2024 NCAA FB REGULAR SEASON WINS *DISCUSSION*

Some G5 RSW are being released by some shops. going to be very interesting to see these numbers and dive in for group of 5 teams. 

I have typically been one do fire away on these early, but I plan to wait and see how the Transfer portal settles and what developments happen into the offseason. 

I would bet money ill have some locked in and posted within 30 days however. 

I'd load up on Arkansas anything over 5.

I see all G5 and P4 schools have been released now. I¡¯m ready to dive into RSW totals and will have them all up in June. 

last year:

REGULAR SEASON WINS 

WINNER*Central Michigan under 5.5 -120. 
WINNER*Indiana under 3.5 +140
WINNER*BYU under 5.5 +113 

WINNER *North Texas under 6.5 -120.
WINNER *East Carolina under 5.5 -150
WINNER *East Carolina under 6.5 -190. BIG
WINNER *South Alabama under 8-130.
WINNER *MTSU under 6.5 +100
WINNER *western Michigan under 4.5 -200
WINNER *Minnesota under 7.5 -160.
WINNER *Cal over 4.5 -152.

LOSS *UTEP over 5.5 -115 BIG.
LOSS *Vanderbilt over 3.5 -150
LOSS *San Jose St under 5.5 +120  GOT MY MONEY BACK BY RIDING THIS TEAM THE LAST 6 WEEKS OF THE SEASON...

   11-3 ON RSW   

lifetime 72% RSW Winners. I love these futures and plan to pound them again this year also. Let¡¯s have a great season guys. 

I can grab Arkansas under 5.5 -200 and ucla under 5.5 -110. Considering locking both of those in soon. Will discuss further when I deep dive and write up those teams. 

Well done last season . Blessings and Good Luck this season  

OK guys I have been in the lab this off season and with regular season wins widely available for G5 and P5 schools now, its time for me to release the first wave of RSW plays that I have fired in at. I recommend shopping around to find the best odds and I am okay paying a little more for a better number. Its been said that a half a win here is worth about 70 cents of juice, Ill be breaking these teams down in greater depth ahead of the phil steele college football preview and other publications being released, and I feel really happy with what I have come up with at this point...

2024 NCAA FOOTBALL REGULAR SEASON WINS PLAYS

Clemson under 9.5 -170

UCLA under 5.5 -110

Kansas State under 9.5 -135

San Diego St under 5.5 -120

Coastal Carolina under 6.5 -110

James Madison under 8.5 -164

Arkansas under 5.5 -200

Ohio U under 6.5 -104

New Mexico State under 4.5 -128

North Carolina under 7.5 -115

duck would you play ark under 4.5  +116

thank you

bol on your picks

Yeah maybe lighter 

Guys, there is one win total that is way off. Iowa won a bunch of games last year and they will be better this year. Over 7.5 if you can find it is a complete lock. Their schedule sets up nice as well. Top level defense with a bunch back there, top special teams, and the offense can't get any worse! Different OC and all 5 offensive lineman and the next great NFL tight end Luke Lachey back. 

@HitorMiss

 Iowa could win 9 games this year. They could also lose 9. They cannot move the FB. QB last year at one point. Their o/u for pass yards in a game was 84. 

12 first downs on average. Just terrible against elite competition. If 7.5 is ¡°way off¡± please tell me. 

what should their win total be!?

2024 NCAA FOOTBALL REGULAR SEASON WINS PLAYS *updated card*

Clemson under 9.5 -170

UCLA under 5.5 -110

Kansas State under 9.5 -135

San Diego St under 5.5 -120

Coastal Carolina under 6.5 -110

James Madison under 8.5 -164

Arkansas under 5.5 -200

Ohio U under 6.5 -104

New Mexico State under 4.5 -128

North Carolina under 7.5 -115

Ball State under 4.5 -154

Georgia State under 4.5 +100

2024 NCAA FOOTBALL REGULAR SEASON WINS PLAYS *updated card*

Clemson under 9.5 -170

UCLA under 5.5 -110

Kansas State under 9.5 -135

San Diego St under 5.5 -120

Coastal Carolina under 6.5 -110

James Madison under 8.5 -164

Arkansas under 5.5 -200

Ohio U under 6.5 -104

New Mexico State under 4.5 -128

North Carolina under 7.5 -115

Ball State under 4.5 -154

Georgia State under 4.5 +100

Old Dominion under 5 -160 

Week 0/1 Wagers:

locking this in now for week 0-1

North Texas +7.5 -117

Hawaii +17 (wk1)

UConn +22.5 

My initial thoughts. Just breezing through the write up and win totals. Alabama Over 9.5, LSU Under 9.5 Notre Dame Over 9.5. 

I still have a lot of homework to do. The transfer portal has changed college sports forever. Good luck to all this year.

2024 NCAA FOOTBALL REGULAR SEASON WINS PLAYS *updated card*

Clemson under 9.5 -170

UCLA under 5.5 -110

Kansas State under 9.5 -135

San Diego St under 5.5 -120

Coastal Carolina under 6.5 -110

James Madison under 8.5 -164

Arkansas under 5.5 -200

Ohio U under 6.5 -104

New Mexico State under 4.5 -128

North Carolina under 7.5 -115

Ball State under 4.5 -154

Georgia State under 4.5 +100

Old Dominion under 5 -160 

Futures Portfolio:

TEXAS STATE to win SBC  +500 .33u

BOWLING GREEN to win MAC +700 .33u

EAST CAROLINA to win AAC +1600 .22u

NC STATE to win ACC +650 .33u

NORTH TEXAS to win AAC +2200 .22u

FIU to win C-USA +10000  .1u

LA TECH to win C-USA +4500 .22u

MARSHALL to win SBC +1800 .22u

AF to win MWC +1400 .33u

Lottos:

140/1  Texas state + boise State + WMU all conference winners

672/1 ECU + Texas State + NC State

71/1  Bowling Green + Texas State + Liberty

Futures Portfolio:

2024 NCAA FOOTBALL REGULAR SEASON WINS PLAYS
Clemson under 9.5 -170
UCLA under 5.5 -110
Kansas State under 9.5 -135
San Diego St under 5.5 -120
Coastal Carolina under 6.5 -110
James Madison under 8.5 -164
Arkansas under 5.5 -200
Ohio U under 6.5 -104
New Mexico State under 4.5 -128
North Carolina under 7.5 -115
Ball State under 4.5 -154
Georgia State under 4.5 +100
Old Dominion under 5 -160

?Kennesaw State under 2.5 -110


TEXAS STATE to win SBC +500 .33u
BOWLING GREEN to win MAC +700 .33u
EAST CAROLINA to win AAC +1600 .22u
NC STATE to win ACC +650 .33u
NORTH TEXAS to win AAC +2200 .22u
FIU to win C-USA +10000 .1u
LA TECH to win C-USA +4500 .22u
MARSHALL to win SBC +1800 .22u
AF to win MWC +1400 .33u

Lottos:
140/1 Texas state + boise State + WMU all conference winners
672/1 ECU + Texas State + NC State
71/1 Bowling Green + Texas State + Liberty

?

late add to the RSW portfolio but took a position on Kennesaw State under 2.5, just feel this team is not ready for FBS competition and really hard to see any path to them winning 3 in this first season of FBS competition. Could be a dog in all 12 games this season, including their game against FCS foe UTM

@steponaduck

 Great work. Is there any way you can share your top 3 RSW totals or the one you are most confident in?

Yes I will. I¡¯ve taken this conversation over to the week 0/1 thread so let¡¯s continue it over there. 

top 3: 

UCLA under

Temple under 

ODU under

i have 17 RSW this year. Far and away my largest ever RSW card. 

Closing the book on this thread but posting my FINAL 2024 RSW Card.

Futures Portfolio:
2024 NCAA FOOTBALL REGULAR SEASON WINS PLAYS
Clemson under 9.5 -170
UCLA under 5.5 -110
Kansas State under 9.5 -135
San Diego St under 5.5 -120
Coastal Carolina under 6.5 -110
James Madison under 8.5 -164
Arkansas under 5.5 -200
Ohio U under 6.5 -104
New Mexico State under 4.5 -128
North Carolina under 7.5 -115
Ball State under 4.5 -154
Georgia State under 4.5 +100
Old Dominion under 5 -160
Kennesaw State under 2.5 -110
Duke under 5.5 -120
Temple under 2.5 -112
CMU under 6 -125

The rest of my futures, Week 0 and 1, and other future discussion can be found here:

Ncaa fb week 0/1 - Page 4 - College Football | Covers

I will only retrieve this thread periodically to track my RSW futures performance in hopes of going 12-5 or better and maintaining my 71% 10 year RSW success. 

12-4-1. Another rock solid RSW year. 

72% lifetime to date on these RSW plays¡­

Had kind of a turd futures year with the micro plays but MARSHALL has a chance to more than make up for it. 

Awesome

Nice work

well done again Duck!!! Guru.

@JJWoods

KING!!!!!