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NFL Record and Picks So Far

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Packerscjg

Prospect

Joined: Jul, 2014

Posts: 71

Posted: Sep. 30, 2015 - 12:01 PM ET #1

Hey all,

I have made threads in other sports and been fairly unsuccessful due to the fact that NFL is my game. I will be keeping this thread updated and to date the on numbers will not disappoint.

Week 1 Picks (6-0-0):
Dolphins -6 W
Packers -6.5 W
Cardinals -2.5 W
Giants +6 W
Falcons +3 W
49ers +3 W

Week 2 Picks (4-3-0):
Broncos ML W
Saints -10 L
Bills ML L
Vikings ML W
Cowboys ML W
Ravens -5 L
Packers ML W

Week 3 Picks (9-2-0):
Giants -2.5 W
Falcons PK W
Patriots -14 W
Eagles ML W
Vikings -2.5 W
Ravens -2 L
Seahawks -14.5 W
Colts -3 L
Steelers PK W
Cardinals -7 W
Broncos ML W

So far in NFL I have been killing it and hope to continue as the season progresses. I will put my picks in here prior to the games and if you have any questions feel free to ask.

GL All

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footballsmart

Veteran

Joined: Sep, 2014

Posts: 1270

Posted: Sep. 30, 2015 - 12:51 PM ET #2

Your record is awesome? It will be interesting to see if you can keep it up. Are you posting before games? what do you think of the Seahawks this weekend. I think they will cover the 9.5 against the Lions. What do you think?

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Packerscjg

Prospect

Joined: Jul, 2014

Posts: 71

Posted: Sep. 30, 2015 - 2:21 PM ET #3

Thanks man. Hopefully I can keep it going. I played college football and did some coaching after an ACL tear so this isn't guesswork.

Seahawks at home -9.5 I love. There are certain teams you hate taking as big favorites and the Seahawks are not one of them.
Here is the why:
Lions are really struggling to protect Stafford. He is rushing throws and his receivers (including megaton) have been underwhelming thus far.
Abdullah likes to fumble the ball. Put down the popcorn bud.
The lions defense is incapable of stopping the run in my opinion. Big holes mean severe time of possession advantage to the Seahawks.
Russell Wilson does not turn the ball over. Rawls looked perfectly capable of handling marshawns workload if Lynch is out. Put all these things together on top of Cam and Sherman playing at Seattle with the legion of boom looking elite again you have all the ingredients for a blowout here. I'll be taking Seahawks this weekend. BOL

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Ih8coldweather

Veteran

Joined: Sep, 2015

Posts: 3009

Posted: Sep. 30, 2015 - 2:57 PM ET #4

what games do you like this week?

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Packerscjg

Prospect

Joined: Jul, 2014

Posts: 71

Posted: Sep. 30, 2015 - 5:03 PM ET #5

Quote Originally Posted by Ih8coldweather:

what games do you like this week?

I'll try to review any games people have questions about, but at first glance...I REPEAT, FIRST GLANCE I like:

Steelers +3

Falcons -6.5

Panthers -3

Giants ML

Eagles -3

Chiefs +4

Packers -9 (Will buy down to 7 or 6.5 most likely)

Broncos -6.5

Seahawks -10

BOL Please remember this is just my gut reaction to looking at the spreads and I will update later on as the games approach. If you have any questions feel free to ask.

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Packerscjg

Prospect

Joined: Jul, 2014

Posts: 71

Posted: Sep. 30, 2015 - 5:34 PM ET #6

I have to make a comment because I am sick of these stupid threads telling everyone to fade the packers this week. I am not being biased as a fan here, simply going to explain how and why you are STUPID if you bet on the 49ers this week.

Let me start by giving you an example of out playing yourself here.

Sitting at the blackjack table, and you flip 10-2 while dealer is showing a 6. It comes to you and you stand because you wanna get cute and hope the dealer flips a 16 and busts. Dealer flips his card over, hes showing 6-6 and flips a 9. You just outsmarted yourself and cost yourself for trying to get cute.

I am saying this because the Packers are on fire. As a fan and as a general football lover you can watch Aaron Rodgers and it's almost impossible not to be amazed with the level of poise and consistency he is able to perform.

On the completely opposite spectrum the 49ers look like garbage. They lost Harbaugh who was the heart and soul of that team. They have no rushing game, sorry I love Hyde but their Offensive Line looks like a bunch of idiots. Kaepernik looks like a rookie, and hes throwing the ball worse than Tim Tebow.

DO NOT OUTSMART YOURSELF HERE!

Packers are the smart play here, as they are way more likely to blow out the 49ers than the 49ers are to keep this one within a touchdown. Bet the Packers this week and win or lose, take some sort of relief in knowing that you made the RIGHT bet.

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bpickin

All-Star

Joined: Feb, 2010

Posts: 13189

Posted: Sep. 30, 2015 - 5:47 PM ET #7

If you ever hit a 12 against a 6 you are just a really stupid idiot who has no idea what the f he is talking about.

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bpickin

All-Star

Joined: Feb, 2010

Posts: 13189

Posted: Sep. 30, 2015 - 5:48 PM ET #8

You just ruined all credibility and you might as well close this account and opens new one under a different name because that has got to be the most f-Ed up comment I ever heard. Especially coming from a gambler...

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Packerscjg

Prospect

Joined: Jul, 2014

Posts: 71

Posted: Sep. 30, 2015 - 5:57 PM ET #9

Quote Originally Posted by bpickin:

You just ruined all credibility and you might as well close this account and opens new one under a different name because that has got to be the most f-Ed up comment I ever heard. Especially coming from a gambler...

You keep standing on your 12s and I'll keep hitting, and at the end of the day, I'll still win more money than you. Nobody is forcing you to come here and double post. So take your beanie and walk on

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Packerscjg

Prospect

Joined: Jul, 2014

Posts: 71

Posted: Sep. 30, 2015 - 6:02 PM ET #10

Quote Originally Posted by bpickin:

If you ever hit a 12 against a 6 you are just a really stupid idiot who has no idea what the f he is talking about.

This has nothing to do with blackjack anyways. You stand on 12 dealer will bust a little less than 43% of the time. You hit on 12 you'll bust roughly 56% of the time. It's pretty much even win percentage playing 12 vs 6. Hitting the 12 you will win maybe 3-4% less on average. If I am looking at 43-44% win rate regardless, I will always hit.

Now get off my board and post about sports betting since that's why were here you scrub.

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NFL-1975

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2013

Posts: 1780

Posted: Sep. 30, 2015 - 11:04 PM ET #11

Quote Originally Posted by bpickin:

If you ever hit a 12 against a 6 you are just a really stupid idiot who has no idea what the f he is talking about.

Bpickin that's is FN halarious and I totally agree you hit 12 on a 6 showing I would leave the table sounds like we have another home team junkie that doesn't believe in the 50/50 margin of sports betting that at 3-0ats and the Bears being the only team to about cover on them believes the niners got a shot plus +9 he's so confident that he's gonna buy it down hmmmmmm

. But hell of a record keep it up bud long season ahead

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juz4fun

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2008

Posts: 66

Posted: Oct. 1, 2015 - 12:12 AM ET #12

Packerscjg, do you bet all your games the same amount or do you have 1 or 2 or 3 that you bet more than the rest? If you don't mind, can you give us your strong to normal rankings?

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juz4fun

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2008

Posts: 66

Posted: Oct. 1, 2015 - 1:09 AM ET #13

Btw Packerscjg, I just sent you a friend request.

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Packerscjg

Prospect

Joined: Jul, 2014

Posts: 71

Posted: Oct. 1, 2015 - 10:03 AM ET #14

Quote Originally Posted by juz4fun:

Packerscjg, do you bet all your games the same amount or do you Have 1 or 2 or 3 that you bet more than the rest? ?If you don't mind, can you give us your sthttps://mobil.mz-web.de/fussball/drama-in-der-bundesliga-wolfsburg-profi-malanda-stirbt-bei-autounfall,23886276,29529988.htmlrong to normal rankings?

Hey man,
I usually will go the same "to win amount" on most games. If I am really high on one game or two I will double it. For me this week it will most likely be the Eagles -3 and and Seahawks -10.

BOL

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Packerscjg

Prospect

Joined: Jul, 2014

Posts: 71

Posted: Oct. 1, 2015 - 10:08 AM ET #15

Quote Originally Posted by juz4fun:

Packerscjg, do you bet all your games the same amount or do you have 1 or 2 or 3 that you bet more than the rest? ?If you don't mind, can you give us your strong to normal rankings?

I usually take the same to win amount on all games except for maybe two if I am real high on those games. This week I'll be taking the Eagles -3 and Seahawks -10 for double the amount.

BOL
I'll get to the friends request tonight man.

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NinjaNight

Captain

Joined: Sep, 2015

Posts: 5154

Posted: Oct. 1, 2015 - 11:37 AM ET #16

Why do you like the Steelers? Concerned about Baltimore making Pittsburgh one dimensional and forcing Vick to beat them which he likely won't be able to do. They had a short week to try to prepare him for this game too...

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zooyorkinc

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2007

Posts: 1438

Posted: Oct. 1, 2015 - 11:53 AM ET #17

Quote Originally Posted by Packerscjg:

You hit on 12 you'll bust roughly 56% of the time.

Not trying to be an a-hole, but please explain this to me. How do you get to 56%?

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Packerscjg

Prospect

Joined: Jul, 2014

Posts: 71

Posted: Oct. 1, 2015 - 6:11 PM ET #18

Quote Originally Posted by NinjaNight:

Why do you like the Steelers? Concerned about Baltimore making Pittsburgh one dimensional and forcing Vick to beat them which he likely won't be able to do. They had a short week to try to prepare him for this game too...

In my opinion this is a classic game of star qb goes out on an otherwise dominant offense. Vick could definitely struggle but division rivalry, with bell back and healthy against a Ravens defense without Terrell Suggs, I like the steelers to control the clock, get the ball in Bell and Browns hands and let them make plays. I have zero worries really about the steelers offense. I only am concerned about their defense and with this being a huge rivalry I think the Steelers will win this game.

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Packerscjg

Prospect

Joined: Jul, 2014

Posts: 71

Posted: Oct. 1, 2015 - 6:22 PM ET #19

Also Ravens run game has been non existent so far this year, so they will be relying on their receiving core to produce big plays like they did against Cincinatti. If you believe that the Ravens have the big play advantage then take them but I do not and if it comes down to Brown and Bell vs Steve smith sr and Forsett I'll take the former 100% of the time

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juz4fun

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2008

Posts: 66

Posted: Oct. 1, 2015 - 6:40 PM ET #20

Quote Originally Posted by Packerscjg:

Also Ravens run game has been non existent so far this year, so they will be relying on their receiving core to produce big plays like they did against Cincinatti. If you believe that the Ravens have the big play advantage then take them but I do not and if it comes down to Brown and Bell vs Steve smith sr and Forsett I'll take the former 100% of the time

So are you officially taking Pitt +3?

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Packerscjg

Prospect

Joined: Jul, 2014

Posts: 71

Posted: Oct. 1, 2015 - 6:57 PM ET #21

Quote Originally Posted by juz4fun:

So are you officially taking Pitt +3?

I just put in my ticket.

STRAIGHT BET OCT 01 NFL[102] PITTSBURGH STEELERS +3 -115 RISKING 230.00 USD TO WIN 200.00 USD

Bol all!

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Packerscjg

Prospect

Joined: Jul, 2014

Posts: 71

Posted: Oct. 1, 2015 - 7:20 PM ET #22

Added an extra 50 to win 67 on Steelers ML +135

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betowin14

Veteran

Joined: Aug, 2014

Posts: 4484

Posted: Oct. 1, 2015 - 7:23 PM ET #23

Quote Originally Posted by Packerscjg:

I'll try to review any games people have questions about, but at first glance...I REPEAT, FIRST GLANCE I like:

Steelers +3

Falcons -6.5

Panthers -3

Giants ML

Eagles -3

Chiefs +4

Packers -9 (Will buy down to 7 or 6.5 most likely)

Broncos -6.5

Seahawks -10

BOL Please remember this is just my gut reaction to looking at the spreads and I will update later on as the games approach. If you have any questions feel free to ask.

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NinjaNight

Captain

Joined: Sep, 2015

Posts: 5154

Posted: Oct. 1, 2015 - 7:29 PM ET #24

Quote Originally Posted by Packerscjg:

In my opinion this is a classic game of star qb goes out on an otherwise dominant offense. Vick could definitely struggle but division rivalry, with bell back and healthy against a Ravens defense without Terrell Suggs, I like the steelers to control the clock, get the ball in Bell and Browns hands and let them make plays. I have zero worries really about the steelers offense. I only am concerned about their defense and with this being a huge rivalry I think the Steelers will win this game.

Sounds good, thanks for replying. I think b/c of that plus the fact they have home field advantage AND the +3 points in a divisional game I'll go with them too.

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Packerscjg

Prospect

Joined: Jul, 2014

Posts: 71

Posted: Oct. 1, 2015 - 7:33 PM ET #25

Quote Originally Posted by NinjaNight:

Sounds good, thanks for replying. I think b/c of that plus the fact they have home field advantage AND the +3 points in a divisional game I'll go with them too.

Good Luck Fellas!

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