Meant to stop back in and say thanks for the website with advanced stats; efficiency vs. big play stuff.
looks like you¡¯re starting a cocktail or two early, don¡¯t forget to get your d@mn FCS plays in early (re: post #124) to get a little extra change in your pocket. It¡¯s chalky but I took SF Austin and Mercer openers.
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@bookieassassin
Meant to stop back in and say thanks for the website with advanced stats; efficiency vs. big play stuff.
looks like you¡¯re starting a cocktail or two early, don¡¯t forget to get your d@mn FCS plays in early (re: post #124) to get a little extra change in your pocket. It¡¯s chalky but I took SF Austin and Mercer openers.
yep keep saying I'm gonna make it to FCS v FCS - but dabble in FBS games, get bored/drool on myself, and pass out. I (hope to), as P5 becomes the NFL more and more - to stress FCS stuff - and become pretty much G5/FCS only. BOL buddy ........
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
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@TD21
yep keep saying I'm gonna make it to FCS v FCS - but dabble in FBS games, get bored/drool on myself, and pass out. I (hope to), as P5 becomes the NFL more and more - to stress FCS stuff - and become pretty much G5/FCS only. BOL buddy ........
WHY NOT? I am 81 yrs. old now and all I want is to grow up to be "like" you, boolieassassin RE: POSY #129!!!! have no mery on them this year, you are the best!!!! WITH YA 100%, SIR!!!thank you!!
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@bookieassassin
WHY NOT? I am 81 yrs. old now and all I want is to grow up to be "like" you, boolieassassin RE: POSY #129!!!! have no mery on them this year, you are the best!!!! WITH YA 100%, SIR!!!thank you!!
thank you wolfeman3 ! have always had a great "feel" for line movement after the opening "soft" or "hard" #,,, like the stuff YOU post and read you very much, tremendo savvy, you are actively "good"!! kill them this year!
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@wolfeman3
thank you wolfeman3 ! have always had a great "feel" for line movement after the opening "soft" or "hard" #,,, like the stuff YOU post and read you very much, tremendo savvy, you are actively "good"!! kill them this year!
21 hours - 48 minutes- 40 sec ............. You boys know what to do ........ >> start drinking EARLY - set up all the TV's / laptops, etc so you can watch multiple games - run off all the damn women and kids, with specific instructions not to return until about midnight at the earliest ..... or the retribution will be swift and terrible..... Added NW small - this is a dart / hunch that they bounce back (as stated earlier). They will be the (much) better coached team for sure - should be more FOCUSED as well - seems like a bad spot for the Huskers, who destroyed NW last year. WEEK 0/1 1 unit or more Sparty -19----------- 0.75 or so Penn St -3Terps -21ECaro +10' ----------- 0.50 or less Fla St +3Ducks +10 1HNW/Neb 1H under 24'NW +13'* * at MyBookie - really aggressive lines - 2H lines are already up ffs ....as well as props / 1H / Qtrs. I'll put a bit at 13', and wait to see if it it hits 14 .....wouldn't surprise me to see a late rush on Nebraska at kick-off Seems like a good group of knowledgeable guys this year - BUT STILL ha $$ are there mistakes made by the oddsmakers? YOU BET But when do they (usually) occur? WHEN THEY OPEN. THINK ABOUT IT. Really sharp computers/AI set the lines - then fine tuned by guys that really know what they're doing (azz literally depends on it) - THEN whittled down by guys that ONLY DO THIS FOR A LIVING. THEN millions of others fine tune it further. THEN YOU BET (usually). SO > the fact that Hawaii and Nevada are starting over essentially, and Wyoming sux IS ALREADY FACTORED INTO THE LINE FFS !!!! Vandy might still beat Hawaii 45-0 sure - they might also get their azz beat. However - if you actually believe that oddsmakers are POOF! ... now in the charity business, LOAD UP - just don't encourage others to do so. If you do be advised the ol' BA might come in with an internet sledge hammer and happily dispose of your silly azz, while the 9th plays at maximum volume (sorry Clockwork Orange reference). I'll have a few more late next week - along with WEEK 2 lines, maybe Friday at the latest..........
Penn St… we needed some luck out there, can you please catch a pass PSU WR’s!! Great call BA, next up Sparty xxl
The impossible only takes longer….
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Quote Originally Posted by bookieassassin:
21 hours - 48 minutes- 40 sec ............. You boys know what to do ........ >> start drinking EARLY - set up all the TV's / laptops, etc so you can watch multiple games - run off all the damn women and kids, with specific instructions not to return until about midnight at the earliest ..... or the retribution will be swift and terrible..... Added NW small - this is a dart / hunch that they bounce back (as stated earlier). They will be the (much) better coached team for sure - should be more FOCUSED as well - seems like a bad spot for the Huskers, who destroyed NW last year. WEEK 0/1 1 unit or more Sparty -19----------- 0.75 or so Penn St -3Terps -21ECaro +10' ----------- 0.50 or less Fla St +3Ducks +10 1HNW/Neb 1H under 24'NW +13'* * at MyBookie - really aggressive lines - 2H lines are already up ffs ....as well as props / 1H / Qtrs. I'll put a bit at 13', and wait to see if it it hits 14 .....wouldn't surprise me to see a late rush on Nebraska at kick-off Seems like a good group of knowledgeable guys this year - BUT STILL ha $$ are there mistakes made by the oddsmakers? YOU BET But when do they (usually) occur? WHEN THEY OPEN. THINK ABOUT IT. Really sharp computers/AI set the lines - then fine tuned by guys that really know what they're doing (azz literally depends on it) - THEN whittled down by guys that ONLY DO THIS FOR A LIVING. THEN millions of others fine tune it further. THEN YOU BET (usually). SO > the fact that Hawaii and Nevada are starting over essentially, and Wyoming sux IS ALREADY FACTORED INTO THE LINE FFS !!!! Vandy might still beat Hawaii 45-0 sure - they might also get their azz beat. However - if you actually believe that oddsmakers are POOF! ... now in the charity business, LOAD UP - just don't encourage others to do so. If you do be advised the ol' BA might come in with an internet sledge hammer and happily dispose of your silly azz, while the 9th plays at maximum volume (sorry Clockwork Orange reference). I'll have a few more late next week - along with WEEK 2 lines, maybe Friday at the latest..........
Penn St… we needed some luck out there, can you please catch a pass PSU WR’s!! Great call BA, next up Sparty xxl
What's up Jeff!? Saw this earlier, first chance to respond right now before kickoff of some games. I haven't so far and wasn't planning on it. Of course didn't plan on it either last year and someone asked me to start posting again and I ended up posting most weeks. I'm just at a "time poor" phase in my life and posting regularly was something to cut out. I've more than proven myself over the years on here and there wasn't this feeling to prove myself any longer compared to years ago being the new guy.
I did well on closing line value, but FWIW, tonight I have:
W&M +8 & +4.5
W&M / Charlotte Under 57 & Under 52.5
Also have W&M mixed into a small UDML parlay.
Kansas -28
ODU +8.5
ODU ML +270 small
ODU / Va Tech Under 52.5
Will respond again in a few minutes with some Saturday games. Hopefully some of those lines haven't moved too much in the last 3-4 hours, but I haven't checked yet.
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@JEFFMARKETCAP
What's up Jeff!? Saw this earlier, first chance to respond right now before kickoff of some games. I haven't so far and wasn't planning on it. Of course didn't plan on it either last year and someone asked me to start posting again and I ended up posting most weeks. I'm just at a "time poor" phase in my life and posting regularly was something to cut out. I've more than proven myself over the years on here and there wasn't this feeling to prove myself any longer compared to years ago being the new guy.
I did well on closing line value, but FWIW, tonight I have:
W&M +8 & +4.5
W&M / Charlotte Under 57 & Under 52.5
Also have W&M mixed into a small UDML parlay.
Kansas -28
ODU +8.5
ODU ML +270 small
ODU / Va Tech Under 52.5
Will respond again in a few minutes with some Saturday games. Hopefully some of those lines haven't moved too much in the last 3-4 hours, but I haven't checked yet.
Saw a little line value there and think they're on the upswing late last year and like the transfers they added as well. WR suspended this week though; lowered the units on this play from what I was originally thinking. Just 1u.
Final 2021 #s: my line was -34.3 with a season's worth of data.
Current #s with offseason adjustments and I arrived at -37.4, but more of a guess on how much better/worse for Tenn Tech, but kinda gave them the benefit of the doubt and still arrived at this figure.
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@OneADayJ
Saw a little line value there and think they're on the upswing late last year and like the transfers they added as well. WR suspended this week though; lowered the units on this play from what I was originally thinking. Just 1u.
Final 2021 #s: my line was -34.3 with a season's worth of data.
Current #s with offseason adjustments and I arrived at -37.4, but more of a guess on how much better/worse for Tenn Tech, but kinda gave them the benefit of the doubt and still arrived at this figure.
Yeah I have been keepin tabs on them also, think they have potential. Just think that's a lot of wood for them to be laying. I'll probably get some ingame if I can grab TennTech +21 or better for the 1st half. Thx for the reply. GL with your bets
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Yeah I have been keepin tabs on them also, think they have potential. Just think that's a lot of wood for them to be laying. I'll probably get some ingame if I can grab TennTech +21 or better for the 1st half. Thx for the reply. GL with your bets
B.A.wherever you are, I am reading you and "cashing those W W penn ST and Mich ST. really need you , all the time, thank you ,bestluck and remember you are the best, #1, "TREMENDO"!! I know you are to have a great YEAR, SIR!! ALL THE WAT!!!
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B.A.wherever you are, I am reading you and "cashing those W W penn ST and Mich ST. really need you , all the time, thank you ,bestluck and remember you are the best, #1, "TREMENDO"!! I know you are to have a great YEAR, SIR!! ALL THE WAT!!!
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