The 66th annual Grammy Awards are finally here, kicking off at 8 p.m. ET tonight at Crypto.com Arena.
The 2024 Grammy nominations were announced November 10 and oddsmakers wasted little time getting odds out. Taylor Swift is unsurprisingly atop a bundle of categories but she didn't receive the most total nominations. That honor belongs to hip-hop star SZA, who garnered a total of nine.
We break down the favorites in the major categories as we check out this year's Grammy betting odds, checking out movement since the nominees dropped in mid-November. Tune in to see who comes out on top on Sunday, February 4.
All odds as of February 4, 2024.
Album of the Year odds
| Nominee | Odds |
|---|---|
| Taylor Swift - Midnights | -1,500 |
| SZA - SOS | +350 |
| boygenius - The Record | +825 |
| Jon Batiste - World Music Radio | +1,000 |
| Lana Del Rey - Did You Know That There's a Tunnel Under Ocean BLVD | +1,000 |
| Miley Cyrus - Endless Summer Vacation | +1,000 |
| Olivia Rodrigo - Guts | +1,200 |
SZA leads all artists with nine nominations but it's industry behemoth Taylor Swift leading the charge with the shortest odds in most major categories. Between the Eras Tour (both the tour and concert film) and Midnights, T-Swift is arguably the biggest star in the world. And Swift has been here before, winning Album of the Year for Folklore (2021), 1989 (2016), and Fearless (2010) while also being nominated for Red (2014) and Evermore (2022) — the latter losing out to fellow 2024 nominee Jon Batiste. Midnights could still be had at +200 odds when the nominations were announced, but that ship has long sailed.
This is SZA's first nomination in the category, though she was a featured artist on Doja Cat's Planet Her, which was nominated for Album of the Year in 2022.
Janelle Monae's The Age of Pleasure also received a nomination but odds have not been listed.
Record of the Year odds
| Nominee | Odds |
|---|---|
| Billie Eilish - What Was I Made For? | -150 |
| Miley Cyrus - Flowers | +250 |
| Taylor Swift - Anti-Hero | +350 |
| SZA - Kill Bill | +700 |
| boygenius - Not Strong Enough | +750 |
| Olivia Rodrigo - Vampire | +1,000 |
| Victoria Monet - On My Mama | +2,000 |
| Jon Batiste - Worship | +2,500 |
We've got some movement leading up to the awards. While Taylor Swift has maintained her chalk status for the Album of the Year race, she has dropped from -250 to +350 and is in third. Billie Eilish's "What Was I Made For?" was running a distant fourth at +700 in late January only to now occupy the top spot hours before showtime.
Song of the Year odds
| Nominee | Odds |
|---|---|
| Billie Eilish - What Was I Made For? | -150 |
| Taylor Swift - Anti-Hero | -110 |
| Miley Cyrus - Flowers | +800 |
| SZA - Kill Bill | +850 |
| Dua Lipa - Dance the Night | +1,000 |
| Lana Del Rey - A&W | +1,000 |
| Jon Batiste - Butterfly | +1,600 |
| Olivia Rodrigo - Vampire | +2,500 |
For a time, Taylor Swift looked primed to sweep these awards, but Eilish has made a major jump. For anyone who wanted to tail the T-Swift train, and thinks Eilish's shift is smoke and mirrors, grabbing her here at -110 is a much better wager, in terms of value, than the -250 it was as recently as a week ago.
Best New Artist odds
| Nominee | Odds |
|---|---|
| Noah Kahan | +150 |
| Ice Spice | +200 |
| Jelly Roll | +200 |
| Victoria Monet | +250 |
| Coco Jones | +2,000 |
| Gracie Abrams | +2,000 |
| Fred Again | +2,500 |
| The War and Treaty | +3,300 |
Best New Artist is always a bit of a misnomer as many nominees have been active in the industry for quite some time before being acknowledged. Case in point: Coco Jones has been releasing music for over a decade. Granted, a lot of that coincided with her time as a child actor in Disney productions, but nevertheless. But her 2022 EP What I Didn't Tell You was technically her major label debut. Still, maybe this category should be called "breakout artist."
Anyway, after opening as a co-favorite alongside Jones, Ice Spice had stormed to the top spot all while Jones saw her chances lengthen by the week. However, Noah Kahan has seen a lot of momentum, jumping from +1,200 to the top position at +150 in just over a week. Ice Spice was trading at -300 in late January, but suddenly seems less of a certainty with four different artists at +250 or shorter.
