I3C1H

Pretty stacked for a Friday card

1. Eyupspor/Fenerbahce - Wouldn¡¯t chalk this as a straight forward Fenerbahce win. A late stoppage time penalty in Istanbul unfortunately prevented the hosts from a result against Besiktas before going to Istanbul again and picking up a huge point against the current leaders. In between those two trips, an impressive point picked up in Basaksehir, not an easy place to play. Safe to say that Eyupspor gets up for these games against the top teams as 8 out of it¡¯s¡¯ 24 goals this season have come against the current top 7 sides, including a recent 3-0 drubbing of fellow early surprises in Samsunspor. With that said, expecting goals here as Eyupspor probably knows it won¡¯t pick up any points without at least netting once. Will jump on the live 1H over 1/0.75 and the whole game over 2.5/2.75 if the opportunity allows.

2. Bayern Munich/Leipzig - Books are expecting a drubbing here with the spread at -2 and the total sitting at 3.5/4. Leipzig is missing some stalwarts in Lukeba, Simmons, and Poulsen, but that¡¯s been the case since the end of November for Lukeba and the end of October for Simmons so it¡¯s not like these absences are recent news. Plus Bayern¡¯s missing vital pieces of its¡¯ own including Kane, Gnabry, and Davis, and everyone saw the BS it put up against Mainz last week. Take a look at the history between the two and see how many times Bayern covered a -2 spread. Yea I don¡¯t get it, especially when I don¡¯t rate this Bayern side as high as they¡¯ve been in recent years now without Kane against a side that it hasn¡¯t dominated historically and still features Sesko and Openda up front. I usually shy from ML/spreads when I can get similar odds on totals but took the +2 on Leipzig at -118. If it loses, so be it.

3. Verona/AC Milan - All but 4 of Verona¡¯s games this season featured 1H goals including every single home game except the Serie A opener. Every single Verona home game has featured 3+ goals. Against Napoli, Juventus, Lazio, Atalanta, Fiorentina, and Inter, all matches featured 3+ goals including 6-1 and 5-0 drubbings by Atalanta and Inter. I love the pregame 1H over here despite the juice at -150, especially with Milan coming off a goalless draw, as well as the whole game over 2.75 at -117. Would normally wait for better odds live but feel like this has a chance of seeing an opener early on. Hopefully will get a chance to hit the 1H over 0.75

Good luck!

Lucky to have gotten that late goal in the Espanyol/Valencia game. Was going to hammer the over 1 live if that 1H goal didn¡¯t come. Anyways. Decided to take the over 3.5 cards at plus at halftime. Take a look at the game between Valencia and Valladolid over the weekend. There¡¯s a ton of emotions involved in these relegation battles and in a league where cards are doled out easily I¡¯m happy to take my chances.

Also took the over 1.5 in the Sporting/Santa Clara game. Really hard to wrap my head around Sporting¡¯s alarming dip in form since Amorim left. There¡¯s so much talent in this squad relative to many of the teams in Portugal that I didn¡¯t think that they would have this difficult a time adjusting. One thing that has been relatively consistent though is that they¡¯ve been involved in games featuring goals, whether it be scoring them or conceding. Can¡¯t see this game finishing with less than 2 goals.

Smh I apologize about the late post. Saw a 1H goal but didn¡¯t think it¡¯d come this quickly and that it¡¯d be Crystal Palace drawing first blood. Actually missed the play  myself waiting for better odds. Onto the next one.

2. AS Monaco/PSG - A 6-pointer at the top with two teams capable of finding the net multiple times. Sounds similar to Monday¡¯s Inter/Lazio game. Last time these teams played featured a goalless draw. Monaco over the weekend played to a goalless draw. Monaco hasn¡¯t scored since the 7th of this month. You get my drift. 1H goal runner it is and over 2.5 live if I can catch the play live.

3. Espanyol/Valencia - Don¡¯t know why but really like the over here much more than the Villarreal/Rayo game. A 6-pointer at the bottom of the table. Espanyol hasn¡¯t found the net in its¡¯ past 3 games, which also all went under 2.5, but prior to that it played in 10-12 matches that went over 2.5. In other words they know how to score. Taking the over 2 for the full game and sprinkling some on the first half over at 0.75.

Good luck everyone!

1. Arsenal/Crystal Palace - Do we trust Arsenal¡¯s inconsistent offense here? Had me raising my eyebrows a bit but some factors to like including coming off a poor goalless showing against Everton over the weekend and Arteta coming out and saying winning the EFL Cup would alter Arsenal¡¯s ¡°energy¡±. You bet he¡¯s expecting them to come out on fire like they usually have at home except this time they¡¯ll actually nick a goal or two. Hopefully. On the first half goal runner here.

@sauce1

 My pleasure! Thank you for the kind words and will try to post more often!

 Inter showing the difference in pedigrees between the two clubs. Maybe a bit too early for Lazio to be true contenders. Wow. What bangers by Dimarco and Barella. Golazos. Was thinking of taking cards in this game but I think that this game is done and dusted.

Will be taking a look at taking over 1 in Bournemouth/West Ham live.

@EzzClap

  Love having two teams more than capable of finding the net multiple times

@monkeebooger

 Beautiful way to get to halftime 

@Brooklyncapper

  You as well!

@monkeebooger

Great question. Taty started the game on Thurs and finished because he was suspended for this match. Outside of Pedro, the attackers today at most played just a half. Similar situation for Lautaro as he came on in the 66h minute against Leverkusen. Both teams have the depth to rotate in these competitions and still not miss a beat AND they both got an extra day off playing today instead of the weekend (Lazio 4 days in between, Inter almost a week off). I still like the play a lot.

4. Kallithea/Olympiacos - Taking a shot here on the over 0.75 at even money. Olympiacos coming off getting shut out at home to Twente on Thurs. Kallithea the worst team in Greece. Olympiacos has a penchant for grabbing goals late in the 1H.

Happy Holidays everyone hope everyone's been well!

1. Lazio/Inter - Grabbed the 1H over 1 at -120, took the over 2.5 at -110, and will be on the 1H over 0.75/0.5 if the opportunity allows. Lazio's been one of my fav teams to back the over this season and it's certainly paid off. Taty is suspended but they have 5-6 interchangeable attackers capable of going off (Noslin hattrick last week, Isaksen's worldly to grab a double over Napoli). Add an Inter squad that's also capable of adding goals into the mix, and I have this pegged at a total of 2.75 and even 3. Also love the fact that this is a 6-pointer in the race for the Scudetto.

2. Adana DS/Besiktas - Galatasaray. Fenerbahce. Besiktas. The big 3 I try to target for live overs as the pregame juice are usually a bit too expensive for my taste. That being said, Besiktas offensive numbers seem to have taken a dip compared to the start of the season as 3 out of its' last 4 domestic league games have gone under 2.5. IF the majority of Besiktas' preferred attackers (Immobile, Rafa Silva, Rashica, Kilicsoy, Fernandes) all start, the live 1H over will be in play as Adana DS features the leakiest defense in the league by far.

3. Porto/Estrela Amadora - Had my reservations about Porto's attack at the beginning of the season as it went over a significant makeover (Taremi, Evanilson, Conceicao out and Samu, Vieira in) but it appears to be on par offensively with Porto teams of yesteryears. When Estrela has faced Benfica x2 and Sporting this season on the road, it has lost the 1H everytime including giving up 3 goals in the 1H in the past two. Definitely think we see a 1H goal here and may consider the 1H -1 spread on Porto.

@Ildjarn

  Cashing 2 bets all with 1 goal! What a way to end the day 

@handycat

 Mmm not a fan of taking overs on teams live. Would rather take insurance and bet on the total. Been recently screwed too much by other team scoring rather than the one I need. Plus not too familar w/ Scottish league other than the usual giants. Sorry!

Ugly 1Hs in Europa League and VERY FORTUNATE for a second day in a row to grab a late goal to get half a win and push w/ the pickem looking good. Will take it. Upside is there should be goals in the 2H because five are scoreless at the half.

AZ/Fenerbahce - The game I hone in on for my 2H play. Fenerbahce's had the better chances so far and have quality up front to nick 1.

Lazio/Porto - Game should open up now right? Ugly 1H w/ a bunch of bookings but w/ Porto now having to chase feel much better about the over.

Again will be on bookings late. Worked very well in the morning and expect the same w/ some major teams needing results.

Action packed 2Hs in the early games and feel like the drama will continue w/ many European heavyweights in action. Been doing well on shots on goal runner and took one at 3 and 4 on Taty Castellanos. Surprised to see the line on the over hasn't moved but still think the over hits w/ ease. Will be looking for 1H goal opportunities in Hoffenheim, Chelsea, LASK, and Jagiellonia games.

Wishing everyone continued great luck in their plays 

@Quasari

  Great call on Dragusin! I took Oshimen total shots on goal runner at 3 and 4 which easily hit in the 1H. Good morning so far just from that alone. Hoping Nice can come through. Surprised they came out so flat but also not surprised given some of the players' reputations.

@handycat

 I took the over 1 on USG/Roma which just hit now. Have a bunch of props still pending. Later games look way more appetizing.

@Quasari

 Ooo might jump on the Dragusin card live then! Good luck bro!

@Quasari

   Will def be keeping an eye on this game. Sorta gun shy because it seems like such an easy over/attacking game.

@Ildjarn

 Nice! Glad to see a fellow member agree. I took the pick for some insurance and since it was plus money. Took the ML on Fenerbahce against ManU last round and was kicking myself for not taking the insurance on the pickem instead.

Galatasaray/Tottenham - Total sitting here at 3, 3.5 w/ the 1H over at 1.5. Would naturally be inclined to take the over here, even live, but 1. Big Ange has been rotating his squad heavily for these European competitions and 2. games w/ totals this high thought to be "automatic overs" have recently ended w/ 1 goal or even goalless (i.e., Bayern/Benfica,  Atalanta/Celtic, Frankfurt/Rigas, Lyon/Besiktas). It's unfathomable to me that two teams w/ the attacking prowess of both can't find the back of the net but I feel like a small bet on the 0-0 scoreline is worth a shot w/ betting live to hedge if the opportunity rises. At 22-1 think it's worth a shot.

Nice/Twente - Twente has put up valiant performances so far in this tournament but "they are what we thought they were" and that is one of lowest, if not the lowest, ranked/seeded teams in this tournament. With the way this tournament is set up, I just feel the contenders and pretenders will sort itself out as we get deeper into the group stages. Believe it or not, Nice is currently behind the visitors in the standings after going through the roughest stretch of their group stage game and I feel they'll show the talent disparity between the two after the final whistle. Jumped on the -0.5/-1 spread at -110 and expecting Nice to jump out to the lead by halftime.