Thursday System Totals - Operation Overs

I have a new system I've created and been tracking since January 27th. Very small sample size however it's doing well so far. Feel free to monitor the results or tail until it gives you a reason not to. I haven't had time to back test these results but plan on doing so once the season is over.

I'm calling this system "Operation Overs". It's a system designed to find value in OVERS. This system is 61-30 overall thus far. Sharing this for the first time so hoping to keep those results rolling. Here are the plays. 

-- San Diego/Gonzaga o163.5

-- McNeese St/Houston Christian o156.5

-- Wright St/Oakland o156.5

-- FDU/St. Francis o157.5

-- Portland/San Fran o154.5

-- Pepperdine/Santa Clara o162

-- Tennessee Tech/So. Indiana o147.5

-- Tennessee St/Tennessee Martin o160

-- Utah Tech/UTRGV o154.5

-- Rice/UAB o157.5

-- Cal Bakersfield/CS Northridge o126

-- CCSU/Merrimack o125.5

-- Stonehill/Wagner o123.5

System record: 61-30

Forum record: 0-0

c

LARGE card! GL. 

So since Jan. 27, your system has 91 plays, or about 3 per night- and you are playing 13 games tonight? 

What made tonight such an easy night?

EXACTLY!!!!!

@TJZags598

 There are a number of factors that play into this. Obviously just a fluke. Match-ups, lines, a couple of the higher scoring conferences have games scheduled tonight. Thursday is a typically a bigger slate anyways. I can always share the results from my spreadsheet if you want to see how the plays have been distributed since January 27th. It's a system so there are a ton of factors that contribute.

I want you to hit all 13.

My Concern is the lines are TIGHT this time of year. The teams are what they are, so Vegas knows what the lines should be at this point. All systems should be spitting out fewer and fewer plays.....

You bring up great points, and I am sure your system is well thought out.

Good luck!

@TJZags598

What day do the lines get tight in your opinion? They should have been tight long ago if that¡¯s your case. Totals often move by 3-5 points anyways so at what point aren¡¯t they tight?

I disagree with your stance but do appreciate your thoughts. We shall see how they do through the end of the season 

@newbs24

 You can disagree, that's fine. Any experienced handicapper knows the lines get tighter as the season goes along.....

So you believe that the more history that Vegas has on teams, they don't use it to create better lines?

That the lines in November are just as good as the lines in February?

Vegas has Super computers, the likes you have never seen, with Analytics you have never seen, and you think " your system" can do better than them and their systems??

I do wish you luck. 

@TJZags598

 I¡¯m not saying I¡¯ll do better than them. When did I say that? 

What day do you draw the line during the season and say the Vegas lines are to tight?

Of course the more data they have the better. But that¡¯s more data we have access to also. Plus numbers move right? There¡¯s a ton of value out there with 360 teams in D1 basketball whether it¡¯s November of February. 

@dibcompany

 No typically not. This was an outlier of a day. I¡¯ve had days of zero picks and had today with 13. Just depends on day/matchups/lines.

Plays go 8-5 tonight. Moves the system to 69-35 overall.  

@newbs24

 There are no system plays tonight. Back at it Saturday!

Very good night. 

definitely worth watching 

@TJZags598

 Thanks man! Have a good betting weekend 

Probably just a coincidence, but majority of your losses last night were from smaller schools/conferences 

gl w this...

@tito40

 Now you got me curious. Going to check this out from the prior losses. 

@OneADayJ

 This is true. You could separate between Power 5/Mid-major/small.  

For fun I broke down the results and here is what I came up with.

Major conference overs: 13-3

Mid major overs: 25-17

Small school overs: 31-15

System record: 69-35

I¡¯m more of a totals player than sides.  Anxious to watch your plays