I'm bored because my system plays have been super quiet. 
I'm taking a 4pt teaser on the following matchups:
Oklahoma City Thunder -9½ (taking 4 points)
(Mavericks / Grizzlies) Over 239 (taking 4 points)
Houston Rockets +5 (taking 4 points)
Odds: +180
BOL to all who chooses to tail.
These are the reasons for my picks, and also why I am taking a teaser vs. straight up. I would love someone to come in and critique my reasoning. Keeping a thread with my thoughts also helps me to reflect back on my thinking process (if it's fruitful). I don't care if another gambler learns a thing or two from me. Good for them if they do.
Oklahoma City Thunder -9.5
1. Okla ATS record (home): 6 - 2
2. Utah ATS record (away): 2 - 6
3. Okla (home) power rank #2 vs. Utah (away) power rank #27
4. Utah is playing their 3rd game in 4 days
5. Okla Team Opponent Effective Field Goal % Ranked #1 vs. Utah (Ranked #23)
6. No roster concerns
(Mavericks / Grizzlies) Over 239
1. Dallas and Memphis are highly ranked in True Shooting % (#10 and #5, respectively)
2. Although I like my pick, I think the original game total is relatively high. Both teams are ranked well defensively. (hence the teaser)
3. Dallas is on their 3rd game in 4 nights; not a back-to-back. Kyrie is well rested (2 days rest), and both Doncic and Kyrie are playing tonight. Expect some fireworks.
4. Memphis has gone over in 8 of their last 10 away games. Dallas has gone under 6 out of 10 home games. It's a mixed bag. (hence the teaser)
Houston Rockets +5
1. Houston ATS (away) record: 5 - 3
2. Sacramento ATS (home) record: 4 - 6
3. Houston is ranked #2 defensively
4. Houston is ranked #1 in offensive and defensive rebounds
5. Sacramento is ranked #12 and #20 in offensive and defensive rebounds
6. Houston has a healthy roster
Areas of concern:
Sacramento is better ranked in true shooting% #13 (and they're at home) vs. Houston (#28), but given Houston's rebounding prowess, I feel like the game should be slower with a good chance to cover the +5 ATS.
Rudy Gobert Over 11.5 Rebounds +104
LAC at home has terrible rebounding stats: 2.1 standard deviations below average for opponent offensive rebounds, and 0.65 below average for opponent defensive rebounds. Minnesota has great defensive rebound stats- 0.927 standard deviations above average. Offensive rebounds are lacking, however.
Based on the analysis here --> Match-Up Comparison Sheet
Straight Plays:
Alperen Senguen (HOU) Over 10.5 Total Rebounds
Chicago Bulls ( vs. San Antonio Spurs) +2 -110 for Game
New York Knicks ( vs. Charlotte Hornets) -14.5 -110 for Game
Dallas Mavericks ( vs. Washington Wizards) -14.5 -110 for Game
Denver Nuggets ( vs. Cleveland Cavaliers) +4.5 -110 for Game
5pt Teaser Odds: Odds: +200
Dallas Mavericks ( vs. Washington Wizards) -9.5
New York Knicks ( vs. Charlotte Hornets) -9.5
Toronto Raptors ( vs. Oklahoma City Thunder) +14.5
Chicago Bulls ( vs. San Antonio Spurs) +7
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