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Post All-Star Home System

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CKP22

Veteran

Joined: Mar, 2009

Posts: 1008

Posted: Jul. 12, 2013 - 11:59 PM ET #176

Quote Originally Posted by NoSoLucky:

One thing that bothers me about this system. What happens once a team clinches a solid playoff spot? Do we stop betting on that team? Pitchers take extra rest, veterans take more days off rookies get more playing time...

The record is what it is, but it's really your call. Remember a few years back the Red Sox ran out a minor league lineup for 4 straight games so I just decided not to play them.

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CKP22

Veteran

Joined: Mar, 2009

Posts: 1008

Posted: Jul. 13, 2013 - 12:00 AM ET #177

Quote Originally Posted by NoSoLucky:

One thing that bothers me about this system. What happens once a team clinches a solid playoff spot? Do we stop betting on that team? Pitchers take extra rest, veterans take more days off rookies get more playing time...

A few years back, Red Sox ran out a minor league lineup for 4 straight games. I just refused to play them in that instance even though they cleared.

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bruin95

Prospect

Joined: Mar, 2001

Posts: 378

Posted: Jul. 14, 2013 - 2:51 AM ET #178

Looks like we have our first 3 plays, starting Friday:

BOS

TEX

STL

These will be the only plays for next weekend, regardless of what happens Sunday.

The teams that have officially made it are: BOS, TB, OAK, TEX, ATL, PIT, and STL.

Pending teams are: BAL, DET, and CIN. Whichever one of these teams win on Sunday, they're in.

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BookieCrusher88

Veteran

Joined: Dec, 2010

Posts: 1309

Posted: Jul. 14, 2013 - 7:55 AM ET #179

When will this start?

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flwareagle

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2013

Posts: 298

Posted: Jul. 14, 2013 - 10:25 AM ET #180

Quote Originally Posted by BookieCrusher88:

When will this start?

My hunch is that the Post All-Star Home System will start post All-Star game.

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BuckeyeKaptn

Veteran

Joined: Jan, 2013

Posts: 1447

Posted: Jul. 14, 2013 - 12:26 PM ET #181

Quote Originally Posted by BookieCrusher88:

When will this start?

See post #178, directly above yours!! lol

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iamnomad

Prospect

Joined: May, 2008

Posts: 126

Posted: Jul. 14, 2013 - 5:29 PM ET #182

Late All Star break means fewer series, although there are more eligible teams than we've seen last couple years...

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NoSoLucky

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2012

Posts: 99

Posted: Jul. 14, 2013 - 7:23 PM ET #183

BAL, DET, CIN, BOS, TB, OAK, TEX, ATL, PIT, STL

I take it we only chase these teams when they start a 6 game homestand for 3 games. My first time using this sys.

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bruin95

Prospect

Joined: Mar, 2001

Posts: 378

Posted: Jul. 14, 2013 - 7:41 PM ET #184

Quote Originally Posted by NoSoLucky:

BAL, DET, CIN, BOS, TB, OAK, TEX, ATL, PIT, STL

I take it we only chase these teams when they start a 6 game homestand for 3 games. My first time using this sys.

The system is a 6 game chase, but it rarely goes past 3 games.

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Danrules24

Captain

Joined: May, 2012

Posts: 5921

Posted: Jul. 14, 2013 - 9:10 PM ET #185

I count 48 series that qualify.

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll

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CKP22

Veteran

Joined: Mar, 2009

Posts: 1008

Posted: Jul. 14, 2013 - 11:33 PM ET #186

A total of 10 teams with 37 series this year. See below the teams and start dates for each of their series.

Orioles (3) -- July 26, August 16, September 24

Red Sox (4) -- July 19, July 30, August 27, September 13

Tigers (4) -- July 26, August 15, August 26, September 13

Athletics (4) -- July 26, August 13, August 30, September 16

Rays (2) -- July 26, August 9

Rangers (4) -- July 19, August 13, September 9, September 23

Braves (4) -- July 26, August 9, August 27, September 23

Reds (4) -- August 2, August 19, September 2, September 23

Pirates (3) -- July 29, August 27, September 12

Cardinals (5) -- July 19, August 5, August 22, September 6, September 23

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Danrules24

Captain

Joined: May, 2012

Posts: 5921

Posted: Jul. 14, 2013 - 11:54 PM ET #187

CPK - Not sure where I got 48, but in any case I think you missed one.

Balt has 8 game homestand starting on Sept 5

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll

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CKP22

Veteran

Joined: Mar, 2009

Posts: 1008

Posted: Jul. 15, 2013 - 12:12 AM ET #188

Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

CPK - Not sure where I got 48, but in any case I think you missed one.

Balt has 8 game homestand starting on Sept 5

That is indeed correct for the Orioles starting on September 5. Nice catch. We go to 38 total series.

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bruin95

Prospect

Joined: Mar, 2001

Posts: 378

Posted: Jul. 15, 2013 - 1:30 AM ET #189

That's amazing that TB has only 2 qualifying series' the entire second half.

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hawk007

Veteran

Joined: Aug, 2008

Posts: 1332

Posted: Jul. 15, 2013 - 3:10 AM ET #190

CPK22 - Great to see you back

Betting past 3 games would be risking too much.

You know off-hand how chasing 3 games has done?

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hawk007

Veteran

Joined: Aug, 2008

Posts: 1332

Posted: Jul. 15, 2013 - 3:22 AM ET #191

Sorry. I went back and read a few posts and its 438-13 or something like that. I'm guessing that's profitable?

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CKP22

Veteran

Joined: Mar, 2009

Posts: 1008

Posted: Jul. 15, 2013 - 9:51 AM ET #192

Quote Originally Posted by bruin95:

That's amazing that TB has only 2 qualifying series' the entire second half.

While it doesn't qualify, they do have a 5-game home series that probably could be played.

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iamnomad

Prospect

Joined: May, 2008

Posts: 126

Posted: Jul. 15, 2013 - 12:10 PM ET #193

This is a great system. My only concern is that with so many teams--good teams, too--some of these series may be pretty tough, particularly when teams like Boston and TBay host each other. I may just take the 5 teams with the best home record (if there is one team I'm nervous about right now, it's Texas). Pitt and St. L. are another pair. Both teams have shown they can win on the road. Either way, I still expect it to be profitable. Just wanna try to limit my risk.

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CKP22

Veteran

Joined: Mar, 2009

Posts: 1008

Posted: Jul. 15, 2013 - 3:47 PM ET #194

Quote Originally Posted by iamnomad:

This is a great system. My only concern is that with so many teams--good teams, too--some of these series may be pretty tough, particularly when teams like Boston and TBay host each other. I may just take the 5 teams with the best home record (if there is one team I'm nervous about right now, it's Texas). Pitt and St. L. are another pair. Both teams have shown they can win on the road. Either way, I still expect it to be profitable. Just wanna try to limit my risk.

Wouldn't be too concerned. The numbers speak for themselves.

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CKP22

Veteran

Joined: Mar, 2009

Posts: 1008

Posted: Jul. 15, 2013 - 3:49 PM ET #195

I will say this: I tracked this as a six-game chase dating to 1999. Would love to go back even further to see when it lost.

With that, I do usually cut my chase after 4 games. I may play a 5th game but unlikely. In the past, I had no trouble sticking through to a 5th game with any system. However, I now cut things quicker. Probably the reason why my betting career has become a complete train wreck.

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bruin95

Prospect

Joined: Mar, 2001

Posts: 378

Posted: Jul. 16, 2013 - 4:02 AM ET #196

Quote Originally Posted by iamnomad:

This is a great system. My only concern is that with so many teams--good teams, too--some of these series may be pretty tough, particularly when teams like Boston and TBay host each other. I may just take the 5 teams with the best home record (if there is one team I'm nervous about right now, it's Texas). Pitt and St. L. are another pair. Both teams have shown they can win on the road. Either way, I still expect it to be profitable. Just wanna try to limit my risk.

One thing you could do is wait out some series. Like, for instance, this coming weekend there are 3 series. Pick the 2 you're most confident in getting an A game win, and don't bet the first game of the other series. Chances are, you'll get at least one, if not both wins from the series you bet and could now jump on the series you did not bet, if that first game happened to lose.

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scotty84

Prospect

Joined: Aug, 2012

Posts: 29

Posted: Jul. 16, 2013 - 6:15 AM ET #197

how does tampa qualify on july 26 ? they are @ yankees . also on aug.9 tampa is @ la dodgers ? am i missing something ?

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scotty84

Prospect

Joined: Aug, 2012

Posts: 29

Posted: Jul. 16, 2013 - 6:38 AM ET #198

I got 39 total series. Mistakes I noticed are in bold.

It should read the following :

Orioles (4) -- July 26, August 16, September 5, September 24

Red Sox (4) -- July 19, July 30, August 27, September 13

Tigers (4) -- July 26, August 15, August 26, September 13

Athletics (4) -- July 25, August 13, August 30, September 16

Rays (3) -- August 13, August 23, September 16

Rangers (4) -- July 19, August 13, September 9, September 23

Braves (4) -- July 26, August 9, August 27, September 23

Reds (4) -- August 2, August 19, September 2, September 23

Pirates (3) -- July 29, August 27, September 12

Cardinals (5) -- July 19, August 5, August 22, September 6, September 23

GL everyone

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CKP22

Veteran

Joined: Mar, 2009

Posts: 1008

Posted: Jul. 16, 2013 - 9:06 AM ET #199

Geez, no idea why I had the Rays down. It's clear on my spreadsheet that there is no July 26th series.

Rays should be Aug. 13 and Sept 16. Aug. 23 doesn't qualify since they leave to play a makeup game on the 27th in KC.

Yes, the A's do start July 25th instead of the 26th. Nice catch there.

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CG2A

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2012

Posts: 250

Posted: Jul. 18, 2013 - 10:54 PM ET #200

Quote Originally Posted by scotty84:

I got 39 total series. Mistakes I noticed are in bold.

It should read the following :

Orioles (4) -- July 26, August 16, September 5, September 24

Red Sox (4) -- July 19, July 30, August 27, September 13

Tigers (4) -- July 26, August 15, August 26, September 13

Athletics (4) -- July 25, August 13, August 30, September 16

Rays (3) -- August 13, August 23, September 16

Rangers (4) -- July 19, August 13, September 9, September 23

Braves (4) -- July 26, August 9, August 27, September 23

Reds (4) -- August 2, August 19, September 2, September 23

Pirates (3) -- July 29, August 27, September 12

Cardinals (5) -- July 19, August 5, August 22, September 6, September 23

GL everyone

New to this chase and want to make sure I do it correctly.

With the dates above start a 3 or 4 (depending on series number) game chase with that team? How do you guys do chase bets (EX-A BET-$50, B-bet -$100,etc?)

Thanks for all the help!!

CG

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