NPD Post Season system now 9-1

Simply put, take the team with the highest Net points per drive to cover against the spread. 
Monday plays would be. UTSA and NIU

How are you finding the number of drives a team has per game? I see all other stats posted but Im not seeing anywhere that lists the number of drives a team has.

Not sure why my question posted twice so this is just to edit the duplication.

@Eshady28

 Nice letĄ¯s see how it works out tomorrow bro thanks gonna check it out

BCF Toys - 2024 Points Per Drive

Not sure where youĄ¯re getting 9-1. Without going through every game yet IĄ¯ve found 3 loses. Jacksonville St was a lower NPD and they covered vs Ohio,  Florida was way lower and they covered vs Tulane. West Virginia was near the bottom and they covered vs Memphis. The information site is called bcftoys.com 

Impressive system but how reliable is the NPD if the teams are not at full strength offensively with players opting out?

yeah I saw the same thing

@Skiball57

 Great point. I will say this it had all 4 playoff games correct and to your point about players leaving you know nobody was leaving any of the playoff teams 

@Skiball57

 I appreciate the link, Ski!

@Badmoonrisen88

 YouĄ¯re right about Jacksonville State. I counted Tulane as the lone loss but that loss was affected by eight of their players being out(three which were quarterbacks) due to the transfer portal. So that would obviously skew their NPD average. I used the closing line of -4.5 in the Memphis/Wvu game. So we have 8-2 instead of 9-1 with an asterisk on the Tulane/Florida game due to the eight Tulane players being out. Still a solid system so far.

So for example....

NIU has a NPD of .32

Fresno has a NPD of .21

Take NIU -2.5 correct?

This is interesting....but now that everyone has the link it will probably lose every game, lol

Right...lol

I don't see that much difference between the 2.

Let's see how it goes today with Niu/Fresno.

@SteamCave

 ThatĄ¯s correct sir!  I would proceed with caution in games where a lot of players are out. I believe this system will be at itĄ¯s best during the playoff games.

Keep on posting!! TY

you're welcome Dawg

heres the link for opt outs ..................just an fyi

https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/2024-college-football-bowl-opt-outs-transfer-portal-updates-injury-tracker

Also, I believe the nations leading receiver Nash for SJS is not playing tomorrow but I'm not sure

@Skiball57

 Thank you! That helps a lot.

Just went and checked everything, after todays games this info is:

8-1 ATS on Bowl Games and 4-0 ATS on Playoff Games

12-1 overall

@SteamCave

 Thanks 

did this system perform well during the reg season??thanks for sharing

@King Creole42

 It did well in the bigger conferences and when the underdog had the higher NPD.

Ok fellas San Jose State is .00. South Florida is -.03. Going to check the portal

San Jose State Transfer Portal

• Starting CB DJ Harvey (signed with USC)
• Starting CB Michael Dansby (signed with Arizona)
• Backup QB Emmett Brown

San Jose State Opt-Outs

• WR Nick Nash

Starting C Hudson Mesa also missed the finale.

USF Portal

• Starting S Tawfiq Byard
• Starting DT Doug Blue-Eli (signed with Rutgers)
• Starting LG Andrew Kilfoyl
• CB Aamaris Brown-Bunkley (75 snaps)

Original starting QB Byrum Brown hasnĄ¯t played since Week 5 with a lower-body injury. However, head coach Alex Golesh said he has been practicing and is as healthy as he's been.