Two teams trying to work their way into the play-in section of the Western Conference picture collide in San Antonio as the San Antonio Spurs host the Sacramento Kings.
San Antonio, who have taken the first two of this 4-game regular-season set, are 3.5-point home underdogs in the NBA odds, as the status of 2nd-year star Victor Wembanyama (back) is still undetermined.
Both clubs will be playing the second half of a back-to-back Friday night, so our Kings vs. Spurs prediction and NBA picks are targeting the total in this matchup.
Kings vs Spurs prediction
My best bet
Under 227.5 (-110 at bet365)
My analysis
The Sacramento Kings are trying to pull itself out of a tough stretch, as they've picked up just two wins in the last nine, including Thursday's 115-110 loss to the Memphis Grizzlies.
The offense has dried up during this stretch, averaging 109.3 points per game, with that number shrinking to 104.8 over the four road games, shooting 43.1% from the field and a dismal 28.2% from 3-point range.
The defense hasn't been able to hold the fort down, either, as teams are shooting a crisp 47.8% from the field and 38.4% from 3-point range.
The San Antonio Spurs limps into Friday's matchup, having dropped three of its last four, including a 139-124 whipping against the Bulls.
Without Victor Wembanyama – a top contender in the NBA Defensive Player of the Year odds – Chicago shot 57.8% from the field and torched the Spurs from distance, connecting on 17-for-37 from three, a 45.9% clip.
While the Spurs have won two straight in this head-to-head, Sacramento still owns this matchup, having taken seven of the last 10.
But these will be a pair of tired teams, and their numbers in playing back-to-backs have me leaning Under the 227.5 scoring line.
This will be San Antonio's fifth time playing on consecutive nights, and in each of those games second games, they have only reached the 220-point plateau twice, falling Under this total all four times.
Sacramento's games have hit the Over three out of five times on back-to-back nights, but let's add a little context: save for an OT loss in Toronto, where it scored 128 points, the Kings have only mustered an average of 105.5 points across the other four.
The fatigue factor plays a big role in this one, and scoring should grind down to rock-fight status by the fourth quarter.
Kings vs Spurs same-game parlay
Under 227.5
DeMar DeRozan Over 21.5 points
While the wins haven't been coming, DeMar DeRozan has been getting it done on offense. He finished with a team-high 26 points in the loss to Memphis, and he's had 26 or more in three of the last four outings.
One of those games came against these same Spurs, as DD shot 10-for-20 from the field en route to 28 points.
He has scored at least 20 points in six of his last seven against the Spurs over the last four seasons, so he'll definitely be around the number.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Cash your ML bets quicker with bet365's early win payout
Take advantage of the early win payout at bet365, where any pre-game NBA moneyline bet gets paid out as a winner if your team goes up by 20+ points!
Learn more about this feature, and all of bet365's offerings, with our comprehensive bet365 review.
21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Kings vs Spurs odds
Kings vs Spurs live odds
Kings vs Spurs opening odds
- Spread: Kings -3.5 (-105) | San Antonio +3.5 (-115)
- Moneyline: Kings (-155) | San Antonio (+120)
- Over/Under: Over 227.5 (-110) | Under 227.5 (-110)
Odds courtesy of bet365
Kings vs Spurs spread and Over/Under analysis
- Sacramento is 2-8-0 against the spread in its last 10 games.
- The Spurs are 4-3-0 ATS at home over their last seven.
- These teams have cashed the Over in five of the last six meetings.
- The Kings have gone Over the total in four of its last six.
Kings vs Spurs trend
After cashing the Over vs the Bulls, the Spurs have now alternated the Over/Under finish in eight straight games. Find more NBA betting trends for Kings vs. Spurs.
How to watch Kings vs Spurs
| Location: | Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX |
| Date: | Friday, 12-6-2024 |
| Tip-off: | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | FanDuel Sports Network - Southwest, NBCSCA |
Kings vs Spurs latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
