Accventures RBC Heritage picks thread

The grind goes on.....need a winner from before a tournament starts!  Thought I had it in Homa but a couple bad holes sunk me.

118-94-14 YTD record on match-ups and score plays (winner 52% of the time, win/push 58.4% of the time.  Goal is to be win/push 66%+ of the time)

Still up close to $900 for the season overall but I am due a winner from before the tournament starts one of these weeks as I've been very close a few times.

Harman to win (50-1 for $40)

Phillips to win (300-1 for $15)

Lowry to win (40-1 for $50)

Todd to win (90-1 for $25)

Tosti to win (300-1 for $15)

Kirk to win (60-1 for $45)

Nick Taylor to win (110-1 for $30)

Back to the Kornferry Tour...

1st round match-ups (all to win $150):

Lowry (-115) over Bhatia

Harman (120) over Im

Aberg over 4.5 birdies (-120)

Homa over 4.5 birdies (+105)

Tom Kim (even) over English

Fitzpatrick (even) over Cantlay

Poston (-120) over Bradley

Fitzpatrick over 4.5 birdies (+110)

Kirk (120) over Pavon

Clark (+110) over Fleetwood

Todd (-110) over Hadwin

@accventures

1st round leader:

Fowler (85-1 for $17)

Rose (90-1 for $14)

Tosti (125-1 for $12) Will post ticket if it¡¯s him

Taylor (90-1 for $18)

Straka (60-1 for $18)

Todd (65-1 for $16)

Cam Davis (60-1 for $18)

Harman (50-1 for $21)

if I¡¯m lucky enough for Tosti to be the leader at the end of the day, I¡¯ll post the ticket since he¡¯s teed off and leading at -4 right now.

Moot point most likely as Tosti has gone par for the next six holes and not built on this lead.  -4 at the end of the day won¡¯t get the job done.

Poston running away.  At least had him in a match up.

LMAO.....won the Poston over Keegan just barely........13 strokes.  How the fuck do you get beat in one round by 13 strokes?????  Poston 1st place, Keegan dead last place.  Love to make them all that damn easy!

4-5-2 on matchups.  Sucks.  Harman was on cruise control and dropped three shots in the last two holes.  He's in a damn funk and I continue to get my ass kicked betting on his midget ass.

122-99-16 on match-up/score plays YTD.

2nd round match-ups (all to win $150):

Xander (-130) over Fleetwood

Pavon (-110) over Kitayama

Lowry under 69.5 (-110)

Aberg (-125) over Rory

Straka (-120) over McCarthy

Aberg over 4.5 birdies/eagles (-110)

Lowry (-110) over Jaeger

Bhatia (-105) over Zalatoris

Clark under 69.5 (-115)

Theegala (-125) over JT

Taylor (-110) over Simpson

Fitzpatrick (+115) over Cantlay

Fitzpatrick over 4.5 birdies/eagles (-110)

Conners (even) over Zalatoris

Shaping up to be a good match-up day.

8-4-2.  Good day, couple strokes from it being great!

130-103-18 YTD.

Going to likely need to spend some money for the weekend with ¡°to win¡± plays.  Need a few viable possibilities and no one I have right now is legit to win.

58.9% chance I don¡¯t lose YTD.  Want to get that win rate up to that.  

3rd round match-ups (all to win $150):

Kim (+109) over Im

Xander (-130) over Rory

Todd (-105) over Bezudenhout

Harman (-105) over English. glutton for punishment as dude is so good but so up and down....I believe in you little fella

Homa (-110) over Zalatoris

Fitzpatrick (-105) over Si Woo Kim

Theegala (-120) over An

Aberg (-130) over Rory

Bhatia (-115) over Day

Kirk (even) over Henley

Scotty under 66.5 (even)

Fitzpatrick over 4.5 birdies/eagles (+115)

Cantlay over 4.5 birdies/eagles (+110)

Detry to win (300-1 for $9)

Jaeger to win (100-1 for $17)

Kirk to win (150-1 for $6)

Power to win (250-1 for $12)

3rd round leader:

Power (225-1 for $8)

Jaeger (140-1 for $11)

8-4-1  match-ups/scores today.   Another good macth-up day.

138-107-19 YTD

Let's finish the weekend strong with some match-up winners.  Going with:

Todd (-115) over Kitayama

Bhatia (-105) over Glover

Xander (-115) over Rory

Morikawa (even) over Cantlay

Nick Taylor (-115) over Simpson

The Field (+108) over Scheffler

Straka over 4.5 birdies/eagles (+103)

Theegala over 4.5 birdies/eagles (-103)

Scotty over 4.5 birdies/eagles (-115)

Tom Kim (+109) over Kirk

Poston to win (80-1 for $18)

Power to win (100-1 for $16)

Hoge to win (60-1 for $22)

@accventures