Maple Leafs vs Devils Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game

Auston Matthews hasn't been his vintage self, but he's starting to get healthy and faces a team he has tortured throughout his career, the Devils. He finds twine tonight.

Mike DiStefano - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Mike DiStefano ? Betting Analyst
Dec 10, 2024 ? 09:49 ET ? 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

Latest NHL Picks
Auston Matthews Toronto Maple Leafs NHL
Photo By - Imagn Images.

We’ve got a big-time Eastern Conference showdown tonight with the New Jersey Devils hosting the Toronto Maple Leafs at the Prudential Center.

Auston Matthews has just eight goals on the season, but a matchup against the Devils tonight is exactly what Toronto's captain — and our Maple Leafs vs. Devils predictions — needs to get his season back on track. 

Find out why in my free NHL picks for this Tuesday, December 10 matchup with the puck dropping at 7 p.m. ET on TSN4.

Maple Leafs vs Devils prediction

My Leafs pick
Auston Matthews anytime goal (+125 at Sports Interaction)

My Leafs analysis

The Toronto Maple Leafs look to end a two-game losing streak tonight and they’ll be asking for a bit more offense from their captain to make it happen.

Luckily for the Buds, Auston Matthews has been a thorn in the side of the New Jersey Devils throughout his entire career with 18 goals in 19 meetings, scoring in eight of the last 11 in this matchup. 

Matthews spoke to the media at practice on Monday and talked about feeling healthier by the day. At full strength, one would have to think Matthews will start to fill the net at a rate closer to his 16% career shooting average than his current 10% mark in 2024-25. So the goals should be coming, especially since he continues to get quality opportunities this season.

The Maple Leafs captain ranks 2nd in the NHL in individual expected goals per 60 minutes at 5-on-5, per Natural Stat Trick. A big reason for this is the 5.53 individual high-danger chances he gets per 60 minutes. That should bode well against a Devils team that has surrendered the seventh most Grade-A goals this season (30) and ranks 23rd in HDSV%. 

Additionally, Matthews could make some noise on the power play tonight. New Jersey's penalty kill is operating at just a lowly 64% over the last five games and has been the fourth-most penalized team during that stretch.

Moreover, the Leafs have fared pretty well against the Devils’ projected starter in the past. Jacob Markstrom is 5-9-1 with a 2.99 GAA and a .900 SV%. Matthews has scored on him a team-high seven times throughout his career, with 15% shooting.

Maple Leafs vs Devils same-game parlay (SGP)

Auston Matthews anytime goal

Auston Matthews 3+ shots on goal

Jack Hughes 3+ shots on goal

The second leg of our SGP will focus on Matthews’ shot prop as we’ll take him to record 3+ shots on net tonight. He’s cashed in on this in six of his last seven meetings against New Jersey and has recorded 3+ shots in 72% of his games this season. 

For the final leg, we’ll take Jack Hughes to also get 3+ shots on goal tonight. He’s done this in six of his last seven games and is averaging 3.53 shots per game this season.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Maple Leafs vs Devils odds

Maple Leafs vs Devils live odds

Maple Leafs vs Devils opening odds

  • Puck line: Toronto +1.5 (-225) | New Jersey -1.5 (+180)
  • Moneyline: Toronto +115 | New Jersey -135
  • Over/Under: Over 6 (-130) | Under 6 (+100)

Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction

Maple Leafs vs Devils trend

The Leafs are 7-3 on the moneyline in the last 10 meetings between these two teams. Find more NHL betting trends between the Toronto Maple Leafs and New Jersey Devils. Find more NHL betting trends for Maple Leafs vs. Devils.

How to watch Maple Leafs vs Devils

Location: Prudential Center, Newark, NJ
Date: Tuesday, 12-10-2024
Puck drop: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: TSN4

Maple Leafs vs Devils latest injuries

Not intended for use in MA.
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Mike DiStefano - Covers
Betting Analyst

Mike DiStefano joins Covers after a successful five-year stint with TSN. Distefano hosted Leafs Lunch, a Toronto Maple Leafs-centric radio show which featured a daily best bets segment where he found the biggest and best value plays of the night. He was also a weekly staple on TSN's flagship radio/tv show "OverDrive" as a betting analyst during their NFL picks segment #TeamAl-DogForever.

A graduate of Centennial College’s Sports Journalism program, Mike has also contributed to the Canadian Baseball Network, FanSided, and The Hockey News.

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