🤢🥴_ Fubah's 2023 Hoops Thread _😲🥵

UPDATED: Since starting this new thread March 18 ... (12 days)

    NCAA MEN      19 - 2 *Best Bets!

    NCAA Women  18 - 1 *Best Bets!

    --------------------------------

     NCAA:  37 - 3  *Best Bets!

Tracking my bets since March 05:

NCAA MENS      106 - 49    (45 - 13 *Best Bets)

NCAA Womens    36 - 10    (21 - 5  *Best Bets)

                   142 - 59    (66 - 18 *Best Bets)

@fubah2

 Who do you like today?

Fubah's NCAA WOMEN's bets YTD...

2024 WNCAA:  54 - 20     (30 - 8  *Best Bets)

   2023 WNCAA:       53 - 28        (31 - 13 *Best Bets)
   2022 WNCAA:     125 - 83        (59 - 35 *Best Bets)

Can we start talking about the Iowa/LSU game Monday? I would like to be swayed from taking Caitlyn Clark to continue on in the tournament. I just don¡¯t see it not happening. Thanks for the information 

@fubah2 

 Geez looeeze fubah, you sure do have a way with the LADIES!  

@fubah2

 Who do you like tonight in womans?

@Dental

 Passing on PSU/Villan @ 2:30 ET..........coin-flipper!

But I am leaning to Washington State SU over Illinois in  5pm ET matchup

...more to come ...

In this second game of the day (WBIT; neutral floor)

I have the higher rated Cougars prevailing SU at just over a 2 to 1 ratio  vs. opps who are decent but not quite as good as they are.  Specifically I have them at x2.3.....meanwhile I have Illinois failing to win SU vs opps that are rated at their level or slightly higher at a flat - 2x....or -2.0

So just a sliver over 2 to 1 chance for the LADY COUGARS...

But the moneyline is -220......right smack dab where it should be....meaning no value to either side.

I favor COUGAR's chance but not enough to justify the current line. I need an edge first, then I need a cushion.  A key to my success.  And in this game I would have neither, at the CURRENT pre-game lines...

If during LIVE ACTION it can get down to under -149 then I might buy in  **IF** COUGARS are not like deer in the headlights and **IF** they are otherwise playing decent with fair boxscore metrics to back it up -- even if temporarily behind in score.....That's my thinking in most games....

...more to come...

Which team has IMPROVED from last year?

LSU:
total record: 31 - 5 ......Last year: 34 - 2 

SEC record: 15 - 4 ......Last year: 16 - 2

*vs. TOP 10: 1 - 2 .......Last year: 3 - 1

IOWA:
total record: 32 - 4 ......Last year: 31 - 7

B10 record: 18 - 3 ......Last year: 18 - 3

*vs. TOP 10: 1 - 1 ........Last year: 4 - 3

*Since January 01 only...

In addition,

Last year LSU was rated 2nd best in the country;  this year they are rated #4

Last year IOWA was rated 4th best in the country;  this year they are rated #2

Last year, the #4 rated HAWKEYES had upset the #1 Gamecocks on a Friday.

HUGE emotional high.....then you can guess what happened...

Two days later on Sunday they had a major letdown and lost by 17 to #2 LSU.

LSU led by 17 at HT and won by 17.

They made 11 3s .....which would be waaaaay above this year's avg of just 4.3

Last year they avg 34.6% from the arc.  This year only 32.1%

I mentioned before that AFFOLTER is a new key for IOWA replacing their PG Molly Davis....she's an UPGRADE!

Iowa's only starting BIG is 6'2" Stuelke and she is GOOD!!

Fouls can turn the game......3 on Steulke just a minute into 3Q......lucky for LSU!

@fubah2      

 spot on  with your analysis of  lsu / iowa rematch 

@fubah2

 spot on  with your analysis of  lsu / iowa rematch 

what do u have for tonites  nit  semis?

Working on this as we speak....

I think I'll have a decent play.......still researching  injury concerns for tonight.....

First game up in a few mins,  I have a slight lean to SYCAMORES in what is a virtual home game.

But only slight lean......this is a "wait-n-see"

SYCAMORES looking good to finish with the win

SOLID lean to PIRATES in game 2  but I need a cheaper line ingame....

Or if the boxscore metrics are favorable late in the game I may take the higher risk