Profile | Entries | Thread Author | Posts | Activity |
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Broncos 2H ML is -310...where are you getting -140...?
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OverAmbassador | 7 |
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@Pho-20 I bet Dak covered a lot of spreads too¡ |
yorosan | 28 |
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Probably the same experts that picked Dallas last night¡lol
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yorosan | 28 |
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Same thing for the Packers and Rogers yesterday.. Rogers loses Davante Adams... opens the 1H down 17-0... 2H line opens at Packers -3 because of Rogers reputations for coming back in games... But he just doesn't have the horses, public doesn't care, Rogers can come back and SURELY cover a small -3...
So the books can set that line based on public perceptions.. Packers lose ... scoring 1 TD the entire 2H...
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smacksmiter | 5 |
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That should have read .. Line opened at Bucs -2 and quickly went to -1.5..
For some reason, the edit feature is not working...
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smacksmiter | 5 |
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The books opened that 2H line at Dallas -2... very quickly went to -1...
But what does that say about how the books algorithms work?... or how the line makers themselves views the Cowboys?...
In the recent past, Dallas had a good offense and a below average defense, they regularly would go over totals...more often than not..
But now, everything has changed.. they are now a bad offense with a very good defense... I would expect them to play a lot of under games this year...the public has not yet caught up to that... and the books felt that the public would want to wager on the Cowboys to come back in the game, no matter how bad the offense looked in the 1H...
Bucs 2H was some of the absolutely easiest money made this weekend.. if you knew how to read it...
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smacksmiter | 5 |
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What is there that anyone sees that says the Cowboys come back here?...
They have no receivers that can stretch the field...
O Line in shambles..
Train wreck...
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smacksmiter | 5 |
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@MrBator Great memory there...
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DvsRob | 12 |
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Generally it takes a couple of weeks for the good stuff to show up...
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DR25 | 4 |
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@LonghornHoosier If Bama gets up huge in the 1H, Saban will do his patented one offensive TD in the 3Q and then the stranglehold where scoring by the offense slows down or stops... all scores after that point will be defensive and its a crap shoot...
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vankiep_0007 | 27 |
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Alabama 1H was -14 and just moved to -14.5..
Amazing line that -10!
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badlands | 8 |
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Best of luck today, legend!
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Boom_Boom | 38 |
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Heaney looks pissed off and dialed in now...
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Bay2LA | 25 |
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@davemsh Yes Sir.. this will not be a 1 run game...
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Bay2LA | 25 |
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@s1ick Oh.. don't worry.. I'm on the Dodgers RL..
They have been covering the -1.5 RL at an almost 70% rate in the 2H of the season...
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Bay2LA | 25 |
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There are a lot of teams you might want to fade this year..
Fading the Dodgers in September.. probably not a good idea.. on pace to win over 110 games...
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Bay2LA | 25 |
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Really...seriously...
ok...lol...
Best of luck!
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Bay2LA | 25 |
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@KingScorpio Bro...they are the favorite today...
According to the books, they are supposed to win... sooooo....
According to your reasoning, they should lose...lol...
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smacksmiter | 7 |
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@KingScorpio With all due respect... that certainly doesn't mean they are going to win 60% of the rest of their games... at best, they lose 4 of every 10 left...
This certainly looks like one of them .. the value on Texas here can't be ignored IMO...
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smacksmiter | 7 |
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Lyles is game 2... ESPN has it wrong as well.. |
EUROPEANDREAMER | 5 |
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