World Cup 2018 Dogs, Darts , and Dunks

Hi all - its been awhile since I've posted here but I am always following. Definitely wanted to try and get back on for the World Cup. 

My general strategy is to play either side of the so-called juicy lines but will also occasionally take some value when I see it. Below are my futures bets I have locked in so far. Happy to discuss.

Futures

Russia to finish last in Group A +1030 (risk 0.177%)

Russia NOT to advance from Group A +205 (risk 0.328%)

Spain to advance from Group B -1110 (risk 0.917%)

Argentina to finish last in Group D +1800 (risk 0.053%)

Argentina NOT to advance from Group D +535 (risk 0.157%)

Argentina NOT to reach quarterfinal +125 (risk 0.444%)

Argentina NOT to reach final -515 (risk 0.837%)

Switzerland to finish last in Group E +350 (risk 0.222%)

South Korea Lowest Scoring Team in the World Cup +1200 (risk .077%)

Panama to advance from Group G +995 (risk 0.136%)

Colombia to finish last in Group H +660 (risk 0.197%)

Colombia NOT to advance from Group H +225 (risk 0.154%)

I will be fairly inactive for the first round of games except for totals or obvious plays. Otherwise, I find myself betting all of the same angles as my future bets. 

Good luck all

long time no see ark. hope all is good

Love the fades on Russia and Argentina.

good value on those draw plays.

BOL

Good to see you mr_b 

I genuinely hate fading a corrupt, host nation but I convinced myself that is they are just too overrated here. 

Add:

S Azmoun to score +375 (risk 0.055%)

S Azmoun to score first goal +800 (risk 0.105%)

Believe this will be more open than most think as both teams should be after 3 points based on the group. If Iran scores, Azmoun will be involved and very likely to be the scorer. Too good of odds to pass up.

Add

Nigeria to win v Croatia +453 (risk 0.180%)

Both teams can score with potential to leak goals. Nigeria's direct style gives them good chances to catch a team like Croatia on the counter.

Record: 1-5-0 -0.317%

Add small based on line movement Egypt +330 (risk 0.113%)

Will update and summarize tonight. 

Add:

Spain to win vs Iran -486 (to win 0.171%)

Add

Brazil to win vs Costa Rica -407 (to win 0.197%)

Add

Switzerland vs Serbia Draw +204 (risk 0.329%)

Panama to win vs England +1764 (risk 0.054%)

Senegal vs Japan Draw +212 (risk 0.481%)

Poland to win vs Colombia +241 (risk 0.293%)

Panama to win vs England +1764 (risk 0.054%) LOSS

Senegal vs Japan Draw +212 (risk 0.481%) WIN

Poland to win vs Colombia +241 (risk 0.293%) LOSS

Results: 7-13-0 +0.673%

Add:

Spain vs Morocco Under 2, 2.5 +163 (risk 0.190%)

Add

Serbia to win vs Brazil +607 (risk 0.141%)