
2022	Georgia Bulldogs	15-0	1
2021	Georgia Bulldogs	14-1	3
2020	Alabama Crimson Tide	13-0	1
2019	LSU Tigers	15-0	1
2018	Clemson Tigers	15-0	2
2017	Alabama Crimson Tide	13-1	4
2016	Clemson Tigers	14-1	2
2015	Alabama Crimson Tide	14-1	2

College Football National Championship trends

• The CFP National Championship has been won by an SEC team in six of the last nine years. 
• An SEC team has played in the National Championship game in seven of the last eight years.
• The No. 1-ranked team has won just four of the last 10 National Championships.
• Only two teams outside of the SEC, Big Ten, Big 12, and ACC have made an appearance in the National Championship (2014 Oregon, 2023 Washington).

Understanding college football futures odds

Sportsbooks release college football futures odds as soon as the clock hits zero in the previous season's national championship game. There are many ways to wager on NCAA football futures but picking the outright winner of the national championship is definitely the most popular. During the offseason and preseason, you'll be able to get a plus-money price on basically any team in the nation as there is so much uncertainty around what will happen next year.

NCAA football championship odds will usually look like this:

• Alabama Crimson Tide +700

This means that on a $100 bet, you'll stand to win $700 if the Crimson Tide win the national title. If it's close to the end of the regular season and there is a particularly dominant program, you might see that a team is has a minus sign (-) ahead of its odds. 

• Georgia Bulldogs -145

This means that if you bet on Georgia you would need to bet $145 to profit $100 if the Bulldogs won the championship.

Of course, futures odds are a fluid market. They can change every day based on news, injuries, suspensions, transfers, etc. In college football there generally isn't too much movement in the futures market during the offseason, but once the season begins, look for huge changes week-to-week based on wins and losses.

All the odds seen above are in American format. Should you find decimal format or fractional format easier to read, simply convert the odds using our simple odds converter tool.

College Football National Championship Odds FAQs

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