Indigo lines

Here's another NFL week 1 angle.....

b)  Play a NFL week 1 away underdog of less than 10 points that won less than 9 games last season, whose present opponent won less than 13 games last season.  This opponent (the week 1 home favorite) will be more than a three point underdog their next game.....58-21-5 ATS, 73.4%,.....41-43 straight up...average moneyline price +193.9......ON Panthers, Titans, Patriots, Commanders

AD and week=1 and line<10 and on:line>3 and o:PRSW<13  and PRSW<9

/nfl/week-2-odds

Books have the early line up for the Stamps/Elks next week up with the Stamps being 2.5 point favs. 

Would be hopeful that Ford will be able to play, as I would make the Elks a pik  if he starts.  The total would be 53....tons of points should be scored.  If Ford is not able to play I would make it Calgary -3.5 50.  

Obviously hoping the Elks get crushed today, setting up a good situation for them next week.

Next week's early  lines

                                Indigo                             Sportsbooks

Roughriders               -4   46                             -2.5   47

Tiger Cats                 +7   49                             +5     52'

Lions                         -5   52                               no line

Stamps                     pik   53  with Ford              -3     50'

Here's an angle favoring the Tiger Cats next week at home versus the Argos.  I put this out now because if I don't some of these angles get lost into cyberspace.

A home divisional underdog on at least a 3 game losing streak in September playing a team that allows less than 100 yards rushing.....9-2 ATS (+7.0), 5-6 straight up (+1.91).  If we add in another game in August this moves to 10-2 ATS.  Without the defensive rush yards allowed parameter this is 13-4 ATS in August/September.

Then in October/November this same situation almost becomes the reciprocal  going 2-11-1 ATS, so it is not like this angle is super-robust.

It happens quite often that playing around with angles that we consider playing a team that we really hate....and actually this week I secretly played the Tiger Cats in their loss, but cover versus the Bombers after initially really considering the Bombers.  Taking a team with Bo Levi Mitchell these days is hold-your-nose-before-pressing-the-submit-button stuff.  You severely chastise yourself if you play him and lose. 

Obviously I won't count the win on my record here.

If the other guy, Powell, is qbing the Cats I have no qualms about playing the Tiger Cats, but if he isn't we'll see if the betting line might go north of 6.

1)  Riders +3.....winner

2)  Riders +120...loser

3)  Redblacks +110....1 unit....winner

4)  Alouettes -7..........1 unit....loser

 2-2 +0 units......season-to-date 5-6 +.2 units

Elks would've won if they had a good kicker or if Ford was the quarterback.

Seeing Elks +2.5 vs Calgary...