CD Newsletter Week 16

YTD 61-69-6 (-3.19)

6-7 for +0.73 last week

Broncos@Chargers U41.5(-110) *.75/.68

Texans +3.5(-110) *1.10/1.00

Texans +3(+110) *.40/.44

Texans@Chiefs U42(-110) *1.00/.91

Panthers +4.5(-106) *1.00/.94

Commanders +3.5(-110) *1.10/1.00

Commanders ML(+165) .25/.41

49ers@Dolphins O44.5(-110) *1.50/1.36

Week 17 look ahead bet:

Packers +2(-110) *1.00/.91

Jets +3(even) *1.50

Jets ML(+140) *.50/.70

Cowboys +4(-105) *1.25/1.19

Cowboys ML(+180) *.25/.45

0-4 start. Have to add strong leans to avoid disaster. I will come close to 50%, may win a little, may lose a little. 

Man the handicapping landscape is changing, all four  favs covered which going into the day one might have thought no way. But I heard that the money count was on all the dogs, now I don't know if its true but it does make sense.All the young new gamblers are mostly getting an ear full of bet the dogs.

@Biscuiteater1

 Yup, the year of faves and overs

Curious to see if it will be a multi-year trend

Just saw this. Didn't check for accuracy but seems right

@Biscuiteater1

 The books have been collecting sharp $, and all the parlay/teaser/prop $ from the public.

I'm sure they are fine however it shakes out.

So on Saturday EVERY fav covered nfl and college. Bettors going into today fat n happy. 

I have stuck to my guns with a heavy dog card, fuck em. If I'm going down, I'm going down swinging 

Not to mention all 3 games to start the nfl this week the favs and overs hit.

Yikes

@dubz4dummyz

 There's also a stat that one of the podcasts I listen to every week. They mention it every week, the public heavy sides are winning too. Somewhere close to 60% ats.

@undermysac

 Interesting..

The overs make a bit of sense with the new kickoff rules. NFL wants scoring. Tesms starting at 30 makes scoring range that much easier.

Saw an article that this season average game total is at 43-44 points. Last 5-6 years it was 41-42 average. I lost the article for the exact numbers. Think it was as of week 14

Just looking at the line moves and juice on every game, as expected, the public is betting all the favs.

Only 2 games seem to have bigger $ on the dogs, Cowboys and Seahawks. I'm on the Cowboys, but no way I could support the Seahawks. 

https://pregame.com/game-center

The ticket and $ count on the favs is astronomical today.

The only reason I say the Hawks and Cowboys have bigger $ on em is because of the RLM.

Just grabbed Skins 4' - 115

Sac, it would sure help the cause if Jayden Daniels used his legs some today 

Hawks to the wire....

he will  have to.....

Titans 2 - 12 ATS   according to taking head on CBS Sports HQ

Penis will pass them ...

I may still play the Vikings. No one believes in them, no one. 12-2 su, 9-4-1 ats

Good # Biscuit. It's back to the original opener. I should of waited

The Chargers clinch a playoff spot today with...

- A Dolphins loss or tie against the 49ers

AND

- A Colts loss or tie against the Titans

I already have money on the 9ers.

Cool story.. Thanks for sharing. 

YTD 61-69-6 (-3.19)

6-7 for +0.73 last week

Broncos@Chargers U41.5(-110) *.75/.68

Texans +3.5(-110) *1.10/1.00

Texans +3(+110) *.40/.44

Texans@Chiefs U42(-110) *1.00/.91

Panthers +4.5(-106) *1.00/.94

Commanders +3.5(-110) *1.10/1.00

Commanders ML(+165) .25/.41

49ers@Dolphins O44.5(-110) *1.50/1.36

Week 17 look ahead bet:

Packers +2(-110) *1.00/.91

Jets +3(even) *1.50

Jets ML(+140) *.50/.70

Cowboys +4(-105) *1.25/1.19

Cowboys ML(+180) *.25/.45

Cards@Panthers U47(-110) *1.25/1.14

A baker's dozen, may add another. Goal is to win more than .55 units this week

For what it’s worth 

Detroit -6.5

Philly -4.5

Passed the Eye Test