There are seven games on the NHL slate tonight, including an intriguing Eastern Conference tilt between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Washington Capitals at Capital One Arena.
Tonight, my Maple Leafs vs. Capitals predictions are for the Buds to bounce back and take advantage of a suddenly leaky Washington defense, with the NHL odds providing some good value in the shot prop market.
Find out why I'm targeting William Nylander specifically with my free NHL picks for Wednesday, November 13 with the puck set to drop at 7:30 p.m. ET on Sportsnet.
Maple Leafs vs Capitals prediction
My Leafs pick
William Nylander Over 3.5 shots on goal (-105 at Sports Interaction)
My Leafs analysis
The Toronto Maple Leafs are coming off a 3-0 loss last night to the Ottawa Senators and head over the border to play the Washington Capitals to try and right the ship.
Washington has been one of the early season surprises this year with a 10-4 record and multiple players averaging well over a point per game. However, there’s one interesting trend emerging over its last five games the betting market can exploit tonight.
The Caps rank ninth in the NHL, allowing just 27.8 shots per game. However, that number has soared to 34.6 over their last five games, which ranks 29th in November.
Toronto is certainly a volume shooting team, especially on the road, where they average 31.7 shots per game.
William Nylander has recorded a team-high 59 shots on goal and has surpassed tonight’s shot prop total of 3.5 in back-to-back games, including last night, where he played poorly and still managed to put five pucks on target. It’s also a number that’s below his average amount of shots per game in his last dozen contests (3.83).
Additionally, Nylander has always been the type of athlete who plays well while playing guilty. There’s a good chance that Craig Berube and the coaching staff gave him the gears for his poor performance last night, which typically lights a fire beneath him.
I’m banking on that happening, resulting in Nylander having himself a night and confidently shooting with purpose all evening.
Maple Leafs vs Capitals same-game parlay (SGP)
William Nylander 4+ shots on goal
William Nylander anytime goal
Over 4.5
We’ll pair Nylander’s shots prop with an anytime goal. He’s scored at least once in four of the last five meetings between the two teams and has seven snipes over his last nine games against the Caps. He’s also just one goal off the league lead of 12, so he should be motivated to remain in lockstep with the top of the leaderboard each night.
Finally, we’ll finish off the parlay by taking the alternate Over of 4.5 goals tonight. We’ve seen at least five scored in this matchup in 10 straight meetings. Plus, these teams combine for an average of 7.14 goals scored per game.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Sports Interaction: Canada’s home for NHL
Looking to bet on some Leafs action? Join Sports Interaction, the best in Canada for new bettors, and get a 125% bonus on your first deposit (up to $250)!
*Not available in Ontario. 19+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Maple Leafs vs Capitals odds
Maple Leafs vs Capitals live odds
Maple Leafs vs Capitals opening odds
- Puck line: Toronto +1.5 (-250) | Washington -1.5 (+200)
- Moneyline: Toronto +100 | Washington -120
- Over/Under: Over 6 (-120) | Under 6 (+100)
Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction
Maple Leafs vs Capitals trend
The Maple Leafs are 8-2 on the moneyline over the last 10 meetings between the team clubs. Find more NHL betting trends for Maple Leafs vs. Capitals.
How to watch Maple Leafs vs Capitals
| Location: | Capital One Arena, Washington, DC |
| Date: | Wednesday, 11-13-2024 |
| Puck drop: | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV: | SN |
Maple Leafs vs Capitals latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
