FedEx St. Jude

Tpc Southwind is another course that emphasizes driving accuracy over driving distance which we have seen a lot lately. Water hazards are abundant so keeping the ball dry off the tee is essential. This is a pure middle iron test with majority of approaches coming from 125-200 yds. The greens and green side surrounds are relatively simple so I¡¯ll be honing in on players with elite recent approach form, accuracy off the tee, and good form on comp courses and at southwind. These 2 jumped out to me and popped in my models for this week. Will have 1 or 2 more with some finishing position plays..

Tommy Fleetwood (33-1) 1.5u

Tom Kim (45-1) 1u

Top 20:

Sepp Straka (+180) 1.5u

Top 10:

Russell Henley (+280) 1u

@Rollz

Congrats on the Rai hit sir.

Im getting Kirk at +22,000, thoughts?

@Boa33

 Thanks buddy, I don¡¯t mind the Kirk play. A positional course like this is exactly where you want to play him. The problem is his putter has been cold, but the switch to Bermuda greens this week should be a relief as he has historically been a better Bermuda putter. 

@Rollz

Any long shots you like at +100-1

Hideki Matsuyama (33-1) 1.5u

@Boa33

 I think noren deserves a look. Hoge maybe as well because of the upside. Place fits hoge nicely 

Nice hit last week bro!

Need a winner in one and done, Cantlay/Collin/Deki/Henley/T. Kim. 

Leaning Hideki or Cantlay. 

Nice hit high rollz! 

Congrats Rollz on Rai¡­

Matsuyama 33/1¡­

Scott 55/1¡­

Burns 55/1¡­

FRL¡­An 50/1¡­

Thanks brotha. I personally would go either deki or morikawa. I don¡¯t do one and done though, I know ownership does play a role in that but I¡¯d assume hideki would be lower owned 

@EuroPro

 Thanks my man!

@WYBBOB

I love all 3 of these picks, especially hideki. Sorry about the Greyserman collapse buddy, good pick. Gl this week 

Top 10:

Ludvig Aberg (+190) 1.5u

Going for the double play. Last year Glover did it, this year RAI does it.

I had him last week, he has that gift of playing like he's the only person there and he's just practicing. Such a great gift to not get caught up in any of the excitement.

That's what took out Greyserman, if he birdies #13 with a tap in instead of holing out from 90 yards, I bet he wins easily. That eagle took him out of his comfort zone and the next swing was faster, big fade, hello OB after a bad break hitting the path. It woulda been better if he hit someone instead.

SS & X don't have much success at this venue which is weird... Aberg, Morikawa & RAI are my plays to win. May throw in Cantlay and Rory FRL as well as X. 

What about Hole in One +100?

The No at -135 seems fishy.

Adding an outright and finishing position. Love Ludvig on this course, has some similarities to sea island where he won back in November. I expect him to be there in a tee to green test such as this one. A lot of guys to like at this venue got a full card, GL to all this week 

Outrights:

Ludvig Aberg (22-1) 1.5u

Tommy Fleetwood (33-1) 1.5u

Hideki Matsuyama (33-1) 1.5u

Tom Kim (45-1) 1u

Top 10:

Ludvig Aberg (+190) 1.5u

Russell Henley (+280) 1u

Corey Conners (+280) 1u

Top 20:

Sepp Straka (+180) 1.5u

@Rollz

Kirk 

GL this week pal

Thx Boa¡­I didn¡¯t post Kirk but saw your post on him & I got him at 200/1 & the next day he went up to 225/1¡­I played him on FRL at 75/1 & Bingo !! Thx again

@WYBBOB

 @Boa33

Nice hit on Kirk FRL brotha! Good shout boa. I¡¯ve got a chunk of him in Dfs myself 

Looking to be an 0-4 week on finishing positions. Bizarre week with a lot of trending players playing very poorly. Do have that 33-1 on hideki with the 5 stroke lead, hope he gets it done for us. 

I have Matsuyama but at 25-1. Just hope NBC didn't jinx him yesterday.

I put in Jason Day after round 3 to make the top 10 +360.  He caught fire at the end of the round. See if that continues today. 

Good luck.

We did it Rollz...Not quite the way I drew it up...

@WYBBOB

 LFG dude! This thread is heating up