Ive laid low up until this point of the WNBA season waiting for the opportunity to pounce and tonight is OUR night - I¡¯m back with the GOODS!
PICK: Sun (-1.5)
What a situation! The first two meetings vs the teams were @SEA w/key pieces absent for Suns. Suns come into this game with DOUBLE REVENGE inning it¡¯s mind vs Sea and that has been an absolutely amazing angle for the WNBA as a whole! Connecticut falls into a great situation where we play on favorites revenging two straight losses where opponent scored 75 or more points, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 30-8 ATS over the last five seasons. Storm scored 84 and 103 in their two wins v Sun earlier this season. The other factor here is the fact Seattle cannot continue winning the way they are extending their starters and hiding their biggest weakness which is their depth. They have been fortunate to matchup with teams lacking depth and production from their bench @CHI they were +2 net (+/-) but Chicago was -46. Vs Dal they were -1 but Dallas was -3. The other thing that really has my eyes opened here is their schedule my goodness it doesn¡¯t get much more grueling for WNBA schedule than what the Storm have experienced since Jun 24th they have travelled a whole lot. You have to wonder if this is the ideal time to fade this team on this road trip. They are separating themselves as #1 seed and you can¡¯t help but think maybe that All Star break rest is creeping into their head. I think this line screams PUBLIC JOE BLOW GETS SLAYED! Suns have looked very good since getting healthy - look they gave up Half court buzzer beater to another crazy hot team but they have handled business in the other two games pulverizing Lynx on the road 83-64 and beating Mercury 91-87 two quality wins. Tonight is horrible matchup for Seattle. The Sun are so deep and balanced I think they really flex their muscles tonight!
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