SwampMonster12

Be back with more fadeable plays lmao 

BOL BAWS 

2H line makes ZERO sense 

I was fully expecting to see -3 for PHO given the fact Dupree has played 2min, Tiffany Hayes looks like a healthy scratch, PHO absolutey dominating glass (+13), FT (+10) and efficiency on offense (60% from 3, 46% v 35%). 

Yet here we are at PK (@my book, most show +1/2 for ATL). I’m a sucker for pain and I’m doubling down on the 2H. I still think fatigue will play a factor in this game coming down the stretch. Also, love the defensive pressure and pace ATL is playing with right now forcing 15 TOs. I fully expect some regression on BOTH sides. I don’t think the FT disparity ends +20+, I don’t think they get outrebounded by 26+ and I don’t think the shooting remains at 35%. I also don’t anticipate the Mercury to turn it over 30x today. That said I don’t mind ATLs position right here. Their competing, they’ve battled back from potential knock blows early and they are in this game.

I fully expect a competitive half. Didn’t expect Hayes and Dupree to basically not play today so I’ll revise my prior prediction and say Dream still play tough and make this a one possession game down the stretch.

DREAM PK 2H DOUBLE DOOZY 

Let’s be very clear the Phoenix Mercury are not a great team, heck they aren’t even a good team. Dianna looks like she’s lost about 8 steps and Griner couldn’t careless about playing basketball (or so it seems with her effort half the time). The fact they are 12-10 is actually mind blowing given how inconsistent this team is and how up and down their effort is. Half this roster played in the Olympics and they’ve all come back, missed no time and this will be their 4th game in 6 days traveling across the country where it’s 11am facing a team they just beat by 11 because they shot 10+ more free throws.

Today the wheels fall off the wagon for the Meecury. I honestly won’t be shocked if they lose this game by 10+ but 6 points given the situation is WAY to many to a more than capable team in the Dream. The dream aren’t without their flaws and also have a tough scheduling situation here but they are back home and competing. 

ATL +6 MASSIVE PLAY THIS MORNING 

Ive laid low up until this point of the WNBA season waiting for the opportunity to pounce and tonight is OUR night - I¡¯m back with the GOODS! 

PICK: Sun (-1.5) 

What a situation! The first two meetings vs the teams were @SEA w/key pieces absent for Suns. Suns come into this game with DOUBLE REVENGE inning it¡¯s mind vs Sea and that has been an absolutely amazing angle for the WNBA as a whole! Connecticut falls into a great situation where we play on favorites revenging two straight losses where opponent scored 75 or more points, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 30-8 ATS over the last five seasons. Storm scored 84 and 103 in their two wins v Sun earlier this season. The other factor here is the fact Seattle cannot continue winning the way they are extending their starters and hiding their biggest weakness which is their depth. They have been fortunate to matchup with teams lacking depth and production from their bench @CHI they were +2 net (+/-) but Chicago was -46. Vs Dal they were -1 but Dallas was -3. The other thing that really has my eyes opened here is their schedule my goodness it doesn¡¯t get much more grueling for WNBA schedule than what the Storm have experienced since Jun 24th they have travelled a whole lot. You have to wonder if this is the ideal time to fade this team on this road trip. They are separating themselves as #1 seed and you can¡¯t help but think maybe that All Star break rest is creeping into their head. I think this line screams PUBLIC JOE BLOW GETS SLAYED! Suns have looked very good since getting healthy - look they gave up Half court buzzer beater to another crazy hot team but they have handled business in the other two games pulverizing Lynx on the road 83-64 and beating Mercury 91-87 two quality wins. Tonight is horrible matchup for Seattle. The Sun are so deep and balanced I think they really flex their muscles tonight!