Good day yesterday for the start of the model: 1-0 for NBA and 2-0 for NHL. We have 1 NFL under (46) for tonight pending. I was off by 0.5 on the NBA model yesterday, so definitely gaining confidence in the model.
The pick for tonight is OKC Thunder -2.5. My model has it 115-108.
Tail or fade but good luck to all!
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Good day yesterday for the start of the model: 1-0 for NBA and 2-0 for NHL. We have 1 NFL under (46) for tonight pending. I was off by 0.5 on the NBA model yesterday, so definitely gaining confidence in the model.
The pick for tonight is OKC Thunder -2.5. My model has it 115-108.
No official picks for tonight. Leaning Portland +12.5 and the UNDER 238.5 in the Jazz/Lakers game. Both are close to potential bets, but IĄ¯d like to have more of a cushion when betting based on the model.
so officially no picks tonight
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No official picks for tonight. Leaning Portland +12.5 and the UNDER 238.5 in the Jazz/Lakers game. Both are close to potential bets, but IĄ¯d like to have more of a cushion when betting based on the model.
Going to switch it up for tomorrow and go with some volume picks. All are 1 unit bets. Disregard the picks made in the post earlier as the lines have changed. Here are the bets:
Heat +5.5
Wizards +13.5
Wizards UNDER 246.5
Spurs +10.5
Pistons OVER 247.5
Celtics UNDER 223.5
Pelicans UNDER 223.5
Kings UNDER 230.5
Bulls UNDER 217.5
IĄ¯ll update the record at the end of the night. Lmk if you prefer this volume method or the top picks method IĄ¯m still trying to tweak it to see what works best
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NBA: 5-1
NCAAB: 6-4
Going to switch it up for tomorrow and go with some volume picks. All are 1 unit bets. Disregard the picks made in the post earlier as the lines have changed. Here are the bets:
Heat +5.5
Wizards +13.5
Wizards UNDER 246.5
Spurs +10.5
Pistons OVER 247.5
Celtics UNDER 223.5
Pelicans UNDER 223.5
Kings UNDER 230.5
Bulls UNDER 217.5
IĄ¯ll update the record at the end of the night. Lmk if you prefer this volume method or the top picks method IĄ¯m still trying to tweak it to see what works best
Same deal as with NCAAB - I'm going to tighten up the parameters on these games. I opened it up a little too much which resulted in a bit of a mixed bag today. Still very profitable day at 66.6%, but we always want more. As I mentioned before, I'm happy with 60% and we are still a healthy margin over that mark. You won't hear me complaining about making money, but we always strive for better. See y'all tomorrow!
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6-3 today
Heat +5.5
Wizards +13.5
Wizards UNDER 246.5
Spurs +10.5
Pistons OVER 247.5
Celtics UNDER 223.5
Pelicans UNDER 223.5
Kings UNDER 230.5
Bulls UNDER 217.5
NBA: 11-4
Same deal as with NCAAB - I'm going to tighten up the parameters on these games. I opened it up a little too much which resulted in a bit of a mixed bag today. Still very profitable day at 66.6%, but we always want more. As I mentioned before, I'm happy with 60% and we are still a healthy margin over that mark. You won't hear me complaining about making money, but we always strive for better. See y'all tomorrow!
NBA 5-1 NCAAB: 3-1 (see other thread for my picks there) Here we goĄ Miami +4.5 Wizards +12.5 Spurs +10.5 LetĄ¯s let these dogs bark! As a side note, IĄ¯ll be sprinkling a little on the Heat ML. Good luck boys!
I forgot to mention that if I had kept it at just these three, it would have been a perfect 3-0 sweep, which is a little better than 6-3 (given the juice). I would have liked 7-2 much more, so we still have some work to do.
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Quote Originally Posted by Litig8r:
NBA 5-1 NCAAB: 3-1 (see other thread for my picks there) Here we goĄ Miami +4.5 Wizards +12.5 Spurs +10.5 LetĄ¯s let these dogs bark! As a side note, IĄ¯ll be sprinkling a little on the Heat ML. Good luck boys!
I forgot to mention that if I had kept it at just these three, it would have been a perfect 3-0 sweep, which is a little better than 6-3 (given the juice). I would have liked 7-2 much more, so we still have some work to do.
FWIW, Clippers is my favorite bet of the day at +1.5 (-105). If line moves in opposite direction, IĄ¯ll be taking more shares of it. IĄ¯ll also be taking more shares of it live if Mavs go on any sort of run during the game.
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FWIW, Clippers is my favorite bet of the day at +1.5 (-105). If line moves in opposite direction, IĄ¯ll be taking more shares of it. IĄ¯ll also be taking more shares of it live if Mavs go on any sort of run during the game.
Clippers +1.5 @ -105 odds (sprinkle some on ML): PENDING
NBA: 13-5 (with Clippers pending)
I will be back to update if I donĄ¯t fall asleep beforehand. NBA has been profitable each day so weĄ¯ll keep this going. The model is going well and parameters set up have been effective. Clippers was my favorite pick today at +1.5 and by game time the line flipped to -1.5. We got our bet in ahead of the Vegas moves, which is always nice.
IĄ¯ll be looking to bet it live if clippers fall behind at any point. Good luck to all
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Heat +4.5 @ -120 odds
Hawks -7.5 @ -120 odds
Lakers OVER 225.5 @ -110 odds
Clippers +1.5 @ -105 odds (sprinkle some on ML): PENDING
NBA: 13-5 (with Clippers pending)
I will be back to update if I donĄ¯t fall asleep beforehand. NBA has been profitable each day so weĄ¯ll keep this going. The model is going well and parameters set up have been effective. Clippers was my favorite pick today at +1.5 and by game time the line flipped to -1.5. We got our bet in ahead of the Vegas moves, which is always nice.
IĄ¯ll be looking to bet it live if clippers fall behind at any point. Good luck to all
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