KeyElement

MLB Daily 2024 / ($1.00 is my unit, 100 units per play)

Record 26-32-10, -720.97, RoR -12.6%

7/12

As Admiral Farragut would have said ¡°Damn the torpedoes, full speed ahead¡±

MY latest break has produced positive results. To track myself I have been playing King of Covers lately and if you check that I am at 12-4, +3700, and #319 of 3756 players, in the top 8.5%.

F5 Rockies +190, Gordon/Manaea

There are plenty of reasons to call this one a coin flip, regardless of how bad the Rockies (apparently) are and the Mets having a few advantages, none of them significant to the probability of winning a 5-inning matchup. Gordon¡¯s loss to KC is not as bad as it would appear, on paper and to the naked eye, and Manaea¡¯s career, as well as his current season, has definitely cooled. The righty/lefty matchup is to the Rockies favor.

 F5 Astros -155, Heaney/Brown

No secrets here, as the Astros hold all possible advantages that matter. An RoR of 64.5% is not luxurious but chances are better than 64.5% that the Astros win the first 5.

F5 Twins -145, Ryan/Harrison

Read prior analysis. Same day, same scenario, except that the Twins are the visitor. That is a much less important factor than bettors give it credit for, but it does keep the odds down a little, so we have an RoR of 69% instead of 64.5. OK by me.

BOL  

@PUSSYGALORE333

 More important yet is Return On Risk; that is why most guys on forums like this won't touch it. 

@IntenseOperator

"Detroit is cheating (I'm trying to fit in here)"

 Thanx, I needed that! 

I have lost 10 of my last 14 picks, fellas. BREAK TIME. 

I will be back, but don't know when. I have to prove myself to myself.

@JEG53, @IntenseOperator, 

@barronio

 The best bet is to not post the same damn thing seven times.

MLB Daily 2024 / ($1.00 is my unit, 100 units per play)

Record 26-31-10, -620.97, RoR -11.1%

7/05

F5 A¡¯s +135, Suarez/Harris

If East Coast money has paid little or no attention to Harris and the A¡¯s, well I guess that is up to them. That is where the bulk of the MLB wagering money comes from and there is a deep, deep respect for the A.L. East, often creating unsupportable odds. The matchup favors Harris, and bettors should also note the O¡¯s are having some difficulties on offense lately. Automatic win at high odds? I don¡¯t think so.

BOL  

Long story short, Tyler had a very good day, but Pivetta had one way over his head. 1-0 always hurts, but mom never said it would be easy.

@Ramanujan

 Me too! 

@IntenseOperator

 Nice day, and, btw, F5 is always listed pitchers whether the bettor likes it or not. Books insist (for their own protection of course).

@IntenseOperator

 Man, I don't know what part of the world you are in, but it is either way east of Arizona or you are an exceptionally early riser, like me,

MLB Daily 2024 / ($1.00 is my unit, 100 units per play)

Record 26-30-10, -520.97, RoR -9.5%

7/04 ¨C Salute a Vet, and pray for those that gave the final measure. 

F5 Marlins +130, Pivetta/Tyler

Nick Pivetta has never been anything other than average and his career numbers indicate he could regress further. I wish I had more data on Kyle Tyler but thus far he shows promise. There is also the possibility that with a day game after a night game, and a trip to the Bronx on tap, the Sox could be a little disinterested or rest some starters. Tyler is an unfamiliar face to the Sox, and has a tendency to get hitters to pound the ball into the ground. I like my chances versus the 68% of the public backing Pivetta versus the 32% of us driving the line down. The RLM is a good indicator of who the money likes.

BOL   

MLB Daily 2024 / ($1.00 is my unit, 100 units per play)

Record 26-29-10, -420.97, RoR -7.8%

6/28

F5 Nationals +140, Parker/Eflin

There is a lot of “instinct” in my play tonight. Amen.

BOL  

@RebelTell2

 Probably so. Might feel better about the run line also.

It is probably an auto feed from a wire service. I think all the problems around here with the forums is Covers web host. They gotta kick some butt there.

You have a lot already. If you add two consider round robin x twos or threes. Much better chance of cashing!

@mdelvalle

 Good for you on that parlay last night 

MLB Daily 2024 / ($1.00 is my unit, 100 units per play)

Record 25-29-10, -516.21, RoR -9.7%

6/27

F5 Guardians -105, Lively/Wacha

One hot inning against the Marlins bullpen does not convince me the Royals offense is back. Wacha is a respectable starter, but not in a class with Lively, and the Guardians loss to the O¡¯s and Rodriguez yesterday was ¡°due¡± to say the least. If you have the guts play the run line at +$. I would love to, but the important thing for me right now is just to get back on track.

BOL  

The ¡°play at your own risk¡± notice is deleted. If you can¡¯t see that for yourself you are pretty dumb (no offense to those that are). 

@mdelvalle

 Now you cheer or cry depending on the outcome, but either way you can do it with a full pocket.

@Cranky_Hank

 Might be good advice. Pitching to Minny / D-bax better offense. 

Coin toss