The NBA In-Season Tournament continues tonight with six games on the schedule, so I’ve found some NBA player props that will be a slam dunk on those colorful courts.
Here are my NBA picks for Tuesday, November 19.
Best NBA player props today
-
Collins Over 7.5 rebs (+105 at bet365) -
Murphy Under 16.5 pts (-115 at bet365) -
Hachimura Over 1.5 threes (+155 at bet365)
Picks made on 11-19 at 2:00 p.m. ET.
NBA player props for November 19
Prop bet #1: Zach Collins Over 7.5 rebounds
The Oklahoma City Thunder enter tonight’s matchup against the San Antonio Spurs with an 11-3 record despite Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, and Jaylin Williams all missing significant time.
However, losing all those bigs is hurting the Thunder in an obvious area — on the boards. OKC ranks dead last in both rebounding rate and opposing rebounds per game.
Now, if Spurs phenom Victor Wembanyama was playing, he would be primed for a night of cleaning up the glass. But he too is listed as doubtful, dealing with a knee injury.
So, that has me looking at Zach Collins instead. San Antoino’s backup center had not been logging a ton of minutes this year because, duh, Wemby plays there. But I think Collins provides us with a solid betting opportunity tonight.
Collins immediately saw his floor time jump without Wembanyama, playing 26 minutes in a loss to the Dallas Mavericks the last time out. He hauled down six boards in that game against a team with actual bigs.
Collins is also averaging 8.4 rebounds per 36 minutes this season. Expect the backup big to get a bit more of a run against an undersized Thunder team and cash the Over.
Prop bet #2: Trey Murphy Under 16.5 points
At this point, Brandon Ingram seems to be the last man standing for the 4-10 New Orleans Pelicans.
The Pelicans have been absolutely devastated by injuries. Zion Williamson, CJ McCollum, Dejounte Murray, Herb Jones, and Jose Alvardo are all out with injuries.
Ingram is doing his best to keep his team afloat — jacking up 23 or more shots in three of his last four games — but he isn’t getting much help from the rest of this depleted roster.
That includes Trey Murphy III. The Pelicans’ wing has also been sidelined for the majority of the season to this point, coming back just three games ago. And you can tell Murphy is looking a little rusty.
The 24-year-old is shooting just 36.6% from the field, including an ugly 27.3% from 3-point range over his first three games back, resulting in 14.3 points per game.
He’ll face off tonight against a Dallas Mavericks team really stepping it up defensively this season. The Mavs enter this game ranked eighth in defensive rating and sixth in opponent effective field goal percentage. They also allow the fourth-lowest opponent 3-point percentage in the NBA.
As I said, Ingram definitely needs some help, but I’m not sure he gets it from Murphy in this matchup.
Prop bet #3: Rui Hachimura Over 1.5 threes
LeBron James and the Los Angeles Lakers will go for their sixth win in a row when they host the Utah Jazz in an In-Season Tournament game at the Crypto.com Arena on Tuesday night.
The Lakers have been getting buckets so far this season, ranking fourth in offensive rating heading into this matchup, and should be close to full strength tonight. Starting forward Rui Hachimura, who has missed the last two games with an ankle injury, is expected to be back tonight.
Hachimura has blossomed into another reliable outlet for James, averaging 12.7 points per game this season, thanks in part to shooting an impressive 50% from deep. That is on a modest 3.6 attempts per game, but James has done a great job of getting Hachimura open looks, and he's taken advantage of those opportunities.
I like Hachimura to keep that up in this matchup against the Jazz. Utah is one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA, ranking 29th in defensive rating and dead last in opponent-effective field goal percentage.
So, it only makes sense the Jazz have struggled defending the perimeter. Utah allows the fourth-most 3-point attempts and makes per game this season.
Hachimura doesn’t take the most threes, but he’s hit two or more in seven of his 10 games this season, and at +155, I love backing him to do it again in a favorable matchup.
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NBA odds today
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