Week 17 Props n Plays

Last week there were a couple sides and totals that just really stuck out to me and I hit them right away (NE +14 was my biggest bet of the year). Im not getting that this week. I'm seeing a lot of games where theres too much question about the effort you get or I just dont see the letdown spot like that Bills game or just really tight coin flip games where I personally dont have a strong opinion. 

I do think potentially Pittsburgh could hand KC their second loss, but I dont like the number or the spot. I was on Houston moneyline last week and I thought that was the spot to bet against KC but a questionable roughing the passer led to a KC touchdown that was the difference in the game. 

I dont think any of these rise to playable, but my leans are PIT ml, LAC -4, DEN ml, SEA/CHI o43.5, TEN/JAX o39.5, NYJ +10.5, NYG +8, GB ml. The closest to being a play for me is SEA/CHI o43.5 and GB ml. I will be watching these closely. 

So far just 2 plays making it for me:

Zay Flowers o56.5 rec yds

Lamar Jackson o28.5 pass attempts

I will likely be playing Rashod Bateman over his receiving total as well. Im guessing it will be around 34.5 but not posted on Hard Rock yet. I dont think Baltimore is going to be able to rush for 150 with Henry against Houston who has been pretty good against the run. So I expect over 30 pass attempts this game as opposed to the 23 he had against the Steelers, and thus receiving yds to go with it from the 2 top wideout targets. 

Add:

Joe Mixon o17.5 rec yds

Added:

Rashod Bateman o35.5 rec yds

Seems like a lot are on the over for this KC game and I actually like the under. Im not dying to play it but I think this sets up for a dog fight

Also looking to play Noah Gray over. Right now its at 15.5 -135 on Hard Rock and I dont pay that much juice so we'll see if we can get a better number or play it live

Y 

Bol todayMerry Christmas

What a disaster. Houston not remotely competitive. Bad bad night

0-4 to start the week. Ouch. 

Added:

Marvin Mims o22.5 rec yds (he's been a lot more involved in the offense the last 4-5 weeks and getting 4-6 targets. Low total for him to get over)

You'll turn it around Yan no doubt....good cappers usually do.

@justliketoplay

 Thanks man. Yea its been my best season ever even though the last 2 weeks havent been good and this 0-4 start is bad. That game last night was just so uncompetitive with Houston so inept on offense that the Ravens had no reason to throw. I couldnt believe we could even get 5 more yds receiving out of Mixon. 

@Yanasaur

 Both games yesterday coming from teams expected to go far but definetly didn't show up with their combined respective performance.

We learn to move on to the next bud and start by turning things around these final games on the card week seventeen Yan

This was one I mentioned in my initial post was a lean. Now that this has moved off the key 43 I'm going to go ahead and make this a play. I dont know why this is dropping. I know Chicago hasnt scored a whole lot but the offense has looked decent and I can see both teams putting up some numbers tonight. 

SEA/CHI o42

I think Roshon Johnson has good value on the TD +300