Posted:
#1
YTD: 3-6 (-3-units)
I'll say the same thing I say when I'm hot: either I'm hot and ride it out or I'm due for a regression to the mean, you will have to decide. In this case, I'm cold in posted plays, so either I suck and this is a regression to the mean four years in the making or I'm due to get hot soon. Besides underestimating SMU (they are way more athletic than I expected but they have a short bench and suspect ball handling so they will be a play against again soon), I'm happy with my angles and analysis.
Hope to begin the writeups in a few weeks but if anyone wants to know what I'm playing today (to follow or fade!), I'm on IUPUI +9, here is why (briefly).
I'm a bit down on this North Texas (especially early in the season) and don't believe they should be this big of a favorite against IUPUI. Mitchell Patton has the size to atleast slow down (hopefully) Tony Mitchell. Hart and Rice are capable scorers and I think they match up nicely in this game. Of course, with IUPUI its all about how they shoot from the floor but I believe if I get my money in on situations like this all season, I'll be up for the year.
IUPUI +9 for 1-unit on 5dimes
I'll say the same thing I say when I'm hot: either I'm hot and ride it out or I'm due for a regression to the mean, you will have to decide. In this case, I'm cold in posted plays, so either I suck and this is a regression to the mean four years in the making or I'm due to get hot soon. Besides underestimating SMU (they are way more athletic than I expected but they have a short bench and suspect ball handling so they will be a play against again soon), I'm happy with my angles and analysis.
Hope to begin the writeups in a few weeks but if anyone wants to know what I'm playing today (to follow or fade!), I'm on IUPUI +9, here is why (briefly).
I'm a bit down on this North Texas (especially early in the season) and don't believe they should be this big of a favorite against IUPUI. Mitchell Patton has the size to atleast slow down (hopefully) Tony Mitchell. Hart and Rice are capable scorers and I think they match up nicely in this game. Of course, with IUPUI its all about how they shoot from the floor but I believe if I get my money in on situations like this all season, I'll be up for the year.
IUPUI +9 for 1-unit on 5dimes
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