LIV Golf Miami Picks & Odds: Rahm Preps For Masters Title Defense

Jon Rahm is a week away from defending his 2023 Masters title and is heading to LIV Golf Miami at Trump National Doral to prepare. We break down his chances in our full LIV Golf betting preview below.

Chris Gregory - Publishing Editor at Covers.com
Chris Gregory ? Publishing Editor
Apr 4, 2024 ? 09:27 ET ? 4 min read
Jon Rahm LIV Golf Miami
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

All eyes will be on Jon Rahm this week as he gears up to defend his Masters title.

He's yet to win since moving over to LIV Golf but remains the favorite to win LIV Golf Miami at Trump National Doral considering he's finished T8 or better in his first four LIV starts. 

We break down the golf odds and more in our full LIV Golf Miami betting preview below.

The Masters is just days away! Start your research now:

2024 LIV Golf Miami picks

Picks were made on April 3 at 1:30 p.m. ET.

Odds to win LIV Golf Miami

Golfer bet365 DraftKings
Jon Rahm +650 +550
Joaquin Niemann +750 +800
Bryson DeChambeau +1,000 +1,000
Cameron Smith +1,400 +1,400
Dustin Johnson +1,600 +1,400
Tyrrell Hatton +1,600 +1,400
Brooks Koepka +1,600 +1,600
Talor Gooch +2,200 +1,400
Louis Oosthuizen +2,500 +2,500
Adrian Meronk +2,500 +2,800
Paul Casey +2,500 +2,800

Odds as of April 2, 2024. 

Best LIV Golf Miami bonuses

BetMGM New Users
Get a no-sweat first bet
Up to $1,500! Claim Now

Caesars New Users
Get up to $1,000 in bonus bets
If your first bet doesn't win! Claim Now

Eligible USA locations only. Also, see our full list of best sportsbook promotions for 2024.
21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

Trump National Doral course notes

LIV Golf hits the Blue Monster at Trump National Doral Miami and the Par-72 track will be stretched out to 7,701 yards with trouble awaiting at every turn. With water hazards on most holes and bunkers defending fairway landing areas and the greens, the margin for error is razor-thin around the Blue Monster.

Before LIV Golf played its team championship at Trump National for the past two years, the Blue Monster played host to the WGC-Cadillac Championship from 2007 through 2016, and the Doral Open from 1962 to 2006. Several LIV players are familiar with the track, with Phil Mickelson, Dustin Johnson, and Patrick Reed all winners at Doral.

LIV Golf Miami picks and predictions

Taylor Gooch to win outright (+1,800)

The Blue Monster sets up perfectly for Talor Gooch’s strengths. He ranks seventh in both birdies and driving percentage this season, and he paced the field in strokes gained on long approaches at LIV Golf Hong Kong. Add ranking second in scrambling percentage and third in overall strokes gained average, and Gooch checks a lot of boxes.

The three-time LIV winner has the all-around game to put circles on the card while avoiding squares and there’s also a nice edge available in the odds. DraftKings has Gooch listed at just +1,400 to win this week, so there’s a positive expected value of 27% attached to the +1,800 Caesars price.

Pick: Talor Gooch to win outright (+1,800 at Caesars, 0.75 units)
Pick: Talor Gooch Top 10 (+130 at Caesars)

Adrian Meronk to win outright (+2,800)

The Polish Prancer won three times on the DP World Tour last year and he’s already carded a pair of Top-10 finishes through four LIV Golf events this season. Meronk pairs his distance off the tee with an excellent short game, so when his approach play returns to top form, he’ll be prancing through victory’s door again.

Meronk has been just below field average in strokes gained on approach and is tied for 32nd in greens-in-regulation percentage through 12 LIV rounds, but he ranked 18th in strokes gained approach on the DP World Tour last year and seventh in GIR%, so I expect improved iron play to be coming soon.

Pick: Adrian Meronk to win outright (+2,800 at DraftKings, 0.5 units)
Pick: Adrian Meronk Top 10 (+200 at DraftKings)

Sam Horsfield to win outright (+13,000)

I’m expecting Sam Horsfield to begin competing in the LIV Golf series over the coming months. He’s a three-time DP Tour winner and is playing much more consistently this season after undergoing hip surgery and being limited to just seven LIV events. 

In particular, after firing an opening-round 71 at the Hong Kong event in March, Horsfield rallied to go 9-under across the final two rounds and finish T19.

His 14 birdies were tied for ninth in the event and he finished third in strokes gained on medium-length approaches and second in strokes gained on short approaches. Additionally, his short game has been better than field average through 12 rounds.

Pick: Sam Horsfield to win outright (+1,800 at DraftKings, 0.25 units)
Pick: Sam Horsfield Top 20 (+160 at DraftKings)

LIV Golf Miami field and favorites

Some might have expected Jon Rahm to notch his first LIV win by now, but the results are far from disappointing. He logged a T3 in his debut at Mayakoba and has gone eighth, fifth, and T8 in three starts since then. 

The lack of winning has seen his outright odds lengthen from +400 to +550 at DraftKings since Mayakoba, but he remains the No. 1 option on the board nonetheless.

Running second on the board at +750 is Joaquin Niemann, whose stock continues to rise with two wins and a T4 in his last four LIV starts. Like Rahm, Niemann is off to Augusta for the Masters next week. 

Bryson DeChambeau rounds out the Top 3 at 10/1 with a plethora of guys below him in the +1,400 to +1,600 range. That group includes Cam Smith, Dustin Johnson, Tyrrell Hatton, and Brooks Koepka. 

LIV Golf Miami picks and predictions

Check back on Wednesday for our full LIV Golf Miami betting card!

Covers golf betting tools

LIV Golf recent winners and odds history

Let's take a look at some recent LIV Golf winners and their closing odds to win:

Event Golfer Closing odds
Hong Kong (March 2024) Abraham Ancer +3,500
Jeddah (March 2024) Joaquin Niemann (2) +1,000
Las Vegas (February 2024) Dustin Johnson +1,600
Mayakoba (February 2024) Joaquin Niemann +1,400
Jeddah (October 2023) Brooks Koepka (3) +1,600
Chicago (September 2023) Bryson DeChambeau (2) +1,100
Bedminster (August 2023) Cameron Smith (3) +1,000
Greenbrier (August 2023) Bryson DeChambeau +1,400
London (July 2023) Cameron Smith (2) +900
Andalucia (July 2023) Talor Gooch (3) +1,600
Washington (May 2023) Harold Varner III +2,000
Tulsa (May 2023) Dustin Johnson (2) +1,200
Singapore (April 2023) Talor Gooch (2) +1,600
Adelaide (April 2023) Talor Gooch +2,500
Orlando (April 2023) Brooks Koepka (2) +4,000
Tucson (March 2023) Danny Lee +8,000
Mayakoba (Feb. 2023) Charles Howell III +4,000

Odds courtesy of GolfOdds.

Pages related to this topic

Chris Gregory Covers.com
Publishing Editor

In his three years on the Covers editorial team, Chris Gregory has helped bolster the site’s PGA Tour and college football coverage, though his love for Rory McIlroy and the Buckeyes is often met with disappointment. He brings a journalism and marketing background to his work as a Publishing Editor and has appeared on Jason Logan’s Sharp 600 to talk about the Masters and golf’s other majors.

His best betting advice? Stay away from betting your favorite teams; it’ll only make the hurt worse.

Popular Content

Legal Canadian sports betting

Best Canadian betting sites Ontario sports betting
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
seductrice.net
universo-virtual.com
buytrendz.net
thisforall.net
benchpressgains.com
qthzb.com
mindhunter9.com
dwjqp1.com
secure-signup.net
ahaayy.com
tressesindia.com
puresybian.com
krpano-chs.com
cre8workshop.com
hdkino.org
peixun021.com
qz786.com
utahperformingartscenter.org
worldqrmconference.com
shangyuwh.com
eejssdfsdfdfjsd.com
playminecraftfreeonline.com
trekvietnamtour.com
your-business-articles.com
essaywritingservice10.com
hindusamaaj.com
joggingvideo.com
wandercoups.com
wormblaster.net
tongchengchuyange0004.com
internetknowing.com
breachurch.com
peachesnginburlesque.com
dataarchitectoo.com
clientfunnelformula.com
30pps.com
cherylroll.com
ks2252.com
prowp.net
webmanicura.com
sofietsshotel.com
facetorch.com
nylawyerreview.com
apapromotions.com
shareparelli.com
goeaglepointe.com
thegreenmanpubphuket.com
karotorossian.com
publicsensor.com
taiwandefence.com
epcsur.com
southstills.com
tvtv98.com
thewellington-hotel.com
bccaipiao.com
colectoresindustrialesgs.com
shenanddcg.com
capriartfilmfestival.com
replicabreitlingsale.com
thaiamarinnewtoncorner.com
gkmcww.com
mbnkbj.com
andrewbrennandesign.com
cod54.com
luobinzhang.com
faithfirst.net
zjyc28.com
tongchengjinyeyouyue0004.com
nhuan6.com
kftz5k.com
oldgardensflowers.com
lightupthefloor.com
bahamamamas-stjohns.com
ly2818.com
905onthebay.com
fonemenu.com
notanothermovie.com
ukrainehighclassescort.com
meincmagazine.com
av-5858.com
yallerdawg.com
donkeythemovie.com
corporatehospitalitygroup.com
boboyy88.com
miteinander-lernen.com
dannayconsulting.com
officialtomsshoesoutletstore.com
forsale-amoxil-amoxicillin.net
generictadalafil-canada.net
guitarlessonseastlondon.com
lesliesrestaurants.com
mattyno9.com
nri-homeloans.com
rtgvisas-qatar.com
salbutamolventolinonline.net
sportsinjuries.info
wedsna.com
rgkntk.com
bkkmarketplace.com
zxqcwx.com
breakupprogram.com
boxcardc.com
unblockyoutubeindonesia.com
fabulousbookmark.com
beat-the.com
guatemala-sailfishing-vacations-charters.com
magie-marketing.com
kingstonliteracy.com
guitaraffinity.com
eurelookinggoodapparel.com
howtolosecheekfat.net
marioncma.org
oliviadavismusic.com
shantelcampbellrealestate.com
shopleborn13.com
topindiafree.com
v-visitors.net
djjky.com
053hh.com
originbluei.com
baucishotel.com
33kkn.com
intrinsiqresearch.com
mariaescort-kiev.com
mymaguk.com
sponsored4u.com
crimsonclass.com
bataillenavale.com
searchtile.com
ze-stribrnych-struh.com
zenithalhype.com
modalpkv.com
bouisset-lafforgue.com
useupload.com
37r.net
autoankauf-muenster.com
bantinbongda.net
bilgius.com
brabustermagazine.com
indigrow.org
miicrosofts.net
mysmiletravel.com
selinasims.com
spellcubesapp.com
usa-faction.com
hypoallergenicdogsnames.com
dailyupdatez.com
foodphotographyreviews.com
cricutcom-setup.com
chprowebdesign.com
katyrealty-kanepa.com
tasramar.com
bilgipinari.org
four-am.com
indiarepublicday.com
inquick-enbooks.com
iracmpi.com
kakaschoenen.com
lsm99flash.com
nana1255.com
ngen-niagara.com
technwzs.com
virtualonlinecasino1345.com
wallpapertop.net
casino-natali.com
iprofit-internet.com
denochemexicana.com
eventhalfkg.com
medcon-taiwan.com
life-himawari.com
myriamshomes.com
nightmarevue.com
healthandfitnesslives.com
androidnews-jp.com
allstarsru.com
bestofthebuckeyestate.com
bestofthefirststate.com
bestwireless7.com
britsmile.com
declarationintermittent.com
findhereall.com
jingyou888.com
lsm99deal.com
lsm99galaxy.com
moozatech.com
nuagh.com
patliyo.com
philomenamagikz.net
rckouba.net
saturnunipessoallda.com
tallahasseefrolics.com
thematurehardcore.net
totalenvironment-inthatquietearth.com
velislavakaymakanova.com
vermontenergetic.com
kakakpintar.com
begorgeouslady.com
1800birks4u.com
2wheelstogo.com
6strip4you.com
bigdata-world.net
emailandco.net
gacapal.com
jharpost.com
krishnaastro.com
lsm99credit.com
mascalzonicampani.com
sitemapxml.org
thecityslums.net
topagh.com
flairnetwebdesign.com
rajasthancarservices.com
bangkaeair.com
beneventocoupon.com
noternet.org
oqtive.com
smilebrightrx.com
decollage-etiquette.com
1millionbestdownloads.com
7658.info
bidbass.com
devlopworldtech.com
digitalmarketingrajkot.com
fluginfo.net
naqlafshk.com
passion-decouverte.com
playsirius.com
spacceleratorintl.com
stikyballs.com
top10way.com
yokidsyogurt.com
zszyhl.com
16firthcrescent.com
abogadolaboralistamd.com
apk2wap.com
aromacremeria.com
banparacard.com
bosmanraws.com
businessproviderblog.com
caltonosa.com
calvaryrevivalchurch.org
chastenedsoulwithabrokenheart.com
cheminotsgardcevennes.com
cooksspot.com
cqxzpt.com
deesywig.com
deltacartoonmaps.com
despixelsetdeshommes.com
duocoracaobrasileiro.com
fareshopbd.com
goodpainspills.com
hemendekor.com
kobisitecdn.com
makaigoods.com
mgs1454.com
piccadillyresidences.com
radiolaondafresca.com
rubendorf.com
searchengineimprov.com
sellmyhrvahome.com
shugahouseessentials.com
sonihullquad.com
subtractkilos.com
valeriekelmansky.com
vipasdigitalmarketing.com
voolivrerj.com
zeelonggroup.com
1015southrockhill.com
10x10b.com
111-online-casinos.com
191cb.com
3665arpentunitd.com
aitesonics.com
bag-shokunin.com
brightotech.com
communication-digitale-services.com
covoakland.org
dariaprimapack.com
freefortniteaccountss.com
gatebizglobal.com
global1entertainmentnews.com
greatytene.com
hiroshiwakita.com
iktodaypk.com
jahatsakong.com
meadowbrookgolfgroup.com
newsbharati.net
platinumstudiosdesign.com
slotxogamesplay.com
strikestaruk.com
trucosdefortnite.com
ufabetrune.com
weddedtowhitmore.com
12940brycecanyonunitb.com
1311dietrichoaks.com
2monarchtraceunit303.com
601legendhill.com
850elaine.com
adieusolasomade.com
andora-ke.com
bestslotxogames.com
cannagomcallen.com
endlesslyhot.com
iestpjva.com
ouqprint.com
pwmaplefest.com
qtylmr.com
rb88betting.com
buscadogues.com
1007macfm.com
born-wild.com
growthinvests.com
promocode-casino.com
proyectogalgoargentina.com
wbthompson-art.com
whitemountainwheels.com
7thavehvl.com
developmethis.com
funkydogbowties.com
travelodgegrandjunction.com
gao-town.com
globalmarketsuite.com
blogshippo.com
hdbka.com
proboards67.com
outletonline-michaelkors.com
kalkis-research.com
thuthuatit.net
buckcash.com
hollistercanada.com
docterror.com
asadart.com
vmayke.org
erwincomputers.com
dirimart.org
okkii.com
loteriasdecehegin.com
mountanalog.com
healingtaobritain.com
ttxmonitor.com
nwordpress.com
11bolabonanza.com