The Calgary Flames have scorched on home ice this season, and they welcome the Boston Bruins to the Scotiabank Saddledome on Tuesday, December 17.
Calgary has been one of the best defensive teams in the league on home ice, and our Bruins vs. Flames predictions anticipate the trend continuing in a low-scoring win for the home team tonight.
Our NHL picks are locked in ahead of tonight's 9 p.m. ET puck drop on Sportsnet West.
Flames vs Bruins prediction
My Flames pick
Flames moneyline (+105 at BET99)
My Flames analysis
The Calgary Flames have been an entirely different team on home ice at the Scotiabank Saddledome. Calgary has rolled off an 11-4-1 record while allowing the sixth-fewest goals per game (2.44) compared to the fourth-most on the highway (3.67).
It’s a similar story for the Boston Bruins, with the Bs allowing the third-most goals per away game (3.73) compared to the eighth-fewest on home ice (2.65).
Boston has also struggled to score all season long, and it’s reflective of the lack of high-end scorers in the lineup. Additionally, I don’t think winger David Pastrnak is 100% healthy.
Pastrnak is sporting a career-low 8.7 shooting percentage, and his 1.04 goals per 60 minutes is his lowest mark since his rookie season. It’s a big reason why Boston is 31st with a 13.0 power-play percentage.
Returning to Calgary, rookie Dustin Wolf has also been far better on home ice and is coming off a tidy 32-save shutout over the defending Stanley Cup champion Florida Panthers on Saturday.
| Calgary Flames stats | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Save percentage | .949 | .862 |
| GAA | 1.65 | 4.16 |
| GSAA/60 | 0.78 | -0.40 |
So, the big question is why has Calgary, and Wolf in particular, been so much better on home ice?
The Flames have a larger home-ice advantage than the majority of teams and it also isn't being properly priced in by oddsmakers. The Saddledome is the NHL's second-oldest barn. It requires an endless list of repairs, and its replacement is set to open for the 2027-28 season.
It’s obviously impossible to fully quantify the theory, but it’s also obvious visiting teams aren’t having a lot of success, and I think it’s because the Saddledome is becoming more and more uncomfortable for visitors.
Flames vs Bruins same-game parlay (SGP)
Flames moneyline
Under 5.5
Nazem Kadri Over 2.5 shots
As highlighted, Calgary has been a defensive force on home ice, and Wolf has been elite between the pipes. Additionally, while Boston has struggled to prevent goals on the highway, they’ve also allowed just 2.67 per game since Joe Sacco took over as head coach.
The Flames have also played to the Under in eight of their past 10 home games.
Calgary center Nazem Kadri rounds out this same-game parlay, and he’s trading with a decreased total in the shots market. Kadri regularly trades at 3.5, and he’s recorded three or more shots in 19 of 31 games.
Additionally, Kadri paces the Flames in both shots and attempts per game (3.26 and 6.26) and per 60 minutes (10.49 and 20.15).
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Flames vs Bruins odds
Flames vs Bruins live odds
Flames vs Bruins opening odds
- Puck line: Calgary +1.5 (-230) | Boston -1.5 (+190)
- Moneyline: Calgary +115 | Boston -135
- Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-110) | Under 5.5 (-110)
Flames vs Bruins trend
The Calgary Flames have hit the moneyline in 25 of their last 43 games at home (+2.65 Units / 5% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Flames vs. Bruins.
How to watch Flames vs Bruins
| Location: | Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary, AB |
| Date: | Tuesday, 12-17-2024 |
| Puck drop: | 9:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | SNW |
Flames vs Bruins latest injuries
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