jesty

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Member Since: November 2024

Last Activity: 27 December 2024

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Profile	Entries	Thread Author	Posts	Activity
	created a topic can someone help me understand what im missing in calculating +EV? in NFL Betting ok so im using a no vig fair odds calculator and an EV calculator to try and determine which side of a bet has better value but i must be missing something... ill use tomorrow's seahawks/bears game as the example.. odds are currently -200 for seahawks and +165 for bears. this means the implied odds for the seahawks to win are 66.67% and 37.74% for the bears to win. when i take the vig out that makes the odds 63.86% for the seahawks and 36.14% for the bears. assuming i am placing a $100 bet, when i enter that into the EV calculator it gives me a value of -$4.21 for the seahawks and -$4.23 for the bears. -4.21 is a bigger number than -4.23 so assuming i am doing this correctly (which i dont think i am), that would mean the seahawks are a better value even if not by much. now this is where i get confused: using that math, i would obviously get the same numbers for any bet where the favorite has -200 odds bc the underdog will always have +165 odds. so wat am i missing? thanks. View Post \| View Thread	jesty	15	December 25, 2024 View Post \| View Thread

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