Thursday’s basketball slate features eight games and plenty of excellent NBA player props to choose from.
My favorite NBA picks for Thursday, December 5 feature a Houston Rockets big man taking advantage of an undersized and undermanned frontcourt and the Dallas Mavericks' superstar guard going to work in the nation’s capital.
Finally, I’m all in on Devin Booker to keep up his hot streak against New Orleans and cash a juicy plus-money prop. Let's dive in.
Best NBA player props today
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Booker Over 34.5 alt points (+240 at bet365) -
Sengun Over 39.5 pts+reb+ast (-115 at bet365) -
Doncic Over 44.5 pts+reb+ast (-115 at bet365)
Picks made on 12-5 at 8:00 a.m. ET.
NBA player props for December 5
Prop bet #1: Devin Booker Over 34.5 alternate points
Devin Booker’s line on this one is set at 29.5, and you can take the Over at -105 odds. That’s not too shabby and feels like a lock given his history against the New Orleans Pelicans. But I’m always looking to do better, and I love bumping this line up to 34.5 to get delicious +240 odds.
Booker has averaged 29.6 points across his last seven overall, scoring at least 30 three times and going for 29 in his last game out. He’s been a better scorer at home than on the road, but he’s scored at least 30 in two of his last four on the road, including a 44-point eruption at Minnesota.
Booker has averaged a monstrous 46.8 points across his last four against New Orleans, hitting the Over three times. Booker has three 50 burgers in his last four against the Pels, including back-to-back 52-point outings at Smoothie King Center.
Kevin Durant is out after sustaining an ankle injury on Tuesday, leaving Booker as the go-to option on offense. The Pels have allowed the eighth-most points per game this season and the fifth-highest 3-point percentage. That’s good news for Booker, who knocked down five treys per game against New Orleans over his four-game heater.
This is my favorite prop of the night as Booker leads the Phoenix Suns against a depleted Pelicans team that he has cooked in recent matchups.
Prop bet #2: Alperen Sengun Over 39.5 points + rebounds + assists
I’m a sucker for Alperen Sengun, so of course I’m going back to the well tonight. The Houston Rockets big man’s PRAs line has come up significantly from 34.5 to 39.5 over the last two weeks, but the Over is still the move.
Sengun has cashed this prop in three of his last four. The exception was his last game out against Sacramento when he was ejected with just under two minutes left in the game and finished with 38.
The Golden State Warriors have allowed the fourth-most rebounds per game this season and the fourth-most assists across their last three. He went for 14/10/4 in just 21 minutes against Golden State in his first matchup with the Warriors, but I expect Sengun to see more playing time tonight.
Golden State already sports an undersized frontcourt led by Kevon Looney, Trayce Jackson-Davis, and Draymond Green, but the Dubs will be without defensive hound Green, providing Sengun with some extra room to operate in the paint as a scorer and rebounder. I love the size advantage here.
Prop bet #3: Luka Doncic Over 44.5 points+ rebounds + assists
Luka Doncic has been cooking since returning from a five-game absence. Over his last two games, he’s averaged 36.5 points, 9.5 rebounds, and 8.5 assists, good for 54.5 PRAs.
Doncic has hit the Over on this line in nine of 16 games overall, including two straight. Tonight, he gets one of the most favorable matchups in the Association when his Dallas Mavericks take on a Washington Wizards team that executed a perfect “No Win November” and has lost 15 straight.
Washington has allowed the second-most points, second-most rebounds, and seventh-most assists this season, setting Doncic up nicely to stuff the stat sheet once again. Doncic has averaged 48.4 PRAs on the road compared to just 42.6 at home.
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NBA odds today
Here are the full NBA odds for all of today’s matchups.
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