Oregon vs Wisconsin Predictions, Picks, and Best Bets for College Football Week 12

The No. 1 team in the country travels to Wisconsin to take on the Badgers and Ed Scimia believes we shouldn't hesitate to lay the points with Oregon on the road. Find out why below!

Ed Scimia - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Ed Scimia ? Betting Analyst
Nov 16, 2024 ? 16:15 ET ? 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Photo By - Imagn Images. Pictured: Running back Jordan James picks up a first down for Oregon.

The Oregon Ducks will seek to keep their undefeated record and No. 1 spot in the College Football Playoff rankings as they visit the Wisconsin Badgers tonight.

The Ducks have been rolling as of late and should cover against a Badgers team that has lost two straight, as I’ll explain in my Oregon vs. Wisconsin predictions.

Keep reading for a full analysis of this Big Ten matchup in my free college football picks for Saturday, November 16.

Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET from Camp Randall Stadium in Madison, with the game airing on NBC. 

Oregon vs Wisconsin prediction and best bet

Who will win?

Oregon is the consensus No. 1 team in the nation, and that makes it hard to pick against the Ducks no matter who they might be playing. 

Considering that this week’s opponent is Wisconsin, which is coming off of two straight blowout losses, our pick is pretty simple. 

I’m not worried about the fact that it’s a road game: Oregon will win this one.

My best bet
Oregon -13.5 (-115 at BetMGM)
Picks made at time of writing may not reflect live odds.

My analysis
Barring an absolute disaster, Oregon should be a lock for the College Football Playoff. It’s not just that the Ducks keep winning, but they haven’t even been challenged since their 32-31 win over Ohio State back in early October. 

The Ducks have won each of their last four games by 21 points or more, covering three of those contests. Oregon’s defense has only given up over 18 points once in its last eight games, while the offense has scored at least 31 in each of its last nine outings.

Oregon quarterback Dillon Gabriel leads a brutally efficient passing game. Gabriel has thrown for 2,848 yards and 22 touchdowns while completing 74.1% of his passes this season. The Ducks lead the nation in completion percentage and are top 15 in the country in both yards per attempt and yards per completion, so these are hardly dump-offs.

That’s going to be tough for Wisconsin to deal with. It’s not that the Badgers can’t play defense: they’re allowing just 21.4 ppg, are solid against the pass, and might even be a team that can hold Oregon below its gaudy season averages. But the Ducks will score, and it’s hard to see how Wisconsin can keep up with that.

The Badgers don’t have any outstanding offensive talent, and that’s what it takes to have any hope of scoring against the Ducks right now. Oregon is good against the run, allowing 3.9 yards per rush, and one of the best in the nation against the pass. 

This all adds up to a long night for Wisconsin. It may be a relatively slow bleed, as Wisconsin can put up resistance on the defensive end. But in the end, Oregon should win this game by multiple scores without any real concern.

Oregon vs Wisconsin same-game parlay (SGP)

Oregon -13.5

Under 51.5

Jordan James anytime TD

Oregon should walk away with a comfortable win on Saturday, but this isn’t going to be a shootout. While the Ducks consistently score in the 30s – they’ve done so in seven consecutive games – it is their defense that has been truly impressive as of late, holding their last four opponents to an average of just 11 ppg. I like Oregon to shut down Wisconsin enough to hold the Under in this one.

I’ll also take Oregon running back Jordan James to score at some point in the game. James has 10 touchdowns on the year and has scored in seven of his last eight games. He’ll continue to get his share of the carries this week, and that means a likely trip to the endzone against the Badgers.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Oregon vs Wisconsin odds

Oregon vs Wisconsin live odds

Oregon vs Wisconsin opening odds

  • Oregon vs. Wisconsin spread: Wisconsin +13.5
  • Oregon vs. Wisconsin moneyline: Oregon -550, Wisconsin +400
  • Oregon vs. Wisconsin Over/Under: 51.5

Odds courtesy of BetMGM

Oregon vs Wisconsin spread and Over/Under analysis

  • Oregon is 5-5 against the spread this year, with Wisconsin coming in 3-6 ATS on the season.
  • The Badgers are 1-4 ATS as underdogs this season, only covering by winning outright as a one-point underdog against the Rutgers Scarlet Knights.
  • The Over has a 5-4 record when Wisconsin plays. The Under has the 6-4 advantage in Oregon’s games. 
  • The Ducks are playing to an average total of 51.7 ppg, while the Badgers are averaging a total of 46.5 ppg.
  • 68% of Covers Consensus users are backing Oregon on the spread, while 61% are taking the Over.

Oregon vs Wisconsin betting trend to know

Oregon is 4-1 ATS in its last five games overall. Find more college football betting trends for Oregon vs Wisconsin.

Oregon vs Wisconsin game info

Location: Camp Randall Stadium, Madison, WI
Date: Saturday, 11-16, 2024
Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
TV: NBC

Oregon vs Wisconsin latest injuries

Oregon vs Wisconsin weather

Monitor gametime conditions with our College football weather info.

Not intended for use in MA.
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Ed Scimia - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Ed Scimia has been writing about the gaming industry for over 15 years. He graduated from Syracuse University with degrees in Magazine Journalism and Political Science in 2003, and has covered major gambling events like the World Series of Poker in his career. Since joining Covers in 2022, Ed has offered his sports betting analysis primarily on MLB, NFL, college football, and college basketball games, but is willing to take on any sport.

His betting strategy focuses more on finding line value based on deviations from the market rather than traditional handicapping, primarily shopping between DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics in his home state of Connecticut, though he’s not afraid to do deep game analysis to find profitable bets at any book.

Outside of gambling, Ed is an avid curler who competes in mixed doubles on the World Curling Tour and runs a popular curling YouTube channel, Chess on Ice. That experience has come in handy during the Olympics, when he has proven to be a successful curling bettor as well. 

Ed's advice to new bettors is to always open multiple sportsbook accounts and check the odds at each before placing any bet. Successful sports betting is about consistently beating the closing line value, which requires finding spots where one book is offering odds far better than the rest of the market and jumping on those opportunities.

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