Thanks froggy. Tailed you on this one and like you said no sweat whatsoever
@GTD
I've always respected you so I won't take offense, but sometimes there's a lot of disciplined effort that goes into the creation of things that may look deceivingly simple. If it's just this once, please consider the possibility that there's actually some legitimacy to what I'm offering.
Consider this. In the past 3 seasons that I have accumulated and back tested, there are 2,846 games. There are a total of 419 full four quarter sweeps (ATS). This means that 14.72% of games are potential '20-unit loss' landmines scattered in the mix. To have results where the picks essentially avoids all of these mines, but 1... and wins 200 of these matches. Is that still considered a "crap shoot"?
@GTD
I've always respected you so I won't take offense, but sometimes there's a lot of disciplined effort that goes into the creation of things that may look deceivingly simple. If it's just this once, please consider the possibility that there's actually some legitimacy to what I'm offering.
Consider this. In the past 3 seasons that I have accumulated and back tested, there are 2,846 games. There are a total of 419 full four quarter sweeps (ATS). This means that 14.72% of games are potential '20-unit loss' landmines scattered in the mix. To have results where the picks essentially avoids all of these mines, but 1... and wins 200 of these matches. Is that still considered a "crap shoot"?
@GTD
Don¡¯t be so salty. His record speaks for itself.
If you try hard enough maybe you could have a following like Froggy80 but with your negative attitude I¡¯m sure you will remain stagnant.
I hope your day gets better and I¡¯m sure your tailing his picks so good luck with the bet. I¡¯ll be on it also.
@GTD
Don¡¯t be so salty. His record speaks for itself.
If you try hard enough maybe you could have a following like Froggy80 but with your negative attitude I¡¯m sure you will remain stagnant.
I hope your day gets better and I¡¯m sure your tailing his picks so good luck with the bet. I¡¯ll be on it also.
@sbv
I appreciate your confidence in my system, but I would rather not have this thread turn into some type of civil dispute. Let's keep things amicable and agree to disagree. Nothing more to say.
Btw @GTD I'm publishing a straight up system with a resulting win rate of 69%. I'm sure that'll make you happy. =)
@sbv
I appreciate your confidence in my system, but I would rather not have this thread turn into some type of civil dispute. Let's keep things amicable and agree to disagree. Nothing more to say.
Btw @GTD I'm publishing a straight up system with a resulting win rate of 69%. I'm sure that'll make you happy. =)
The 4th Quarter Gas System
This system is a straight up pick system. Although the picks are going be nearly identical to the Quarter Method system, the wager is much simpler. It works off the idea that when a team has a clear advantage in terms of rank, fatigue, and other proprietary factors, they tend to outpace their opposition especially in the last quarter.
This system is much more selective than the Quarter Method system, so some of the picks will not overlap.
Here is a historical record:
Total Record: 66 - 31 - 1 (68.0% win rate)
Away Record: 51 - 23 - 0 (68.9% win rate)
Home Record: 15 - 8 - 1 (65.2% win rate)
I will be keeping a tab of the ongoing record in the same thread because the pick selections follow a similar formula. BOL to all who tail!
The 4th Quarter Gas System
This system is a straight up pick system. Although the picks are going be nearly identical to the Quarter Method system, the wager is much simpler. It works off the idea that when a team has a clear advantage in terms of rank, fatigue, and other proprietary factors, they tend to outpace their opposition especially in the last quarter.
This system is much more selective than the Quarter Method system, so some of the picks will not overlap.
Here is a historical record:
Total Record: 66 - 31 - 1 (68.0% win rate)
Away Record: 51 - 23 - 0 (68.9% win rate)
Home Record: 15 - 8 - 1 (65.2% win rate)
I will be keeping a tab of the ongoing record in the same thread because the pick selections follow a similar formula. BOL to all who tail!
Today's picks:
Quarter Method System (8-0)
Miami Heat 1Q (+0.5) -120
The 4th Quarter Gas System (0-0)
Miami Heat 4Q (+0.5) -115
BOL to all that tails
Today's picks:
Quarter Method System (8-0)
Miami Heat 1Q (+0.5) -120
The 4th Quarter Gas System (0-0)
Miami Heat 4Q (+0.5) -115
BOL to all that tails
Make sure you guys wager according to each strategy. Just because you have a 4th quarter bet on the 4th Quarter Gas System doesn't mean the Quarter Method system now ends on 3Q.
Make sure you guys wager according to each strategy. Just because you have a 4th quarter bet on the 4th Quarter Gas System doesn't mean the Quarter Method system now ends on 3Q.
@Froggy80
I understand you're not going to be sharing your methodology but curious about the 4Q system.
This is a bet you put in before the game? This isn't an in-game live bet? There will be no consideration given to the play of the first 3 quarters of the game?
Thanks and BOL
@Froggy80
I understand you're not going to be sharing your methodology but curious about the 4Q system.
This is a bet you put in before the game? This isn't an in-game live bet? There will be no consideration given to the play of the first 3 quarters of the game?
Thanks and BOL
@Tha_Commish77
Correct. The The 4th Quarter Gas System is not a martingale. It's a pre-match wager. It doesn't take into consideration the activities of the first 3 quarters. The martingale has an astonishing record, but in theory, is quite risky due to the increasing wager factor. This straight up strategy is clearly less riskier and complements the Martingale system because it uses a lot of the same data points as the Martingale. We're just exploiting the fatigue angle as well as other strong and pertinent angles. We should (in theory) get to a comfortable cushion much faster with the additional earnings.
@Tha_Commish77
Correct. The The 4th Quarter Gas System is not a martingale. It's a pre-match wager. It doesn't take into consideration the activities of the first 3 quarters. The martingale has an astonishing record, but in theory, is quite risky due to the increasing wager factor. This straight up strategy is clearly less riskier and complements the Martingale system because it uses a lot of the same data points as the Martingale. We're just exploiting the fatigue angle as well as other strong and pertinent angles. We should (in theory) get to a comfortable cushion much faster with the additional earnings.
@Froggy80
Ok that's what I thought. It's very interesting and I'm following along.
I have a quarters system as well but not based on Martingale.
Keep up the great work and posting everything.
@Froggy80
Ok that's what I thought. It's very interesting and I'm following along.
I have a quarters system as well but not based on Martingale.
Keep up the great work and posting everything.
@GTD
Thanks for stopping by. I personally love what you do for our community. I hope we can chat again, sharing ideas versus basing bias on what other systems have attempted and failed to do in the past. Best of luck, friend.
@GTD
Thanks for stopping by. I personally love what you do for our community. I hope we can chat again, sharing ideas versus basing bias on what other systems have attempted and failed to do in the past. Best of luck, friend.
Froggy is a sophisticated genius with a smart angle and analytic strategy. Very well thought out and battle tested. Numbers don¡¯t lie in statistics. Great work my friend.
Froggy is a sophisticated genius with a smart angle and analytic strategy. Very well thought out and battle tested. Numbers don¡¯t lie in statistics. Great work my friend.
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