11-6 151

bad day yesterday    Delaware at Duquesne  BIG 

FRIDAY 11-6

ok I am going to go with the road dog Delaware, I have been on this team a few times this year, and they have done ok for me, they like to score points, they want the game to be in the high 70's to mid 80's ..Duquesne a little diff, they want the game in the mid 60's, they have scored over 70 twice this year and lost both games, losing 72-77 at home to Lipscomb, and losing 74-80 at home to Wisc-Milwaukee , they are 1-7 and are coming off a loss to St Peter 59-62 at home a game where I was on St Peter as my biggest play, ...and Delaware is coming in off a 13 pt home win vs their inter state rival Del st as a 12 pt fav, and Delaware has won 3 straight , and they have won both road games this year STR up, they beat Iona 64-58 and beat Rider 72-66 , Delaware is 5-3 they avg 80 pts a game and give up 77, and Duquesne averages 64.6 and gives up 71 pts.....on the road Delaware is averaging 77 pts and giving up 73 a +4 score margin on the road, and Duquesne is averaging 68.3 at home and gives up 73 for a -4.7 score margin at home , its about what I think this score will be, Delaware I think could win this game, they are shooting 46.4% #94 and they shoot the 3 at 40.1% #14 in the nation, on the road they shoot 45.9% and the 3 at 40% and the 2 at 55% and they shoot ft's at 82%.....compare that to Duquesne who shoots 40.9% #276 and they shoot the 3 at 29.9% #280, and at home they shoot 41.4% and the 3 at 31.4% and the 2 at 47.7% and they shoot ft's at home at just 60%

Last 3 games Delaware is scoring 88 pts a game and giving up 80 and Duquesne last 3 are scoring 61.7 and giving up 60 ...last 3 games Delaware is shooting ft's at 77% to 60% for Duquesne, ..last 3 games Delaware is averaging 17.7 assist to 11 assist for Duquesne , last 3 games Delaware is avg 11 turnovers a game to 16 for Duquesne , Delaware has won last 3, have shown they can win on the road as a dog, and Duquesne has struggled even at home , I'll grab the pts here, I think they win this game outright but I am buying a point anyway, at -125 and may play ML also , this line should not go up but who knows, there are no injuries on either team, as a dog Delaware is 3-2 STR up and as an away dog they are 2-0 STR up , and they are 6-2 ats this year and as a dog they are 5-0 ats, and as an away team they are 2-0 ats , after a win 4-0 ats ....Duquesne is 1-7 this year and 1-7 ats and as a home favorite 0-3 ats and are 1-4 ats as a favorite

2 units -125

Game will come down to if Duquesne can keep this game in the low 60's and even then they might lose, Delaware can win lower scoring games  they did beat Iona at Iona 64-58 , but if they shoot even close to their avg and get this in the mid to higher 70's they win , they have 5 players averaging double digits, and Duquesne has 2 players averaging 10 pts a game, Delaware has 2 avg 15+ a game and 3 at 11 pts a game   

That line doesn't make sense. Staying far away from that one. BOL

Illinois at N Western should be a good one, I am liking Illinois -2-3 both teams have played tough schedules, Illinois lost to Bama 100-87 and they beat Arkansas last game when many were on Arkansas 90-77, and NW lost at Dayton by 5 66-71, lost @Iowa 79-80 and lost to Butler by 2 on a neutral court 69-71 , so this should be a good game, Illinois again will want this to be in the high 70's low to mid 80's or higher, NW mid 60's low 70's , if they can keep this game in the 60's they have a shot,

there are some good games tomorrow for betting, you have a lot of spreads between 1-10 pts which is what I like to see, on the regular games posted only 2 are higher, Kent st is -12.5 and Indiana is -19 many are like 1-6 pts I think it makes it tougher, in my opinion spreads like that mean either team can win outright usually ..I think Iona and Sacred Heart are only 30 miles apart, st Peter looks interesting, they do have a good team -8 and Kennesaw st +1 on the road at Georgia st, I have to sleep though or I'll be up all night wondering which lines will move ...very interesting game between Highpoint at home vs N.Texas and N Texas is a 2.5 pt favorite very strong defensive team going against a good offense in HP great niight of hoops

Niagara-2, Ga st-1, St Peter -8.5, Iona-1, Merrimack-7, Quinn-1.5, Marist-6, WV-9.5, Illinois-3, Ind-19, Kent st -12.5..addedd games Bryant-4, Davidson-14, UAB-24, and N.Texas -2.5

gl 151

@KasperNV

 when ya break it down it doesn't, but they are at home, that's worth 3-4 it will be interesting to see if it moves, I am hoping it does not  maybe a half pt  ,one thing I hate seeing is when I do this and post night before, and talk to  my buddies out west and in the morning it has went to +1 all action going one way is scary  for some reason I do not see this happening , or I hope not  we had games today where one team was like 5-1 and other was 2-6 and the line was low and the dog won outright big, Youngstown st at Robert morris wed,, perfect example  on the road +2 wins by 17 and were ahead the whole game big   we will see  like I said  Duquesne has to slow this game down, stay close or get a lead and play N Texas basketball or Villanova basketball 45-44  lol   just do not think they will be able to or hoping 

@RUM151

  Delaware +3.5 

 Passes by few things I look for as well. May add ML later 

 Looks like a winner, Delaware 

Sacred heart +1 at home, 1 unit   do favor Illinois -3  

Good luck Rum. You get in trouble at the other place? Lol

151 

@Rkyric

 no brother  I answered your ?  and I did not have you on ignore or anything  check your account  I have no reason why you cannot see my post 

added plays 

Sacred Heart +1.5 1 unit

HighPoint+2 1 unit 

Over 72.5 TT Illinois 1 unit 

over 140 Quinnipiac game

@RUM151

 I musta fucked something up i see em now