porcelainfist

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Last Activity: 29 July 2020

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Entries	Thread Author	Posts	Activity
created a topic Grand Salami under 127.5 in MLB Betting Degrom, Scherzer, Hendricks, Cole, Cueto, Paddack, Bumgarner, Soroka, Morton, Giolito not to mention some other quality guys like Heaney View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	1	July 29, 2020 View Post \| View Thread
replied to What I do sometimes, you too probably in MLB Betting Quick, exactly. I like Dodgers, but if they score I��ll probably take them with extreme juice anyway, something like -2000 ML View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	4	July 26, 2020 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic What I do sometimes, you too probably in MLB Betting Sometimes when I��m up a little but not a lot, I put it all on one play. Either I get a healthy boost or try again next week. Tonight: LAD score first, -160. All my wins for 62.5% more View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	4	July 26, 2020 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Need advice in NFL Betting You need to find a way to gain discipline in three major areas: 1. Bankroll discipline. You need to find a reptilian way to decide EXACTLY how much money you will put on a pick. To do this, you need a way to quantify your confidence into an exact number. 2. Handicapping discipline. My guess with you if you��re losing is that you are a bright football fan who notices nuances and knows in game whether you are likely to win or lose. But this is the bare minimum to wager on sports. You haven��t quit after being down 170 units, it makes me think that you have the determination to make this work. You need to develop a system for QUANTIFYING your beliefs in teams. Without some form of statistical system to turn your confidence and beliefs into data, you will not know what your confidence in team A��s defense is compared to team B��s offense. Try to find statistics you believe are important. Try to find each team��s average and try to find a way to make these averages ��talk�� to one another. This will give you a ��master number��, and try to find what this master number means to the spread. Discipline can get you out of a 170 unit hole. The best advice is to lower your unit size to .10 units and try to get 1 unit up. You can add as you go. View Post \| View Thread	Beantownsports	51	October 29, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to I need advice from the veteran gamblers - dead serious here in NFL Betting Don��t do it. You need to drastically lower your wager size and forget what you��ve already lost. It��s gone. This game doesn��t go up, it goes down. Do yourself a favor and put $500 on what you think would win. If it wins, consider that your bankroll. If it loses, you��ll be nearly $4000 richer for having discipline. View Post \| View Thread	ActionMagnet	94	September 23, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Of course took the OVER anddddd in NFL Betting When I wrote that the score was 17-14, they took the 2 pt off the board View Post \| View Thread	shoclo	20	September 15, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Of course took the OVER anddddd in NFL Betting I took Over 52, so just 3 TDs left come on View Post \| View Thread	shoclo	20	September 15, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Of course took the OVER anddddd in NFL Betting Quick strike. Now over bettors only need four TDs and a FG View Post \| View Thread	shoclo	20	September 15, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to J-E-T-S! Jets! Jets! Jets! in NFL Betting I believe the Jets have a very good chance to win outright. View Post \| View Thread	DoctorSuccess	7	September 15, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to New Orleans Saints @ Los Angeles Rams in NFL Betting Oh sweet, the Rams are the ��better team��, these are some incredibly revelations! View Post \| View Thread	EastsideBangers	23	September 14, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to When Belichick Shows Mercy in NFL Betting Weather is rough too. View Post \| View Thread	lancer89074	10	September 13, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to anyone else stoked about mia +18.5??? in NFL Betting Hmmm you have Pats winning 38-10 in 70% humidity and first half rain? I am dropping the Patriots total from 38 to 31 for the humidity alone. Let��s say the score is 31-10 in the fourth quarter, 8 minutes left. Do you really want that -17 ticket? Cuz i definitely want my +19 at that moment. True score: Patriots win 27-20 The Dolphins fight for their lives. Fitzpatrick runs head first all day. Maybe bleeds a little. View Post \| View Thread	clubtnt	45	September 11, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NBA Summer League Thread in NBA Betting ADDED Lakers ML 1u +115 View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	5	July 05, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic NBA Summer League Thread in NBA Betting no one seems interested rn so here goes nothing: Croatia ml +190 1u Croatia +4 (bad number) 1u Bucks -1, 110 1u TWolves -1 1u Heat -1 1u Spurs over 170.5 1u Got mostly good numbers, but Croatia could��ve gotten 6.5 if I waited. Also parlayed all of the above with Lakers ML and Lakers Over for .15 u wins 12 units View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	5	July 05, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Stop Betting Before The Game !! DUBS/ROCKS G4 in NBA Betting The biggest problem I see w this philosophy is that you will lay around 10 cents more juice live. However, you will always get a better line. In the rare instances when you don��t, you can always lay off View Post \| View Thread	OldGreg808	28	May 07, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Similar Strategy in NBA Betting Bought out 1.70units Bucks to win 1 unit. Effective risk is now 0u on Celtics moneyline to win .9 units Going to hold on the plus money under, 212 is too high. If it reaches 190 I will buy a middle of not I��ll just let it ride unless it gets really really tight at the end. Anyway, not big di.cking anyone my dogs, just showing my strategies here for fun. Enjoy and I��ll see you guys hours before warriors. View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	7	April 28, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Similar Strategy in NBA Betting That��s what it was my boi, and by guaranteed profit I meant one sided profit if the spurs win. However, if I wanted to I could have split the risk and gotten guaranteed profit. However, it was hovering around -240 for a long time, so just imagine I bought it then instead, would have been the same result 2.4 u wins 1 unit leaving a possible 1.5 units profit. I was stoked I got 130 but in the end it doesn��t matter as long as it��s under 390 (or equal to for that matter) View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	7	April 28, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Similar Strategy in NBA Betting Live total is already at 215.5, deciding whether I want guaranteed profit or a middle. View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	7	April 28, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Similar Strategy in NBA Betting I didn��t profit. Spurs didn��t win. But my total odds were 1u wins 3.90 original parlay. This means any amount of odds lower than -390 presents a buyout opportunity. I would gladly lose 1u if need be, and it sure looked that way, but when Spurs pulled within 2 the liveline was -130, allowing me to buy out my unit. View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	7	April 28, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Similar Strategy in NBA Betting I got Celtics +260 ml, 1u wins 2.6. I��m hoping for a smooth start for close to ev money on a buyback on the Bucks. Goal is to negate the 1u of risk to end up with 0units risk to win 1.6. Also took a bite on the series price with Celtics in 7 and Celtics in 6 at incredible +money. Didn��t even play Celtics series price, if they win it��ll be in 6 or more. This will be a slugfest. I also have alternate total under 215.5 +180, if live line drops to 215 I will buy out the risk for 0u risk to win 0.80 no prob. Might seek a middle if things go just right. View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	7	April 28, 2019 View Post \| View Thread

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Entries	Thread Author	Posts	Activity
created a topic Grand Salami under 127.5 in MLB Betting Degrom, Scherzer, Hendricks, Cole, Cueto, Paddack, Bumgarner, Soroka, Morton, Giolito not to mention some other quality guys like Heaney View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	1	July 29, 2020 View Post \| View Thread
replied to What I do sometimes, you too probably in MLB Betting Quick, exactly. I like Dodgers, but if they score I��ll probably take them with extreme juice anyway, something like -2000 ML View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	4	July 26, 2020 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic What I do sometimes, you too probably in MLB Betting Sometimes when I��m up a little but not a lot, I put it all on one play. Either I get a healthy boost or try again next week. Tonight: LAD score first, -160. All my wins for 62.5% more View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	4	July 26, 2020 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Need advice in NFL Betting You need to find a way to gain discipline in three major areas: 1. Bankroll discipline. You need to find a reptilian way to decide EXACTLY how much money you will put on a pick. To do this, you need a way to quantify your confidence into an exact number. 2. Handicapping discipline. My guess with you if you��re losing is that you are a bright football fan who notices nuances and knows in game whether you are likely to win or lose. But this is the bare minimum to wager on sports. You haven��t quit after being down 170 units, it makes me think that you have the determination to make this work. You need to develop a system for QUANTIFYING your beliefs in teams. Without some form of statistical system to turn your confidence and beliefs into data, you will not know what your confidence in team A��s defense is compared to team B��s offense. Try to find statistics you believe are important. Try to find each team��s average and try to find a way to make these averages ��talk�� to one another. This will give you a ��master number��, and try to find what this master number means to the spread. Discipline can get you out of a 170 unit hole. The best advice is to lower your unit size to .10 units and try to get 1 unit up. You can add as you go. View Post \| View Thread	Beantownsports	51	October 29, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to I need advice from the veteran gamblers - dead serious here in NFL Betting Don��t do it. You need to drastically lower your wager size and forget what you��ve already lost. It��s gone. This game doesn��t go up, it goes down. Do yourself a favor and put $500 on what you think would win. If it wins, consider that your bankroll. If it loses, you��ll be nearly $4000 richer for having discipline. View Post \| View Thread	ActionMagnet	94	September 23, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Of course took the OVER anddddd in NFL Betting When I wrote that the score was 17-14, they took the 2 pt off the board View Post \| View Thread	shoclo	20	September 15, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Of course took the OVER anddddd in NFL Betting I took Over 52, so just 3 TDs left come on View Post \| View Thread	shoclo	20	September 15, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Of course took the OVER anddddd in NFL Betting Quick strike. Now over bettors only need four TDs and a FG View Post \| View Thread	shoclo	20	September 15, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to J-E-T-S! Jets! Jets! Jets! in NFL Betting I believe the Jets have a very good chance to win outright. View Post \| View Thread	DoctorSuccess	7	September 15, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to New Orleans Saints @ Los Angeles Rams in NFL Betting Oh sweet, the Rams are the ��better team��, these are some incredibly revelations! View Post \| View Thread	EastsideBangers	23	September 14, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to When Belichick Shows Mercy in NFL Betting Weather is rough too. View Post \| View Thread	lancer89074	10	September 13, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to anyone else stoked about mia +18.5??? in NFL Betting Hmmm you have Pats winning 38-10 in 70% humidity and first half rain? I am dropping the Patriots total from 38 to 31 for the humidity alone. Let��s say the score is 31-10 in the fourth quarter, 8 minutes left. Do you really want that -17 ticket? Cuz i definitely want my +19 at that moment. True score: Patriots win 27-20 The Dolphins fight for their lives. Fitzpatrick runs head first all day. Maybe bleeds a little. View Post \| View Thread	clubtnt	45	September 11, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NBA Summer League Thread in NBA Betting ADDED Lakers ML 1u +115 View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	5	July 05, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic NBA Summer League Thread in NBA Betting no one seems interested rn so here goes nothing: Croatia ml +190 1u Croatia +4 (bad number) 1u Bucks -1, 110 1u TWolves -1 1u Heat -1 1u Spurs over 170.5 1u Got mostly good numbers, but Croatia could��ve gotten 6.5 if I waited. Also parlayed all of the above with Lakers ML and Lakers Over for .15 u wins 12 units View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	5	July 05, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Stop Betting Before The Game !! DUBS/ROCKS G4 in NBA Betting The biggest problem I see w this philosophy is that you will lay around 10 cents more juice live. However, you will always get a better line. In the rare instances when you don��t, you can always lay off View Post \| View Thread	OldGreg808	28	May 07, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Similar Strategy in NBA Betting Bought out 1.70units Bucks to win 1 unit. Effective risk is now 0u on Celtics moneyline to win .9 units Going to hold on the plus money under, 212 is too high. If it reaches 190 I will buy a middle of not I��ll just let it ride unless it gets really really tight at the end. Anyway, not big di.cking anyone my dogs, just showing my strategies here for fun. Enjoy and I��ll see you guys hours before warriors. View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	7	April 28, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Similar Strategy in NBA Betting That��s what it was my boi, and by guaranteed profit I meant one sided profit if the spurs win. However, if I wanted to I could have split the risk and gotten guaranteed profit. However, it was hovering around -240 for a long time, so just imagine I bought it then instead, would have been the same result 2.4 u wins 1 unit leaving a possible 1.5 units profit. I was stoked I got 130 but in the end it doesn��t matter as long as it��s under 390 (or equal to for that matter) View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	7	April 28, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Similar Strategy in NBA Betting Live total is already at 215.5, deciding whether I want guaranteed profit or a middle. View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	7	April 28, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Similar Strategy in NBA Betting I didn��t profit. Spurs didn��t win. But my total odds were 1u wins 3.90 original parlay. This means any amount of odds lower than -390 presents a buyout opportunity. I would gladly lose 1u if need be, and it sure looked that way, but when Spurs pulled within 2 the liveline was -130, allowing me to buy out my unit. View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	7	April 28, 2019 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Similar Strategy in NBA Betting I got Celtics +260 ml, 1u wins 2.6. I��m hoping for a smooth start for close to ev money on a buyback on the Bucks. Goal is to negate the 1u of risk to end up with 0units risk to win 1.6. Also took a bite on the series price with Celtics in 7 and Celtics in 6 at incredible +money. Didn��t even play Celtics series price, if they win it��ll be in 6 or more. This will be a slugfest. I also have alternate total under 215.5 +180, if live line drops to 215 I will buy out the risk for 0u risk to win 0.80 no prob. Might seek a middle if things go just right. View Post \| View Thread	porcelainfist	7	April 28, 2019 View Post \| View Thread

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