Seattle has gone UNDER at home last 3 games. Looks like game against Green Bay should reverse and go OVER the total.
Bucky Irving is the key for Tampa Bay. Very underrated running back and makes the offense go. Chargers have absolutely no running game whatsoever. It is really impacting them in being a solid team. I think Tampa Bay is a live underdog this week to win outright. Chargers in a sandwich spot between playing at KC last week and Denver on deck on a short week coming up. Tampa Bay +3 and a sprinkle on the ML
Josh Downs is practicing for Indy this week. Riley Moss is Denver's #2 CB that will be out for 2 more games. I can't tell you how critical it is for Denver to have their secondary healthy especially the way their Defensive Coordinator like to play man to man on the outside. No Riley = No Good. Denver has been a solid team covering their last 4 games and winning 3 of them. Indy's defense is weak against covering TE's and weak against the run. The problem is that Denver lacks TE talent and they don't run very well outside of Jaleel Mclaughlin. They can't take advantage of Indy's weaknesses. Not a good matchup. The spread is too high. Indy like Cleveland did... will test Denver's #2 CB. That is the key in this game with Downs return. Take Indy +4. Field goal game either way.
You can make an argument that they are in the top 3 of best teams in the league. Solid defense, solid offense. I know that Tomlin is lucrative as an underdog on the road but he is holding WR Pickens back one more week. The Steelers, like the Chargers are caught in a sandwich spot between two division games. They have Baltimore on deck and they have a 1.5 lead in the division. This is a non-conference road game for Pitt. Philly is coming off of a flat poor performance despite getting the win last week. Pitt has not won in Philly (I do not believe ever, but I can be wrong) Anyway, this is a live favorite. Take Philly - 4.5. No Pickens, no shot in Philly.
Arizona will rout the New England Patriots who sport one of the worst defenses in the NFL. Arizona has lost their last 3 games SU and playing the 2nd of back to back home games after being obliterated by Seattle. The score did not justify how that game went. Arizona is a lot like Miami. This game will go like the New England / Miami game a few weeks back. Arizona has a solid running back, TE, and WR to easily dispatch this squad. Take Arizona -6.5
Tennessee is your 1pm EST live dog this week. They have not covered a game against the spread at home all year and this could be their best shot against a god awful Cincinatti defense. The Bengals are coming off of a short week back on the road and have a division game on deck. Tennesse got back one of their two CB's Awuzie last week. I do expect Higgins to have a big game since Awuzie will be on Chase. Despite this, Tennessee will put up points at home after going UNDER the number at home in their last 3 outings. This game will go OVER the number. Look for RB Pollard, and former Bengal WR Boyd to have a nice outing. One other key item...there is a lot of familiarity between these 2 teams as a number of former Bengal players now play on the Titans roster. This game will be close. Take Tennessee +5
Jets have played 3 straight OVERS. I think this game with the Jags will be low scoring. I like the UNDER here.
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