NHL Odds-based strategy 2019-2020

One week to go before the start of the NHL season. I will follow the same strategy as in MLB but within another range of odds, due to my sdql researches, from -125 to -115. I may make adjustments like I did in baseball, but this is the basic plan.

Odds are meant OT included but I may play regular time if my book offers "regular time-push if tied" bets (same win% ratio but better odds, I guess). We'll see.

See you soon guys, let's get that +50% bankroll!

I will try to post every bets on Covers but you can also go to the source and check my spreadsheet (tinyurl key: y4age84d)

No play tonight.

I've considered betting some dogs on Regular +0.5, within the same range of odds (see Sharks tonight) but I remembered that simplest is always the best.

0-0

Rangers -124 / 1%

Avalanche -123 / 1%

2-0

Flyers -121 / 1%

Late games later.

Islanders -125 / 1%

Vegas -114 / 1%

4-1

Tampa -118 / 1%

Rangers -127 / 1%

Never run this system for NHL but you should take a look at my MLB thread in this S&S section ("puppy on labby") and the spreadsheet, which is still avalaible.

I played big favorites for 1 month but the amounts were increasing too fast.

My money management is difficult to explain because it takes into account recent past performance, profits for the current month and sometimes pure instinct. My goal is to make +10% every month, increasing wagers to compensatepart of losses while controlling wagers, i.e. by not betting more than 5% of the bank.

With big favorites, you win more often but not enough to blindly bet on them without putting too much money during cold streaks.

I'm still trying to improve my MM. Until now I was using some kind of labby line but I am thinking about a system that doesn't take into account losses if ever the balance of the day is positive

Adding Capitals -115 / 1%

5-3

Frustrating night because Sabres & Ducks became plays and won...harsh life of european gamblers

Thank you for your interest 

No play for now but I keep an eye on Tampa. Game is scheduled at 11 pm here so I might be able not to fall asleep before puck drop 

Toronto  - 127 / 1.20%

Columbus - 116 / 1.09%

Forgot to post week 1 recap: 5-3 (+1.1%)

6-4

Panthers - 118 / 1.26%

Ducks  - 116 / 1.24%

7-5

Flyers -122 / 1.43%

Sabres -118 / 1.38%

9-5

Devils  - 121 / 1%

Jets -114 / 1%

Vegas  - 122 / 1%

I'm trying an even more conservative MM than the one I used for baseball. I don't cover all losses, only losing days. For ex., I'm 1-2 today (-1.1%). I will not try to recover the -2% loss corresponding to the 2 losing teams (as I did in baseball), only the - 1.1%.

The 2-0 Wednesday covered all losing days so I got back to 1%.

I may adjust and be more aggressive later into the season if the win% works fine. But for now, I don't want to burn MLB profit 

10-7

Panthers - 121 / 1.16%

Yes... and I don't like it! 

Good luck to you 

Too many games, within or very closed to the range. So I'm gonna drop 1% on each.

If it goes well, it will be a good night. If it fails, it will be less painful

Already put 1% on Rangers  - 127

All lines are going up and down, plays are going and coming...

Well, I think about posting all plays in about an hour, whatever they are, and enjoying my Saturday evening playing darts and drinking beers 

10-8

All plays 1%

Rangers - 127, Blues & Wild - 120, Islanders - 119, Stars -118

And Chicago  -125

That will be it. 

11-13

Low kick in the nuts yesterday.

Jets -123 / 1.48%

Sharks -121 / 1.45%