Yanks -1.5 and why

I posted once in the playoffs and lost the posted play so tread carefully - nahhh stick with me.    Let's look at some numbers:

       LAD  Flaherty   0

-135  NYY   Cole     83

Yanks opened up at -135 and has jumped to 145 give or take currently.  I give each pitcher a rating based on my own methodology- typically lower the number the better the pitcher.   On paper - Flaherty is 0 and Cole is 83.   I wish it worked where you take the pitcher with the lowest number but that's too easy.   

Another thing I look at is strikeouts per inning -both pitchers have more strikeouts than innings pitched a great sign of a pitcher at this time of year.   Based on the opening line of 135 for the home team, these ratings and where both pitchers have more strikeouts than innings pitched - i found 2 situations and both games the home team took it and won it on the run line.   I'm hanging my hat on that.

My play:

Yanks -1.5  +136   

Good luck all

Da Boooooooooooooooooodah!

Recency bias, everyone should be hammering the Yankees after last night's crushing.

But it's probably the right side.

Serious question: Why not lay one, pay bit more (-103 On a -144ML and +136RL)

BOL 

@barneybeans

 Barney!!!!!!   Longtime no see - hope all is well.     Based on the data I collect - I got it marked $$$  which means it worked out great and they won it by more than 2 but at the end of the day it's up to you.   Also, some books I deal with don't offer the - 1.   Either way I think they get it by more than 1 tonight.    

Go Yankees 

@Unstoppable Force

 Let's do it !!!!

@Fuse

 Thanks bud and back at ya 

@TheBuddah

@TheBuddah 

@FelixFermin21

@marcig

 Thanks guys and back at ya

@TheBuddah