Super rugby rd 4

YTD 3-0, streak WWW, +$270

Very tough round coming up. Reds last week should have pinched the game from the Rebels and should be shot for not getting a field goal attempt away in the closing couple of minutes. This was just one of many poor options taken during the game (what was that Fijian winger thinking?). Rebels played badly but every time they got inside the Reds half they were gifted 3 points through Reds lack of discipline. Anyone unfortunate enough to have watched the game would presumably agree that Reds are undisciplined, unskilled, disorganised and lacking in flair. Their only saving graces are their set pieces, with both their scrum and lineout solid but not overpowering, and their goal kicking which is good.  

The Blues, after a good 1st round performance have subsequently slipped back into their mistake riddled play of recent seasons. Provided they show a little patience and respect for the ball they should have too many points in them for the Reds to match. I'll be very surprised if Tana lets this one slip through his fingers. My main concern is that Kerevi, who has been quiet, is due to carve someone up. If he is contained Queensland will again struggle for points and the Blues should be able to run up at least 30.

I'm getting on early as I think the Blues will firm before kickoff.

Blues -5 @ $1.90 for $100.

Good punting all

The Blues were actually backed in to -7.5 by kick-off but even getting the early number of -5 didn't help the cause.

Blues were back to all their old habits, spilling the ball and giving away penalties. This didn't surprise me but what did surprise me was that Reds were much improved in their discipline. I don't know what the penalty count ended up but it was way too high against the Blues to allow them to cover the spread.

Sorry serg, didn't see your post until well after the event. I'll check my thread more often in the future. Lets just say I was pleased with the result. Looks like you might have found a winner there so well done to you.