@vanzack
Thank you for taking the time to walk through the formulas. Awesome stuff¡ when you look at playing ALTERNATIVE SPREADS, i.e Rams -7.5, -10.5, etc. do you follow the same process to identify what price you¡¯d be willing to pay? Thanks, it¡¯s been said but echoing the appreciation for your insight¡??
How about 6 being more of a key number than 7?
That actually blows my mind.
Exact same process.
Interesting.
@vanzack
Good stuff thanks, Not having read this thread before betting, I played 4 points Rams win 24-20 because it paid +10,000. 4 almost won, except Somehow the holder flubbed a perfect snap for a Rams extra point in first half. Of course a million other things could have messed it up.
I don't know what 23-20 paid but I also had Rams 27-20 which was like +1500, guessing 23-20 was similar.
Thanks for this. I was interested enough now that I have some time to look at the games this season...two of your 11 were preseason games, and of the 9 remaining, six were games with the favorites winning by exactly 4 (2%). As you said, the spread had nothing to do with these games; five of the six were huge favorites failing to cover a big spread. The outlier was Raiders-Broncos, Dec. 26, 17-13 with Raiders a PK.
Three of the six were huge faves, two were narrow faves. Eagles won by 4 as a 6-point favorite, as did the Chargers.
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