Dr. Strangelove Conference Championship Week

YTD: 55-47

The running dogs pretty much got killed last week. Lost 7 of 11 games by one score! The ball definitely wasn't bouncing their way. Especially with the Duke walk-off touchdown bomb on the last play of the game to kill my WF bet. Games like that make me kind of glad this season is winding down.

Only 3 running dogs (PRD's) this week:

Army +5.5 (D,H)

Ohio +2.5

Penn State +3.5 (D)

Other games:

Marshall/ULL dead even run numbers, ULL better D

SMU better run numbers and D

Texas better run numbers and D

ASU better run numbers and D (but defensive numbers are very, very close)

Boise better run numbers, but D numbers are mixed (UNLV better YPG, Boise better PPG)

Jax State (way) better run numbers, WKU slightly better defensive numbers

you have stones if you back Franklin my friend 

always enjoy your threads, you have been a very good winner on this forum over the years & you¡¯re always class 

good luck Doc 

Penn State keeps it close in first half then peters off

Tulane is going to destroy Army.   They are pissed off the loss to Memphis.   They can¡¯t make the playoff anymore, but they will still take their rage out on army.  

Only ones I've played so far are Oregon -3.5 and Clemson ml. I just dont think PSU can keep up vs the ducks and we all know about Franklin. I'm imagining a smashing there. I have it at 6.5 personally and was surprised to see it open as low as it did. 

ASU is intriguing. I think theyve gotten better and better over the course of the season and I cant say the same for ISU. There's nothing scientific about this but it feels like ISU snuck in under the radar somehow and ASU has really played their way in with impressive victories. 

I also like Ohio. Another one where they've gotten better with each game and I cant say the same for Miami. 

The Army line is interesting. My instinct says Tulane is the real deal and smashes them but I probably lay off this one. 

It's possible. It's also possible they'll come in flat after seeing their playoff hopes go up in smoke. This could be one of those type games where Memphis beats em twice. And Memphis didn't just beat them on Thanksgiving, they dominated them. Line is up to -5' now. I'm not sure they should even be favored.

STRANGE 

@DrStrangelove

 Scobey Doo will run wild on Iowa State......

@DrStrangelove

The most intriguing game to me is Texas vs Georgia. Can the Bulldogs exercise all those demons that have to be haunting them at Mercedes-Benz Stadium? Bama has owned that piece of real estate since Saban arrived in Tuscaloosa, and now Sark hopes to stick a Longhorn up their arse.

Longhorns have gone Over in 7 of their last 8, and Bulldogs have gone over in 4 of their last 5. That probably means it goes Under.

Georgia 6-2 last 8 as Underdog.

@DrStrangelove

 Thanks for all the hard work this season Doc, been a pleasure visiting with you each week.

@DrStrangelove

 UNLV has allowed less ppg than Boise (just a 1 pt difference)

Crazy to think Oregon was a 9.5 pt fav to undefeated Washington (who had already beat them) in the pac12 champ.

Now they're the undefeated team and I daresay Penn St isn't on the level of last year's Washington team who ended up being the runner up for the title. Nittany Lions lost to a totally overrated and underachieving Ohio St, who Oregon beat.

Will the Ducks win the big10 in their first year after losing the pac12 in the its last year? I think it will be tight, tho like many I expected the Ducks to be favored by a bit more being undefeated. But the oddsmakers don't seem to respect having zero losses.

Id love to see the stats on undefeated teams playing in conf championships.

The Ducks have the way more experienced and accomplished QB who just won all the big10 awards. But despite how long he's been around and how much he's achieved, he's never won or played in a conference title game. In the 3 bowls he's played in he won the first one only (vs Marshall as 15.5 pt favorites)

I'm thinking that this is the year he finally gets his flowers and adds a title to those awards. 

Championship Week Plays:

ML Parlay: Tulane/ULL (+116)

UNLV +4.5

Army is a running dog but I'm a little concerned about them after playing two physical games in a row. Tulane lost the AAC CG to SMU last year. I look for them to be pretty focused here despite their tough loss last week. But with the game at Army in cold weather, it's probably going to be a tight fit. I think ULL is one of the better bets this weekend, but I'm not crazy about the line moving up, so I'm parlaying it....Most of the pressure tonight is on the favored Boise making the playoff and getting a high seed, but UNLV is basically playing with house money. Which makes them dangerous in this spot.

Not trying to state the obvious, and no armchair quarterbacking, but all these Championship games can go either way. Longhornhoosier was saying Tulane would win big and I'm not sure I bought that, but I definitely thought they would win. Last night kind of rocked my world a bit....

I've been thinking Georgia all week, but now I'm leaning Texas. I like both coaches a lot, but the Quarterbacks are so erratic at times its hard to pull the trigger....

BoL Doc!

Miami Ohio/Ohio under 21.5 1H

gl today